Week 3 Bottom 10: The Biggest Upsets
November 25, 2025Week 3: November 17 – November 24, 2025
Let’s count down this week’s ten most surprising results.
#7: Northeastern vs. Duquesne
Final Score: Northeastern 93, Duquesne 86
Date: November 22, 2025
Venue: Northeastern vs. Duquesne (neutral site)
Favorite: Duquesne (Ranked #153)
Underdog: Northeastern (Ranked #196)
Predicted Score: Duquesne 73.3 – 70.2 (3.1 points)
Upset Rating: 3.8
Key Factors:
- Bench scoring: Northeastern 60 points, Duquesne 7 points (53-point advantage)
- Foul trouble: Duquesne had 3 players with 4+ fouls, 1 fouled out
- Two-point shooting: Northeastern 27-39 (69%), Duquesne 27-46 (59%)
- Rebounding: Northeastern 34, Duquesne 26 (8-rebound advantage)
#6: Quinnipiac @ Pitt
Final Score: Quinnipiac 83, Pitt 75
Date: November 23, 2025
Venue: Quinnipiac @ Pitt
Favorite: Pitt (Ranked #137)
Underdog: Quinnipiac (Ranked #216)
Predicted Score: Pitt 79.8 – 72.5 (7.2 points)
Upset Rating: 10.4
Key Factors:
- Three-point shooting: Quinnipiac 11-17 (65%), Pitt 9-28 (32%)
- Foul trouble: Pitt had 2 players with 4+ fouls
#5: Oregon State vs. Evansville
Final Score: Evansville 73, Oregon State 69
Date: November 21, 2025
Venue: Oregon State vs. Evansville (neutral site)
Favorite: Oregon State (Ranked #197)
Underdog: Evansville (Ranked #333)
Predicted Score: Oregon State 76.1 – 68.2 (7.9 points)
Upset Rating: 14.5
Key Factors:
- Foul trouble: Oregon State had 3 players with 4+ fouls
- Free throws: Evansville 28-35 (80%), Oregon State 19-23 (83%)
- Three-point shooting: Evansville 5-18 (28%), Oregon State 6-25 (24%)
#4: Cal Poly @ Utah
Final Score: Cal Poly 92, Utah 85
Date: November 20, 2025
Venue: Cal Poly @ Utah
Favorite: Utah (Ranked #151)
Underdog: Cal Poly (Ranked #232)
Predicted Score: Utah 86.4 – 76.4 (10.0 points)
Upset Rating: 14.9
Key Factors:
- Foul trouble: Utah had 3 players with 4+ fouls, 1 fouled out
- Free throws: Cal Poly 18-31 (58%), Utah 18-22 (82%)
- Three-point shooting: Cal Poly 14-25 (56%), Utah 9-27 (33%)
- Rebounding: Cal Poly 37, Utah 27 (10-rebound advantage)
#3: URI @ Yale
Final Score: URI 86, Yale 77
Date: November 18, 2025
Venue: URI @ Yale
Favorite: Yale (Ranked #59)
Underdog: URI (Ranked #127)
Predicted Score: Yale 83.5 – 73.5 (10.0 points)
Upset Rating: 17.0
Key Factors:
- Foul trouble: Yale had 2 players with 4+ fouls
- Three-point shooting: URI 11-24 (46%), Yale 6-18 (33%)
- Two-point shooting: URI 19-35 (54%), Yale 20-37 (54%)
#2: St. Thomas – Minnesota vs. CSU Fullerton
Final Score: CSU Fullerton 88, St. Thomas – Minnesota 80
Date: November 22, 2025
Venue: St. Thomas – Minnesota vs. CSU Fullerton (neutral site)
Favorite: St. Thomas – Minnesota (Ranked #169)
Underdog: CSU Fullerton (Ranked #298)
Predicted Score: St. Thomas – Minnesota 85.9 – 66.3 (19.6 points)
Upset Rating: 36.1
Key Factors:
- Foul trouble: St. Thomas – Minnesota had 2 players with 4+ fouls, 1 fouled out
- Free throws: CSU Fullerton 23-25 (92%), St. Thomas – Minnesota 16-17 (94%)
- Three-point shooting: CSU Fullerton 9-29 (31%), St. Thomas – Minnesota 8-33 (24%)
- Two-point shooting: CSU Fullerton 19-31 (61%), St. Thomas – Minnesota 20-36 (56%)
#1: Denver @ Colorado State
Final Score: Denver 83, Colorado State 81
Date: November 21, 2025
Venue: Denver @ Colorado State
Favorite: Colorado State (Ranked #43)
Underdog: Denver (Ranked #230)
Predicted Score: Colorado State 83.8 – 64.5 (19.3 points)
Upset Rating: 40.7
Key Factors:
- Foul trouble: Colorado State had 2 players with 4+ fouls
- Bench scoring: Denver 29 points, Colorado State 10 points (19-point advantage)
- Turnovers: Colorado State 11, Denver 3 (8-turnover disparity)
- Three-point shooting: Denver 10-21 (48%), Colorado State 8-18 (44%)
Week 3 Summary
Total Upsets: 7
Non-D1 Upsets: 0
D1 vs D1 Upsets: 7
