College Basketball Analytics, Insights, and Trends
| Model | Score | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Adj EM | -18.22 | 309 |
| Elo | 1338.29 | 358 |
| RPI | 0.359 | 349 |
The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).
| Date | Opponent | Site | Type | Result | Score | Record (Conf) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | East-West University | H | Non-D1 | - | - | - |
| 2025-12-18 | Little Rock | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2025-12-20 | Morehead State | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-01 | SIU Edwardsville | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-03 | Lindenwood | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-08 | Southeast Missouri State | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-10 | UT Martin | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-15 | Tennessee Tech | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-17 | Tennessee State | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-22 | Eastern Illinois | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-24 | Western Illinois | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-29 | Lindenwood | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-31 | SIU Edwardsville | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-05 | UT Martin | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-07 | Southeast Missouri State | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-12 | Tennessee State | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-14 | Tennessee Tech | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-19 | Western Illinois | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-21 | Eastern Illinois | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-24 | Morehead State | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-28 | Little Rock | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| Date | Opponent | Site | Type | Result | Score | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-07 | Missouri | A | Non-Conference | L | 91-97 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-13 | S Illinois | H | Non-Conference | W | 71-53 | 1-1 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-16 | Notre Dame | A | Non-Conference | L | 70-82 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-18 | Loras | H | Non-D1 | W | 87-55 | 2-2 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-22 | St Bonaventure | A | Non-Conference | L | 66-80 | 2-3 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-26 | Bowling Green | A | Non-Conference | W | 69-57 | 3-3 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-30 | W Illinois | A | Non-Conference | L | 78-86 | 3-4 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-04 | Chicago State | A | Non-Conference | L | 61-78 | 3-5 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-07 | Anderson (IN) | H | Non-D1 | W | 78-47 | 4-5 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-11 | Indiana State | H | Non-Conference | W | 88-85 | 5-5 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-15 | Saint Mary of the Woods College | H | Non-D1 | W | 84-42 | 6-5 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-19 | IUPUI | N | Non-Conference | W | 87-74 | 7-5 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-20 | Fort Wayne | A | Non-Conference | L | 59-83 | 7-6 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-29 | SE Missouri St | H | Conference | W | 86-81 | 8-6 (1-0) |
| 2022-12-31 | E Illinois | A | Conference | L | 80-91 | 8-7 (1-1) |
| 2023-01-05 | Morehead State | A | Conference | L | 80-84 | 8-8 (1-2) |
| 2023-01-07 | SIUE | H | Conference | L | 62-69 | 8-9 (1-3) |
| 2023-01-12 | Little Rock | H | Conference | W | 74-67 | 9-9 (2-3) |
| 2023-01-14 | UT Martin | H | Conference | W | 80-66 | 10-9 (3-3) |
| 2023-01-19 | Lindenwood | A | Conference | W | 81-65 | 11-9 (4-3) |
| 2023-01-21 | SIUE | A | Conference | W | 82-72 | 12-9 (5-3) |
| 2023-01-26 | E Illinois | H | Conference | W | 78-74 | 13-9 (6-3) |
| 2023-01-28 | UT Martin | A | Conference | L | 83-86 | 13-10 (6-4) |
| 2023-02-02 | Tennessee St | H | Conference | L | 76-80 | 13-11 (6-5) |
| 2023-02-04 | Morehead State | H | Conference | L | 66-71 | 13-12 (6-6) |
| 2023-02-09 | Tenn Tech | A | Conference | L | 69-84 | 13-13 (6-7) |
| 2023-02-11 | Lindenwood | H | Conference | W | 74-64 | 14-13 (7-7) |
| 2023-02-16 | Little Rock | A | Conference | W | 82-81 | 15-13 (8-7) |
| 2023-02-18 | SE Missouri St | A | Conference | L | 80-85 | 15-14 (8-8) |
| 2023-02-23 | Tenn Tech | H | Conference | L | 79-82 | 15-15 (8-9) |
| 2023-02-25 | Tennessee St | A | Conference | W | 93-81 | 16-15 (9-9) |
| 2023-03-01 | SIUE | N | Conference Tournament | L | 54-68 | 16-16 (9-9) |
| 2023-03-18 | San Jose State | N | Discount Tire CBI - 1st Round | L | 52-77 | 16-17 (9-9) |
| 2023-11-06 | Saint Louis | A | Non-Conference | L | 63-75 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-09 | Michigan State | A | Non-Conference | L | 51-74 | 0-2 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-12 | Chicago State | H | Non-Conference | L | 67-78 | 0-3 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-14 | Tiffin | H | Non-D1 | W | 68-65 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-18 | La Salle | A | Non-Conference | L | 78-79 | 1-4 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-20 | Bucknell | A | Non-Conference | L | 56-67 | 1-5 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-24 | Duke | A | Non-Conference | L | 62-80 | 1-6 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-28 | East-West University | H | Non-D1 | W | 107-49 | 2-6 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-02 | Bowling Green | H | Non-Conference | L | 52-54 | 2-7 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-06 | Fort Wayne | H | Non-Conference | L | 57-70 | 2-8 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-09 | Indiana State | A | Non-Conference | L | 54-98 | 2-9 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-19 | St. Francis (IL) | H | Non-D1 | W | 79-47 | 3-9 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-22 | S Illinois | A | Non-Conference | L | 50-81 | 3-10 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-29 | SE Missouri St | A | Conference | L | 91-93 | 3-11 (0-1) |
| 2023-12-31 | Lindenwood | A | Conference | W | 73-62 | 4-11 (1-1) |
| 2024-01-04 | Tennessee St | H | Conference | W | 69-67 | 5-11 (2-1) |
| 2024-01-06 | Tenn Tech | H | Conference | L | 59-73 | 5-12 (2-2) |
| 2024-01-11 | SIUE | A | Conference | L | 64-67 | 5-13 (2-3) |
| 2024-01-18 | Little Rock | H | Conference | L | 75-77 | 5-14 (2-4) |
| 2024-01-20 | Morehead State | H | Conference | L | 70-81 | 5-15 (2-5) |
| 2024-01-25 | W Illinois | H | Conference | L | 68-73 | 5-16 (2-6) |
| 2024-02-01 | Tenn Tech | A | Conference | W | 74-71 | 6-16 (3-6) |
| 2024-02-03 | Tennessee St | A | Conference | L | 74-79 | 6-17 (3-7) |
| 2024-02-08 | E Illinois | H | Conference | L | 71-81 | 6-18 (3-8) |
| 2024-02-10 | SIUE | H | Conference | W | 84-67 | 7-18 (4-8) |
| 2024-02-15 | UT Martin | A | Conference | L | 68-77 | 7-19 (4-9) |
| 2024-02-17 | Little Rock | A | Conference | L | 62-80 | 7-20 (4-10) |
| 2024-02-20 | Morehead State | A | Conference | W | 80-73 | 8-20 (5-10) |
| 2024-02-24 | W Illinois | A | Conference | L | 76-82 | 8-21 (5-11) |
| 2024-02-29 | Lindenwood | H | Conference | L | 63-67 | 8-22 (5-12) |
| 2024-03-02 | SE Missouri St | H | Conference | L | 66-70 | 8-23 (5-13) |
| 2024-03-06 | Tennessee St | N | Conference Tournament | L | 64-78 | 8-24 (5-13) |
| 2024-11-04 | DePaul | A | Non-Conference | L | 78-80 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-07 | Bucknell | H | Non-Conference | L | 69-75 | 0-2 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-11 | Marshall | A | Non-Conference | L | 63-77 | 0-3 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-13 | Bellarmine | A | Non-Conference | W | 71-69 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-16 | Fort Wayne | A | Non-Conference | L | 74-93 | 1-4 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-22 | South Dakota | H | Non-Conference | W | 92-83 | 2-4 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-25 | Indiana State | H | Non-Conference | W | 87-77 | 3-4 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-02 | East-West University | H | Non-D1 | W | 104-46 | 4-4 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-07 | S Illinois | A | Non-Conference | L | 70-73 | 4-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-15 | Shawnee State | H | Non-D1 | W | 91-56 | 5-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-19 | Tennessee St | H | Conference | W | 77-75 | 6-5 (1-0) |
| 2024-12-21 | UT Martin | H | Conference | L | 46-77 | 6-6 (1-1) |
| 2024-12-31 | Morehead State | H | Conference | L | 68-70 | 6-7 (1-2) |
| 2025-01-02 | Tenn Tech | A | Conference | L | 64-68 | 6-8 (1-3) |
| 2025-01-09 | SE Missouri St | A | Conference | L | 66-77 | 6-9 (1-4) |
| 2025-01-12 | Little Rock | A | Conference | L | 58-78 | 6-10 (1-5) |
| 2025-01-16 | Lindenwood | H | Conference | W | 80-73 | 7-10 (2-5) |
| 2025-01-18 | W Illinois | H | Conference | W | 78-66 | 8-10 (3-5) |
| 2025-01-23 | SIUE | A | Conference | L | 76-82 | 8-11 (3-6) |
| 2025-01-25 | E Illinois | A | Conference | W | 64-60 | 9-11 (4-6) |
| 2025-01-28 | Morehead State | A | Conference | L | 65-66 | 9-12 (4-7) |
| 2025-02-01 | Tenn Tech | H | Conference | L | 65-78 | 9-13 (4-8) |
| 2025-02-06 | Little Rock | H | Conference | L | 56-74 | 9-14 (4-9) |
| 2025-02-08 | SE Missouri St | H | Conference | L | 74-79 | 9-15 (4-10) |
| 2025-02-13 | W Illinois | A | Conference | L | 62-87 | 9-16 (4-11) |
| 2025-02-15 | Lindenwood | A | Conference | L | 78-81 | 9-17 (4-12) |
| 2025-02-20 | E Illinois | H | Conference | L | 54-63 | 9-18 (4-13) |
| 2025-02-22 | SIUE | H | Conference | W | 82-68 | 10-18 (5-13) |
| 2025-02-27 | UT Martin | A | Conference | L | 63-79 | 10-19 (5-14) |
| 2025-03-01 | Tennessee St | A | Conference | L | 69-74 | 10-20 (5-15) |
| 2025-11-05 | Butler | A | Non-Conference | L | 58-88 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-07 | VMI | H | Non-Conference | L | 74-78 | 0-2 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-12 | South Dakota | A | Non-Conference | L | 74-89 | 0-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-16 | Loras | H | Non-D1 | W | 91-74 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-20 | Incarnate Word | N | Non-Conference | L | 81-87 | 1-4 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-22 | UIC | N | Non-Conference | L | 73-84 | 1-5 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-26 | Valparaiso | A | Non-Conference | W | 64-56 | 2-5 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-29 | Kentucky State | H | Non-D1 | W | 93-56 | 3-5 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-03 | Western Michigan | A | Non-Conference | L | 74-88 | 3-6 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-07 | Indiana State | A | Non-Conference | L | 55-77 | 3-7 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-15 | East-West University | H | Non-D1 | - | - | - |
| 2025-12-18 | Little Rock | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2025-12-20 | Morehead State | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-01 | SIU Edwardsville | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-03 | Lindenwood | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-08 | Southeast Missouri State | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-10 | UT Martin | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-15 | Tennessee Tech | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-17 | Tennessee State | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-22 | Eastern Illinois | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-24 | Western Illinois | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-29 | Lindenwood | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-31 | SIU Edwardsville | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-05 | UT Martin | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-07 | Southeast Missouri State | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-12 | Tennessee State | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-14 | Tennessee Tech | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-19 | Western Illinois | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-21 | Eastern Illinois | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-24 | Morehead State | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-28 | Little Rock | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| Metric | Southern Indiana | Opponent | Metric |
|---|
| Metric | Southern Indiana | Opponent | Metric |
|---|
| Model | Southern Indiana | Opponent | Predicted Score | Spread | Result | MAE |
|---|