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N Kentucky

Model	Score	Rank
Adj EM	-1.12	169
Elo	1524.88	148
RPI	0.488	202

Updated through 2026-01-22

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend

About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record (Conf)
2026-01-24	Wright State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-30	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-01	Oakland	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-04	Green Bay	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	Milwaukee	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-12	IU Indianapolis	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-18	Purdue Fort Wayne	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-22	Youngstown State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-25	Cleveland State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	Wright State	H	Conference	-	-	-

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record
2004-02-19	Butler	A	Conference	-	-	-
2004-03-19	Boise State	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2012-11-14	San Diego	A	Non-Conference	L	61-65	0-1 (0-0)
2012-11-15	Tulsa	N	Non-Conference	L	56-76	0-2 (0-0)
2012-11-17	Siena	N	Non-Conference	L	52-56	0-3 (0-0)
2012-11-18	CSU Northridge	N	Non-Conference	L	58-69	0-4 (0-0)
2012-12-01	Ohio State	A	Non-Conference	L	43-70	0-5 (0-0)
2012-12-04	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	69-75	0-6 (0-0)
2012-12-20	Hampton	A	Non-Conference	W	54-52	1-6 (0-0)
2012-12-22	Navy	A	Non-Conference	W	55-46	2-6 (0-0)
2012-12-31	Jacksonville	A	Conference	L	51-53	2-7 (0-1)
2013-01-02	North Florida	A	Conference	W	65-52	3-7 (1-1)
2013-01-05	USC Upstate	H	Conference	L	54-60	3-8 (1-2)
2013-01-07	ETSU	H	Conference	L	44-49	3-9 (1-3)
2013-01-11	Lipscomb	H	Conference	W	67-53	4-9 (2-3)
2013-01-17	Stetson	A	Conference	L	59-71	4-10 (2-4)
2013-01-19	FGCU	A	Conference	L	54-73	4-11 (2-5)
2013-01-24	Mercer	H	Conference	W	63-46	5-11 (3-5)
2013-01-26	Kennesaw State	H	Conference	W	64-53	6-11 (4-5)
2013-01-31	ETSU	A	Conference	W	70-68	7-11 (5-5)
2013-02-02	USC Upstate	A	Conference	W	70-65	8-11 (6-5)
2013-02-08	Lipscomb	A	Conference	L	58-76	8-12 (6-6)
2013-02-14	FGCU	H	Conference	L	53-60	8-13 (6-7)
2013-02-16	Stetson	H	Conference	L	46-62	8-14 (6-8)
2013-02-21	Kennesaw State	A	Conference	W	64-54	9-14 (7-8)
2013-02-23	Mercer	A	Conference	L	46-63	9-15 (7-9)
2013-02-28	North Florida	H	Conference	W	72-45	10-15 (8-9)
2013-03-02	Jacksonville	H	Conference	W	66-62	11-15 (9-9)
2013-03-14	San Francisco	A	Non-Conference	L	68-73	11-16 (9-9)
2013-11-08	Purdue	A	Non-Conference	L	76-77	0-1 (0-0)
2013-11-10	Kentucky	A	Non-Conference	L	63-93	0-2 (0-0)
2013-11-16	San Diego	H	Non-Conference	L	44-75	0-3 (0-0)
2013-11-19	Morehead State	H	Non-Conference	L	61-74	0-4 (0-0)
2013-11-23	Tulane	A	Non-Conference	W	91-86	1-4 (0-0)
2013-11-29	SE Missouri St	N	Non-Conference	L	65-79	1-5 (0-0)
2013-11-30	Texas State	N	Non-Conference	L	61-70	1-6 (0-0)
2013-12-07	UT Martin	A	Non-Conference	L	66-79	1-7 (0-0)
2013-12-15	Chattanooga	H	Non-Conference	W	87-71	2-7 (0-0)
2013-12-18	Hampton	H	Non-Conference	W	69-67	3-7 (0-0)
2013-12-21	Navy	H	Non-Conference	W	72-65	4-7 (0-0)
2013-12-27	UNC	A	Non-Conference	L	60-75	4-8 (0-0)
2013-12-30	FGCU	A	Conference	L	56-60	4-9 (0-1)
2014-01-01	Stetson	A	Conference	W	67-65	5-9 (1-1)
2014-01-04	Jacksonville	H	Conference	W	73-66	6-9 (2-1)
2014-01-06	North Florida	H	Conference	W	70-64	7-9 (3-1)
2014-01-09	USC Upstate	A	Conference	L	64-73	7-10 (3-2)
2014-01-11	ETSU	A	Conference	L	65-74	7-11 (3-3)
2014-01-16	Mercer	H	Conference	L	58-74	7-12 (3-4)
2014-01-18	Kennesaw State	H	Conference	W	82-69	8-12 (4-4)
2014-01-24	Lipscomb	H	Conference	L	74-75	8-13 (4-5)
2014-01-30	North Florida	A	Conference	L	66-67	8-14 (4-6)
2014-02-01	Jacksonville	A	Conference	L	77-95	8-15 (4-7)
2014-02-06	ETSU	H	Conference	L	50-64	8-16 (4-8)
2014-02-08	USC Upstate	H	Conference	L	59-76	8-17 (4-9)
2014-02-14	Kennesaw State	A	Conference	L	67-69	8-18 (4-10)
2014-02-16	Mercer	A	Conference	L	67-89	8-19 (4-11)
2014-02-21	Lipscomb	A	Conference	L	66-70	8-20 (4-12)
2014-02-27	Stetson	H	Conference	W	96-58	9-20 (5-12)
2014-03-01	FGCU	H	Conference	L	72-92	9-21 (5-13)
2014-11-14	Wisconsin	A	Non-Conference	L	31-62	0-1 (0-0)
2014-11-16	Nebraska	A	Non-Conference	L	61-80	0-2 (0-0)
2014-11-19	NC A&T	H	Non-Conference	W	68-55	1-2 (0-0)
2014-11-22	Ohio Midwestern	H	Non-D1	W	98-48	2-2 (0-0)
2014-11-26	E Washington	A	Non-Conference	L	60-81	2-3 (0-0)
2014-11-29	Idaho	A	Non-Conference	W	79-74	3-3 (0-0)
2014-12-03	UT Martin	H	Non-Conference	L	56-71	3-4 (0-0)
2014-12-07	West Virginia	H	Non-Conference	L	42-67	3-5 (0-0)
2014-12-14	Cincinnati Clermont	H	Non-D1	W	107-53	4-5 (0-0)
2014-12-16	Chattanooga	A	Non-Conference	L	81-93	4-6 (0-0)
2014-12-19	Morehead State	A	Non-Conference	W	83-60	5-6 (0-0)
2014-12-22	Idaho	H	Non-Conference	W	81-68	6-6 (0-0)
2014-12-27	Northwestern	A	Non-Conference	L	55-76	6-7 (0-0)
2014-12-31	Youngstown St	A	Non-Conference	L	74-78	6-8 (0-0)
2015-01-03	Toledo	H	Non-Conference	L	55-57	6-9 (0-0)
2015-01-10	Lipscomb	A	Conference	L	61-80	6-10 (0-1)
2015-01-14	Kennesaw State	H	Conference	W	76-72	7-10 (1-1)
2015-01-17	USC Upstate	A	Conference	W	66-65	8-10 (2-1)
2015-01-22	North Florida	H	Conference	L	66-74	8-11 (2-2)
2015-01-24	Jacksonville	H	Conference	W	81-59	9-11 (3-2)
2015-01-29	Stetson	A	Conference	L	75-85	9-12 (3-3)
2015-01-31	FGCU	A	Conference	L	64-74	9-13 (3-4)
2015-02-07	Lipscomb	H	Conference	W	77-60	10-13 (4-4)
2015-02-12	FGCU	H	Conference	L	59-65	10-14 (4-5)
2015-02-14	Stetson	H	Conference	W	82-57	11-14 (5-5)
2015-02-19	Jacksonville	A	Conference	L	75-83	11-15 (5-6)
2015-02-21	North Florida	A	Conference	L	69-88	11-16 (5-7)
2015-02-26	Kennesaw State	A	Conference	W	78-53	12-16 (6-7)
2015-02-28	USC Upstate	H	Conference	W	84-65	13-16 (7-7)
2015-03-03	Lipscomb	N	Conference Tournament	L	73-76	13-17 (7-7)
2015-11-13	West Virginia	A	Non-Conference	L	61-107	0-1 (0-0)
2015-11-17	Tiffin	H	Non-D1	W	83-71	1-1 (0-0)
2015-11-21	Morehead State	H	Non-Conference	L	56-64	1-2 (0-0)
2015-11-23	Xavier	A	Non-Conference	L	66-78	1-3 (0-0)
2015-11-30	NC A&T	A	Non-Conference	L	63-74	1-4 (0-0)
2015-12-05	E Illinois	A	Non-Conference	L	73-79	1-5 (0-0)
2015-12-13	Norfolk State	H	Non-Conference	W	81-60	2-5 (0-0)
2015-12-15	Michigan	A	Non-Conference	L	62-77	2-6 (0-0)
2015-12-19	SE Missouri St	H	Non-Conference	W	79-69	3-6 (0-0)
2015-12-23	IU-Kokomo	H	Non-D1	W	88-44	4-6 (0-0)
2015-12-30	Toledo	A	Non-Conference	L	73-90	4-7 (0-0)
2016-01-02	Green Bay	A	Conference	L	70-86	4-8 (0-1)
2016-01-04	Milwaukee	A	Conference	L	67-76	4-9 (0-2)
2016-01-09	Wright State	H	Conference	L	46-60	4-10 (0-3)
2016-01-14	Youngstown St	H	Conference	W	84-64	5-10 (1-3)
2016-01-16	Cleveland State	H	Conference	L	65-70	5-11 (1-4)
2016-01-19	Oakland	A	Conference	W	90-73	6-11 (2-4)
2016-01-22	UIC	H	Conference	W	82-69	7-11 (3-4)
2016-01-24	Valparaiso	H	Conference	L	46-71	7-12 (3-5)
2016-01-29	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	W	91-83	8-12 (4-5)
2016-02-01	Oakland	H	Conference	L	74-85	8-13 (4-6)
2016-02-04	Green Bay	H	Conference	L	78-85	8-14 (4-7)
2016-02-06	Milwaukee	H	Conference	W	75-71	9-14 (5-7)
2016-02-11	Valparaiso	A	Conference	L	52-64	9-15 (5-8)
2016-02-13	UIC	A	Conference	L	77-79	9-16 (5-9)
2016-02-16	Detroit Mercy	H	Conference	L	68-74	9-17 (5-10)
2016-02-20	Wright State	A	Conference	L	64-67	9-18 (5-11)
2016-02-25	Cleveland State	A	Conference	L	58-63	9-19 (5-12)
2016-02-27	Youngstown St	A	Conference	L	75-94	9-20 (5-13)
2016-03-05	Milwaukee	N	Conference Tournament	L	69-86	9-21 (5-13)
2016-11-11	Earlham	H	Non-D1	W	96-56	1-0 (0-0)
2016-11-13	Illinois	A	Non-Conference	L	64-79	1-1 (0-0)
2016-11-18	Austin Peay	N	Non-Conference	L	69-77	1-2 (0-0)
2016-11-19	Delaware	N	Non-Conference	W	74-53	2-2 (0-0)
2016-11-20	Miami (OH)	A	Non-Conference	W	79-70	3-2 (0-0)
2016-11-26	NC Central	H	Non-Conference	L	74-82	3-3 (0-0)
2016-11-30	Morehead State	A	Non-Conference	W	84-79	4-3 (0-0)
2016-12-03	Norfolk State	A	Non-Conference	W	72-61	5-3 (0-0)
2016-12-07	E Illinois	H	Non-Conference	W	80-70	6-3 (0-0)
2016-12-10	SE Missouri St	A	Non-Conference	W	80-66	7-3 (0-0)
2016-12-18	E Washington	H	Non-Conference	W	70-48	8-3 (0-0)
2016-12-21	Brescia	H	Non-D1	W	97-73	9-3 (0-0)
2016-12-23	West Virginia	A	Non-Conference	L	61-92	9-4 (0-0)
2016-12-29	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	W	81-70	10-4 (1-0)
2016-12-31	Oakland	A	Conference	L	65-76	10-5 (1-1)
2017-01-05	Youngstown St	H	Conference	W	83-70	11-5 (2-1)
2017-01-07	Cleveland State	H	Conference	W	83-75	12-5 (3-1)
2017-01-10	Green Bay	A	Conference	L	71-80	12-6 (3-2)
2017-01-12	Milwaukee	A	Conference	L	58-68	12-7 (3-3)
2017-01-20	Oakland	H	Conference	L	70-79	12-8 (3-4)
2017-01-22	Detroit Mercy	H	Conference	W	101-87	13-8 (4-4)
2017-01-27	UIC	A	Conference	W	79-62	14-8 (5-4)
2017-01-29	Valparaiso	A	Conference	L	58-65	14-9 (5-5)
2017-02-04	Wright State	A	Conference	W	83-79	15-9 (6-5)
2017-02-09	Green Bay	H	Conference	W	69-67	16-9 (7-5)
2017-02-11	Milwaukee	H	Conference	W	69-63	17-9 (8-5)
2017-02-16	Cleveland State	A	Conference	W	62-60	18-9 (9-5)
2017-02-18	Youngstown St	A	Conference	L	77-81	18-10 (9-6)
2017-02-21	Wright State	H	Conference	W	83-76	19-10 (10-6)
2017-02-24	UIC	H	Conference	W	90-82	20-10 (11-6)
2017-02-26	Valparaiso	H	Conference	W	82-78	21-10 (12-6)
2017-03-05	Wright State	N	Conference Tournament	W	82-77	22-10 (12-6)
2017-03-06	Youngstown St	N	Conference Tournament	W	84-74	23-10 (12-6)
2017-03-07	Milwaukee	N	Conference Tournament	W	59-53	24-10 (12-6)
2017-03-17	Kentucky	N	MEN'S BASKETBALL CHAMPIONSHIP - SOUTH REGION - 1ST ROUND	L	70-79	24-11 (12-6)
2017-11-10	ETSU	H	Non-Conference	W	81-63	1-0 (0-0)
2017-11-12	Wilmington (OH)	H	Non-D1	W	93-65	2-0 (0-0)
2017-11-17	James Madison	N	Non-Conference	W	87-78	3-0 (0-0)
2017-11-18	Iona	N	Non-Conference	W	85-72	4-0 (0-0)
2017-11-19	Vermont	N	Non-Conference	L	64-66	4-1 (0-0)
2017-11-25	Memphis	A	Non-Conference	L	74-76	4-2 (0-0)
2017-11-29	Berea	H	Non-D1	W	112-33	5-2 (0-0)
2017-12-02	Morehead State	H	Non-Conference	W	86-49	6-2 (0-0)
2017-12-06	ETSU	A	Non-Conference	L	71-84	6-3 (0-0)
2017-12-10	E Kentucky	H	Non-Conference	W	91-63	7-3 (0-0)
2017-12-17	UMBC	A	Non-Conference	L	75-76	7-4 (0-0)
2017-12-19	Texas A&M	A	Non-Conference	L	58-64	7-5 (0-0)
2017-12-28	IUPUI	H	Conference	W	77-59	8-5 (1-0)
2017-12-30	UIC	H	Conference	W	86-51	9-5 (2-0)
2018-01-05	Oakland	A	Conference	W	87-83	10-5 (3-0)
2018-01-07	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	W	56-54	11-5 (4-0)
2018-01-11	Wright State	H	Conference	L	81-84	11-6 (4-1)
2018-01-15	Cleveland State	H	Conference	W	70-55	12-6 (5-1)
2018-01-18	Milwaukee	A	Conference	W	91-64	13-6 (6-1)
2018-01-20	Green Bay	A	Conference	W	77-65	14-6 (7-1)
2018-01-26	Oakland	H	Conference	L	70-83	14-7 (7-2)
2018-01-28	Detroit Mercy	H	Conference	W	72-44	15-7 (8-2)
2018-02-01	Youngstown St	A	Conference	W	95-85	16-7 (9-2)
2018-02-03	Cleveland State	A	Conference	W	78-61	17-7 (10-2)
2018-02-08	Milwaukee	H	Conference	W	54-52	18-7 (11-2)
2018-02-10	Green Bay	H	Conference	W	86-80	19-7 (12-2)
2018-02-16	Wright State	A	Conference	L	67-69	19-8 (12-3)
2018-02-19	Youngstown St	H	Conference	W	70-51	20-8 (13-3)
2018-02-23	UIC	A	Conference	W	79-72	21-8 (14-3)
2018-02-25	IUPUI	A	Conference	W	75-56	22-8 (15-3)
2018-03-03	Cleveland State	N	Conference Tournament	L	80-89	22-9 (15-3)
2018-03-13	Louisville	N	NIT - 1ST ROUND	L	58-66	22-10 (15-3)
2018-11-06	Wilmington (OH)	H	Non-D1	W	102-38	1-0 (0-0)
2018-11-09	N Illinois	A	Non-Conference	W	88-85	2-0 (0-0)
2018-11-11	Wabash College	H	Non-D1	W	99-59	3-0 (0-0)
2018-11-16	UNC Asheville	H	Non-Conference	W	77-50	4-0 (0-0)
2018-11-17	Manhattan	H	Non-Conference	W	59-53	5-0 (0-0)
2018-11-18	C. Carolina	H	Non-Conference	W	89-83	6-0 (0-0)
2018-11-24	UCF	A	Non-Conference	L	53-66	6-1 (0-0)
2018-11-27	Morehead State	A	Non-Conference	W	93-71	7-1 (0-0)
2018-11-30	UMBC	H	Non-Conference	W	78-60	8-1 (0-0)
2018-12-04	Cincinnati	A	Non-Conference	L	65-78	8-2 (0-0)
2018-12-08	E Kentucky	A	Non-Conference	L	74-76	8-3 (0-0)
2018-12-16	Miami (OH)	H	Non-Conference	W	72-66	9-3 (0-0)
2018-12-20	N Illinois	H	Non-Conference	W	65-62	10-3 (0-0)
2018-12-28	IUPUI	H	Conference	W	92-77	11-3 (1-0)
2018-12-30	UIC	H	Conference	W	73-58	12-3 (2-0)
2019-01-03	Oakland	A	Conference	L	74-76	12-4 (2-1)
2019-01-05	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	W	95-73	13-4 (3-1)
2019-01-11	Wright State	H	Conference	W	68-64	14-4 (4-1)
2019-01-17	Cleveland State	A	Conference	W	91-76	15-4 (5-1)
2019-01-19	Youngstown St	A	Conference	W	82-74	16-4 (6-1)
2019-01-24	Green Bay	H	Conference	W	87-65	17-4 (7-1)
2019-01-26	Milwaukee	H	Conference	W	73-60	18-4 (8-1)
2019-02-01	IUPUI	A	Conference	L	77-83	18-5 (8-2)
2019-02-03	UIC	A	Conference	L	67-69	18-6 (8-3)
2019-02-07	Detroit Mercy	H	Conference	W	97-65	19-6 (9-3)
2019-02-09	Oakland	H	Conference	W	79-64	20-6 (10-3)
2019-02-15	Wright State	A	Conference	L	77-81	20-7 (10-4)
2019-02-21	Youngstown St	H	Conference	W	76-69	21-7 (11-4)
2019-02-23	Cleveland State	H	Conference	L	77-83	21-8 (11-5)
2019-02-28	Milwaukee	A	Conference	W	65-55	22-8 (12-5)
2019-03-02	Green Bay	A	Conference	W	86-82	23-8 (13-5)
2019-03-06	Detroit Mercy	N	Conference Tournament	W	99-88	24-8 (13-5)
2019-03-11	Oakland	N	Conference Tournament	W	64-63	25-8 (13-5)
2019-03-12	Wright State	N	Conference Tournament	W	77-66	26-8 (13-5)
2019-03-22	Texas Tech	N	MEN'S BASKETBALL CHAMPIONSHIP - WEST REGION - 1ST ROUND	L	57-72	26-9 (13-5)
2019-11-05	Cincinnati Clermont	H	Non-D1	W	105-55	1-0 (0-0)
2019-11-08	Missouri	A	Non-Conference	L	56-71	1-1 (0-0)
2019-11-12	C. Carolina	A	Non-Conference	W	69-68	2-1 (0-0)
2019-11-17	Coppin State	H	Non-Conference	W	82-70	3-1 (0-0)
2019-11-20	Ball State	A	Non-Conference	W	59-57	4-1 (0-0)
2019-11-23	Texas Southern	H	Non-Conference	L	96-98	4-2 (0-0)
2019-11-25	Midway	H	Non-D1	W	86-56	5-2 (0-0)
2019-11-30	Arkansas	A	Non-Conference	L	60-66	5-3 (0-0)
2019-12-03	Miami (OH)	A	Non-Conference	W	76-54	6-3 (0-0)
2019-12-08	E Kentucky	H	Non-Conference	W	76-57	7-3 (0-0)
2019-12-15	Illinois State	H	Non-Conference	W	79-64	8-3 (0-0)
2019-12-21	UNCG	A	Non-Conference	L	50-67	8-4 (0-0)
2019-12-28	Milwaukee	H	Conference	W	74-64	9-4 (1-0)
2019-12-30	Green Bay	H	Conference	L	59-73	9-5 (1-1)
2020-01-03	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	L	58-66	9-6 (1-2)
2020-01-05	Oakland	A	Conference	W	75-64	10-6 (2-2)
2020-01-10	UIC	A	Conference	W	68-52	11-6 (3-2)
2020-01-12	IUPUI	A	Conference	W	96-71	12-6 (4-2)
2020-01-16	Youngstown St	H	Conference	W	88-63	13-6 (5-2)
2020-01-18	Cleveland State	H	Conference	W	75-49	14-6 (6-2)
2020-01-24	Wright State	A	Conference	L	63-95	14-7 (6-3)
2020-01-31	Green Bay	A	Conference	W	71-62	15-7 (7-3)
2020-02-02	Milwaukee	A	Conference	W	65-56	16-7 (8-3)
2020-02-08	Detroit Mercy	H	Conference	W	84-65	17-7 (9-3)
2020-02-14	IUPUI	H	Conference	W	84-70	18-7 (10-3)
2020-02-16	UIC	H	Conference	L	43-73	18-8 (10-4)
2020-02-20	Cleveland State	A	Conference	W	73-59	19-8 (11-4)
2020-02-22	Youngstown St	A	Conference	W	61-59	20-8 (12-4)
2020-02-28	Wright State	H	Conference	L	62-64	20-9 (12-5)
2020-03-09	Green Bay	N	Conference Tournament	W	80-69	21-9 (12-5)
2020-03-10	UIC	N	Conference Tournament	W	71-62	22-9 (12-5)
2020-11-25	Ball State	H	Non-Conference	W	74-73	1-0 (0-0)
2020-12-03	Tenn Tech	H	Non-Conference	W	74-65	2-0 (0-0)
2020-12-05	Chattanooga	A	Non-Conference	L	72-79	2-1 (0-0)
2020-12-08	Dayton	A	Non-Conference	L	60-66	2-2 (0-0)
2020-12-13	Kent State	A	Non-Conference	L	73-92	2-3 (0-0)
2020-12-19	Youngstown St	H	Conference	W	79-64	3-3 (1-0)
2020-12-20	Youngstown St	H	Conference	L	60-70	3-4 (1-1)
2021-01-01	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	W	75-68	4-4 (2-1)
2021-01-02	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	W	70-68	5-4 (3-1)
2021-01-08	Cleveland State	A	Conference	L	44-58	5-5 (3-2)
2021-01-09	Cleveland State	A	Conference	L	71-74	5-6 (3-3)
2021-01-15	IUPUI	H	Conference	L	69-74	5-7 (3-4)
2021-01-16	IUPUI	H	Conference	L	63-65	5-8 (3-5)
2021-01-22	Robert Morris	A	Conference	W	81-76	6-8 (4-5)
2021-01-23	Robert Morris	A	Conference	W	79-74	7-8 (5-5)
2021-01-29	UIC	H	Conference	W	72-68	8-8 (6-5)
2021-01-30	UIC	H	Conference	W	69-67	9-8 (7-5)
2021-02-05	Milwaukee	A	Conference	W	87-73	10-8 (8-5)
2021-02-06	Milwaukee	A	Conference	W	79-65	11-8 (9-5)
2021-02-12	Green Bay	A	Conference	L	82-86	11-9 (9-6)
2021-02-13	Green Bay	A	Conference	W	71-66	12-9 (10-6)
2021-02-19	Wright State	H	Conference	W	81-75	13-9 (11-6)
2021-02-20	Wright State	H	Conference	L	71-77	13-10 (11-7)
2021-03-02	Detroit Mercy	N	Conference Tournament	W	70-69	14-10 (11-7)
2021-03-08	Oakland	N	Conference Tournament	L	58-69	14-11 (11-7)
2021-11-09	Wheeling Jesuit	H	Non-D1	W	82-54	1-0 (0-0)
2021-11-12	UNCG	H	Non-Conference	L	69-70	1-1 (0-0)
2021-11-18	E Michigan	H	Non-Conference	W	74-73	2-1 (0-0)
2021-11-22	W Illinois	H	Non-Conference	L	67-69	2-2 (0-0)
2021-11-26	DePaul	A	Non-Conference	L	68-77	2-3 (0-0)
2021-12-02	Cleveland State	A	Conference	L	58-72	2-4 (0-1)
2021-12-04	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	L	57-71	2-5 (0-2)
2021-12-08	Canisius	H	Non-Conference	W	75-62	3-5 (0-2)
2021-12-12	Alice Lloyd	H	Non-D1	W	91-55	4-5 (0-2)
2021-12-18	E Kentucky	A	Non-Conference	L	68-81	4-6 (0-2)
2021-12-22	Indiana	A	Non-Conference	L	61-79	4-7 (0-2)
2021-12-30	Green Bay	H	Conference	W	79-74	5-7 (1-2)
2022-01-01	Milwaukee	H	Conference	L	55-61	5-8 (1-3)
2022-01-06	IUPUI	H	Conference	-	-	-
2022-01-08	UIC	H	Conference	-	-	-
2022-01-10	Wright State	H	Conference	-	-	-
2022-01-13	Youngstown St	A	Conference	W	68-67	6-8 (2-3)
2022-01-15	Robert Morris	A	Conference	L	64-74	6-9 (2-4)
2022-01-20	UIC	A	Conference	W	74-70	7-9 (3-4)
2022-01-22	IUPUI	A	Conference	W	60-41	8-9 (4-4)
2022-01-25	Wright State	H	Conference	W	73-63	9-9 (5-4)
2022-01-28	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	W	59-49	10-9 (6-4)
2022-01-30	Cleveland State	H	Conference	W	78-72	11-9 (7-4)
2022-02-03	Oakland	H	Conference	-	-	-
2022-02-04	Oakland	H	Conference	W	87-78	12-9 (8-4)
2022-02-05	Detroit Mercy	H	Conference	L	68-74	12-10 (8-5)
2022-02-09	Milwaukee	A	Conference	W	75-39	13-10 (9-5)
2022-02-11	Green Bay	A	Conference	W	71-62	14-10 (10-5)
2022-02-13	Wright State	A	Conference	W	75-71	15-10 (11-5)
2022-02-18	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	L	52-60	15-11 (11-6)
2022-02-20	Oakland	A	Conference	W	71-66	16-11 (12-6)
2022-02-24	Robert Morris	H	Conference	W	78-64	17-11 (13-6)
2022-02-26	Youngstown St	H	Conference	W	75-61	18-11 (14-6)
2022-03-03	Detroit Mercy	N	Conference Tournament	W	77-59	19-11 (14-6)
2022-03-07	Fort Wayne	N	Conference Tournament	W	57-43	20-11 (14-6)
2022-03-08	Wright State	N	Conference Tournament	L	71-72	20-12 (14-6)
2022-11-07	Kent State	H	Non-Conference	L	57-79	0-1 (0-0)
2022-11-12	Cincinnati Clermont	H	Non-D1	W	89-49	1-1 (0-0)
2022-11-16	Cincinnati	H	Non-Conference	W	64-51	2-1 (0-0)
2022-11-21	FGCU	N	Non-Conference	L	61-82	2-2 (0-0)
2022-11-22	UT Arlington	N	Non-Conference	L	56-60	2-3 (0-0)
2022-11-23	Toledo	N	Non-Conference	L	69-82	2-4 (0-0)
2022-11-27	Tenn Tech	H	Non-Conference	W	85-77	3-4 (0-0)
2022-12-01	Youngstown St	H	Conference	W	77-73	4-4 (1-0)
2022-12-03	Robert Morris	H	Conference	W	60-56	5-4 (2-0)
2022-12-07	Washington St	A	Non-Conference	L	47-68	5-5 (2-0)
2022-12-14	E Kentucky	H	Non-Conference	W	64-61	6-5 (2-0)
2022-12-18	Miami (OH)-Hamilton	H	Non-D1	W	81-41	7-5 (2-0)
2022-12-21	FAU	A	Non-Conference	L	52-67	7-6 (2-0)
2022-12-29	Wright State	H	Conference	W	78-64	8-6 (3-0)
2022-12-31	IUPUI	A	Conference	W	55-42	9-6 (4-0)
2023-01-06	Oakland	H	Conference	L	63-64	9-7 (4-1)
2023-01-08	Detroit Mercy	H	Conference	W	78-76	10-7 (5-1)
2023-01-12	Milwaukee	A	Conference	L	75-80	10-8 (5-2)
2023-01-14	Green Bay	A	Conference	W	74-53	11-8 (6-2)
2023-01-19	Cleveland State	H	Conference	W	57-56	12-8 (7-2)
2023-01-21	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	W	74-54	13-8 (8-2)
2023-01-26	Green Bay	H	Conference	W	68-50	14-8 (9-2)
2023-01-28	Milwaukee	H	Conference	L	74-75	14-9 (9-3)
2023-02-02	Robert Morris	A	Conference	W	65-52	15-9 (10-3)
2023-02-04	Youngstown St	A	Conference	L	56-74	15-10 (10-4)
2023-02-10	Wright State	A	Conference	L	65-83	15-11 (10-5)
2023-02-12	IUPUI	H	Conference	W	86-47	16-11 (11-5)
2023-02-17	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	W	63-50	17-11 (12-5)
2023-02-19	Cleveland State	A	Conference	L	63-64	17-12 (12-6)
2023-02-23	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	W	67-64	18-12 (13-6)
2023-02-25	Oakland	A	Conference	W	78-69	19-12 (14-6)
2023-03-02	Oakland	N	Conference Tournament	W	81-74	20-12 (14-6)
2023-03-06	Youngstown St	N	Conference Tournament	W	75-63	21-12 (14-6)
2023-03-07	Cleveland State	N	Conference Tournament	W	63-61	22-12 (14-6)
2023-03-16	Houston	N	MEN'S BASKETBALL CHAMPIONSHIP - MIDWEST REGION - 1ST ROUND	L	52-63	22-13 (14-6)
2023-11-06	Mid Tennessee	A	Non-Conference	L	57-74	0-1 (0-0)
2023-11-09	Washington	A	Non-Conference	L	67-75	0-2 (0-0)
2023-11-14	Depauw	H	Non-D1	W	85-68	1-2 (0-0)
2023-11-19	Cincinnati	A	Non-Conference	L	66-90	1-3 (0-0)
2023-11-22	Texas A&M-CC	H	Non-Conference	W	88-73	2-3 (0-0)
2023-11-25	Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	W	72-64	3-3 (0-0)
2023-11-29	Robert Morris	H	Conference	W	77-59	4-3 (1-0)
2023-12-02	IUPUI	A	Conference	W	71-55	5-3 (2-0)
2023-12-06	Illinois State	A	Non-Conference	L	59-62	5-4 (2-0)
2023-12-09	Akron	H	Non-Conference	L	76-77	5-5 (2-0)
2023-12-14	Cumberland (KY)	H	Non-D1	W	94-59	6-5 (2-0)
2023-12-17	E Kentucky	A	Non-Conference	W	85-75	7-5 (2-0)
2023-12-21	Saint Mary's	A	Non-Conference	L	56-92	7-6 (2-0)
2023-12-29	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	L	60-73	7-7 (2-1)
2024-01-04	Youngstown St	H	Conference	W	79-76	8-7 (3-1)
2024-01-07	Cleveland State	A	Conference	L	85-88	8-8 (3-2)
2024-01-10	Oakland	A	Conference	L	65-70	8-9 (3-3)
2024-01-13	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	W	81-76	9-9 (4-3)
2024-01-18	Milwaukee	H	Conference	W	90-72	10-9 (5-3)
2024-01-20	Green Bay	H	Conference	W	74-52	11-9 (6-3)
2024-01-25	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	L	58-63	11-10 (6-4)
2024-01-28	Youngstown St	A	Conference	L	52-82	11-11 (6-5)
2024-02-04	Wright State	H	Conference	L	78-85	11-12 (6-6)
2024-02-08	Oakland	H	Conference	W	99-89	12-12 (7-6)
2024-02-10	Detroit Mercy	H	Conference	W	79-67	13-12 (8-6)
2024-02-14	Green Bay	A	Conference	W	58-57	14-12 (9-6)
2024-02-17	Milwaukee	A	Conference	L	72-73	14-13 (9-7)
2024-02-22	Cleveland State	H	Conference	W	75-73	15-13 (10-7)
2024-02-25	IUPUI	H	Conference	W	80-64	16-13 (11-7)
2024-02-28	Robert Morris	A	Conference	W	70-60	17-13 (12-7)
2024-03-02	Wright State	A	Conference	L	88-94	17-14 (12-8)
2024-03-07	Wright State	N	Conference Tournament	W	99-97	18-14 (12-8)
2024-03-11	Milwaukee	N	Conference Tournament	L	75-82	18-15 (12-8)
2024-11-04	Florida State	A	Non-Conference	L	62-74	0-1 (0-0)
2024-11-08	Purdue	A	Non-Conference	L	50-72	0-2 (0-0)
2024-11-14	Nicholls	H	Non-Conference	L	59-61	0-3 (0-0)
2024-11-19	Cincinnati	H	Non-Conference	L	60-76	0-4 (0-0)
2024-11-23	Kentucky State	H	Non-D1	W	85-59	1-4 (0-0)
2024-11-27	Charleston	A	Non-Conference	L	64-79	1-5 (0-0)
2024-11-30	Bellarmine	H	Non-Conference	W	86-70	2-5 (0-0)
2024-12-03	Akron	A	Non-Conference	L	73-86	2-6 (0-0)
2024-12-07	IUPUI	A	Conference	W	66-64	3-6 (1-0)
2024-12-11	Cumberland (KY)	H	Non-D1	W	98-79	4-6 (1-0)
2024-12-15	Norfolk State	H	Non-Conference	W	71-62	5-6 (1-0)
2024-12-18	Detroit Mercy	H	Conference	W	73-60	6-6 (2-0)
2024-12-21	S Carolina St	H	Non-Conference	W	58-47	7-6 (2-0)
2024-12-29	Robert Morris	A	Conference	L	93-97	7-7 (2-1)
2025-01-01	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	W	69-68	8-7 (3-1)
2025-01-04	Green Bay	H	Conference	W	78-60	9-7 (4-1)
2025-01-08	Youngstown St	A	Conference	L	61-72	9-8 (4-2)
2025-01-11	Oakland	H	Conference	L	53-68	9-9 (4-3)
2025-01-15	Cleveland State	A	Conference	L	58-76	9-10 (4-4)
2025-01-18	Wright State	H	Conference	L	70-78	9-11 (4-5)
2025-01-24	Milwaukee	H	Conference	L	59-79	9-12 (4-6)
2025-01-30	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	L	57-68	9-13 (4-7)
2025-02-01	Oakland	A	Conference	W	84-75	10-13 (5-7)
2025-02-05	Cleveland State	H	Conference	W	85-75	11-13 (6-7)
2025-02-08	Robert Morris	H	Conference	L	76-81	11-14 (6-8)
2025-02-14	Green Bay	A	Conference	W	73-60	12-14 (7-8)
2025-02-16	Milwaukee	A	Conference	L	70-92	12-15 (7-9)
2025-02-21	Wright State	A	Conference	W	80-76	13-15 (8-9)
2025-02-23	IUPUI	H	Conference	W	71-67	14-15 (9-9)
2025-02-27	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	W	79-74	15-15 (10-9)
2025-03-01	Youngstown St	H	Conference	W	88-79	16-15 (11-9)
2025-03-04	Detroit Mercy	N	Conference Tournament	W	99-75	17-15 (11-9)
2025-03-06	Cleveland State	N	Conference Tournament	L	63-68	17-16 (11-9)
2025-11-03	Cincinnati Clermont	H	Non-D1	W	126-69	1-0 (0-0)
2025-11-08	Tennessee	A	Non-Conference	L	56-95	1-1 (0-0)
2025-11-12	East Tennessee State	A	Non-Conference	L	63-75	1-2 (0-0)
2025-11-16	Cumberland (KY)	H	Non-D1	W	101-73	2-2 (0-0)
2025-11-20	Central Michigan	A	Non-Conference	W	90-66	3-2 (0-0)
2025-11-24	Eastern Kentucky	H	Non-Conference	W	82-71	4-2 (0-0)
2025-11-26	Wofford	H	Non-Conference	W	93-83	5-2 (0-0)
2025-11-29	Boston University	H	Non-Conference	W	74-65	6-2 (0-0)
2025-12-03	Cleveland State	H	Conference	W	95-80	7-2 (1-0)
2025-12-06	Purdue Fort Wayne	A	Conference	L	77-79	7-3 (1-1)
2025-12-09	Brescia	H	Non-D1	W	92-53	8-3 (1-1)
2025-12-13	Bellarmine	A	Non-Conference	W	80-76	9-3 (1-1)
2025-12-17	Oakland	H	Conference	L	77-82	9-4 (1-2)
2025-12-21	Charleston	H	Non-Conference	L	74-85	9-5 (1-2)
2025-12-29	Robert Morris	A	Conference	W	79-77	10-5 (2-2)
2026-01-01	IUPUI	H	Conference	W	81-72	11-5 (3-2)
2026-01-04	Youngstown State	H	Conference	W	94-79	12-5 (4-2)
2026-01-09	Milwaukee	A	Conference	W	85-67	13-5 (5-2)
2026-01-11	Green Bay	A	Conference	L	78-80	13-6 (5-3)
2026-01-15	Detroit Mercy	H	Conference	W	96-71	14-6 (6-3)
2026-01-17	Robert Morris	H	Conference	L	89-92	14-7 (6-4)
2026-01-24	Wright State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-30	Detroit Mercy	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-01	Oakland	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-04	Green Bay	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	Milwaukee	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-12	IU Indianapolis	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-18	Purdue Fort Wayne	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-22	Youngstown State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-25	Cleveland State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	Wright State	H	Conference	-	-	-

N Kentucky Offense

Metric	N Kentucky	Opponent	Metric

N Kentucky Defense

Metric	N Kentucky	Opponent	Metric

Model Predictions

Model	N Kentucky	Opponent	Predicted Score	Spread	Result	MAE

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Offense: Vitals

Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.536
Rank: 5 of 11 in HORZ, 100 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 9 of 11 in HORZ, 155 of 365 in D1

100th

Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.159
Rank: 8 of 11 in HORZ, 185 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 2 of 11 in HORZ, 63 of 365 in D1

185th

Off Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 30.810
Rank: 5 of 11 in HORZ, 124 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 10 of 11 in HORZ, 349 of 365 in D1

124th

FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.353
Rank: 5 of 11 in HORZ, 207 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 2 of 11 in HORZ, 22 of 365 in D1

207th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.552
Rank: 5 of 11 in HORZ, 307 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 3 of 11 in HORZ, 140 of 365 in D1

307th

Opp Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.185
Rank: 1 of 11 in HORZ, 49 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 10 of 11 in HORZ, 351 of 365 in D1

49th

Def Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 69.570
Rank: 6 of 11 in HORZ, 260 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 5 of 11 in HORZ, 145 of 365 in D1

260th

Opp FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.384
Rank: 6 of 11 in HORZ, 240 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 3 of 11 in HORZ, 70 of 365 in D1

240th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 111.93

137th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 39.8%

88th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 83.7%

178th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 47.6%

68th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 56.9%

244th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 27.1%

159th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 47.4%

242nd

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 56.8%

62nd

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 43.1%

122nd

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 12.7%

93rd

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 36.3%

107th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 35.2%

124th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 35.3%

207th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 21.7%

157th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.5%

187th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 73.1%

140th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 53.8%

153rd

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 7.5%

52nd

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 3.0%

9th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 21.5%

288th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 15.9%

185th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 30.8%

124th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 73.38

65th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.14

73rd

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.54

100th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 113.06

211th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 38.0%

246th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 80.3%

72nd

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 47.7%

307th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 60.2%

183rd

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.1%

206th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 47.9%

102nd

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 54.4%

270th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 39.8%

183rd

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 11.9%

256th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 32.3%

159th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 37.6%

338th

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 38.4%

240th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 20.3%

140th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.5%

184th

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 68.6%

48th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 53.9%

224th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 12.7%

23rd

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.7%

173rd

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.1%

153rd

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 18.5%

49th

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 69.6%

260th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 71.83

119th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.08

229th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.55

307th