College Basketball Analytics, Insights, and Trends
| Model | Score | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Adj EM | -8.47 | 234 |
| Elo | 1444.48 | 259 |
| RPI | 0.478 | 217 |
The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).
| Date | Opponent | Site | Type | Result | Score | Record (Conf) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Tennessee State | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-29 | Southern Indiana | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-31 | Morehead State | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-03 | SIU Edwardsville | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-05 | Little Rock | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-12 | UT Martin | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-14 | Southeast Missouri State | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-19 | Tennessee State | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-21 | Tennessee Tech | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-26 | Eastern Illinois | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-28 | Western Illinois | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| Date | Opponent | Site | Type | Result | Score | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-07 | Dayton | A | Non-Conference | L | 46-73 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-10 | Hannibal-LaGrange | H | Non-D1 | W | 85-58 | 1-1 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-13 | Missouri | A | Non-Conference | L | 53-82 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-18 | Lamar | N | Non-Conference | L | 71-73 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-19 | McNeese | A | Non-Conference | W | 78-60 | 2-3 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-20 | W Carolina | N | Non-Conference | L | 88-90 | 2-4 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-23 | Idaho State | H | Non-Conference | W | 77-76 | 3-4 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-25 | Illinois | A | Non-Conference | L | 59-92 | 3-5 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-03 | UM Kansas City | A | Non-Conference | L | 47-61 | 3-6 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-17 | Knox | H | Non-D1 | W | 77-42 | 4-6 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-20 | BYU | A | Non-Conference | L | 61-90 | 4-7 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-22 | Dixie State | A | Non-Conference | L | 64-95 | 4-8 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-29 | E Illinois | A | Conference | L | 54-55 | 4-9 (0-1) |
| 2022-12-31 | Tenn Tech | H | Conference | W | 82-64 | 5-9 (1-1) |
| 2023-01-04 | Little Rock | A | Conference | W | 67-62 | 6-9 (2-1) |
| 2023-01-07 | Tennessee St | H | Conference | L | 57-60 | 6-10 (2-2) |
| 2023-01-12 | SE Missouri St | A | Conference | L | 71-94 | 6-11 (2-3) |
| 2023-01-14 | SIUE | A | Conference | L | 58-68 | 6-12 (2-4) |
| 2023-01-19 | Southern Indiana | H | Conference | L | 65-81 | 6-13 (2-5) |
| 2023-01-21 | Morehead State | H | Conference | L | 63-72 | 6-14 (2-6) |
| 2023-01-26 | UT Martin | A | Conference | L | 59-66 | 6-15 (2-7) |
| 2023-01-28 | Tennessee St | A | Conference | L | 66-83 | 6-16 (2-8) |
| 2023-02-02 | E Illinois | H | Conference | W | 80-67 | 7-16 (3-8) |
| 2023-02-04 | UT Martin | H | Conference | W | 80-75 | 8-16 (4-8) |
| 2023-02-09 | SIUE | H | Conference | L | 58-63 | 8-17 (4-9) |
| 2023-02-11 | Southern Indiana | A | Conference | L | 64-74 | 8-18 (4-10) |
| 2023-02-16 | Tenn Tech | A | Conference | L | 68-77 | 8-19 (4-11) |
| 2023-02-18 | Morehead State | A | Conference | L | 58-71 | 8-20 (4-12) |
| 2023-02-23 | SE Missouri St | H | Conference | W | 105-102 | 9-20 (5-12) |
| 2023-02-25 | Little Rock | H | Conference | W | 97-96 | 10-20 (6-12) |
| 2023-03-01 | SE Missouri St | N | Conference Tournament | L | 65-84 | 10-21 (6-12) |
| 2023-11-06 | Nebraska | A | Non-Conference | L | 52-84 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-09 | Iowa State | A | Non-Conference | L | 47-102 | 0-2 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-13 | Hannibal-LaGrange | H | Non-D1 | W | 83-52 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-16 | Air Force | A | Non-Conference | L | 58-76 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-17 | Omaha | N | Non-Conference | W | 72-70 | 2-3 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-19 | William & Mary | N | Non-Conference | W | 71-60 | 3-3 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-27 | Dixie State | H | Non-Conference | L | 66-73 | 3-4 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-02 | Idaho State | A | Non-Conference | L | 70-76 | 3-5 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-09 | UM Kansas City | H | Non-Conference | L | 67-72 | 3-6 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-12 | Avila | H | Non-D1 | W | 81-64 | 4-6 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-16 | IUPUI | A | Non-Conference | W | 73-67 | 5-6 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-19 | Missouri State | A | Non-Conference | L | 57-79 | 5-7 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-22 | Rockford | H | Non-D1 | W | 81-54 | 6-7 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-31 | Southern Indiana | H | Conference | L | 62-73 | 6-8 (0-1) |
| 2024-01-06 | W Illinois | A | Conference | L | 57-68 | 6-9 (0-2) |
| 2024-01-11 | SE Missouri St | A | Conference | W | 74-68 | 7-9 (1-2) |
| 2024-01-13 | Tennessee St | A | Conference | L | 60-75 | 7-10 (1-3) |
| 2024-01-18 | SIUE | H | Conference | L | 59-78 | 7-11 (1-4) |
| 2024-01-20 | E Illinois | H | Conference | L | 68-78 | 7-12 (1-5) |
| 2024-01-25 | Little Rock | A | Conference | L | 66-80 | 7-13 (1-6) |
| 2024-01-27 | UT Martin | A | Conference | L | 67-76 | 7-14 (1-7) |
| 2024-01-30 | SE Missouri St | H | Conference | W | 58-54 | 8-14 (2-7) |
| 2024-02-01 | W Illinois | H | Conference | L | 71-79 | 8-15 (2-8) |
| 2024-02-08 | Tennessee St | H | Conference | L | 55-65 | 8-16 (2-9) |
| 2024-02-10 | Tenn Tech | H | Conference | L | 53-62 | 8-17 (2-10) |
| 2024-02-15 | SIUE | A | Conference | L | 63-91 | 8-18 (2-11) |
| 2024-02-17 | E Illinois | A | Conference | L | 57-72 | 8-19 (2-12) |
| 2024-02-22 | UT Martin | H | Conference | L | 82-106 | 8-20 (2-13) |
| 2024-02-24 | Little Rock | H | Conference | L | 73-82 | 8-21 (2-14) |
| 2024-02-29 | Southern Indiana | A | Conference | W | 67-63 | 9-21 (3-14) |
| 2024-03-02 | Morehead State | A | Conference | L | 49-67 | 9-22 (3-15) |
| 2024-11-04 | Oklahoma | A | Non-Conference | L | 60-93 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-07 | University of Health Sciences & Pharmacy | H | Non-D1 | W | 98-30 | 1-1 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-14 | New Orleans | N | Non-Conference | L | 74-82 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-15 | Robert Morris | A | Non-Conference | L | 53-67 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-17 | Stonehill | N | Non-Conference | W | 75-74 | 2-3 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-21 | Valparaiso | A | Non-Conference | L | 64-77 | 2-4 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-27 | Missouri | A | Non-Conference | L | 61-81 | 2-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-04 | East-West University | H | Non-D1 | W | 102-45 | 3-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-07 | Ole Miss | A | Non-Conference | L | 53-86 | 3-6 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-10 | Harris-Stowe State | H | Non-D1 | W | 99-53 | 4-6 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-14 | IUPUI | H | Non-Conference | W | 81-63 | 5-6 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-19 | Tenn Tech | H | Conference | L | 73-79 | 5-7 (0-1) |
| 2024-12-21 | W Illinois | H | Conference | W | 71-65 | 6-7 (1-1) |
| 2025-01-02 | E Illinois | A | Conference | L | 74-78 | 6-8 (1-2) |
| 2025-01-04 | SIUE | A | Conference | L | 47-58 | 6-9 (1-3) |
| 2025-01-09 | Tennessee St | H | Conference | W | 72-62 | 7-9 (2-3) |
| 2025-01-11 | UT Martin | H | Conference | W | 82-81 | 8-9 (3-3) |
| 2025-01-16 | Southern Indiana | A | Conference | L | 73-80 | 8-10 (3-4) |
| 2025-01-18 | Morehead State | A | Conference | L | 65-82 | 8-11 (3-5) |
| 2025-01-23 | SE Missouri St | H | Conference | W | 72-68 | 9-11 (4-5) |
| 2025-01-25 | Little Rock | H | Conference | L | 46-78 | 9-12 (4-6) |
| 2025-01-30 | SIUE | H | Conference | W | 65-63 | 10-12 (5-6) |
| 2025-02-01 | E Illinois | H | Conference | L | 70-76 | 10-13 (5-7) |
| 2025-02-06 | UT Martin | A | Conference | W | 52-51 | 11-13 (6-7) |
| 2025-02-08 | Tennessee St | A | Conference | L | 76-84 | 11-14 (6-8) |
| 2025-02-13 | Morehead State | H | Conference | W | 73-60 | 12-14 (7-8) |
| 2025-02-15 | Southern Indiana | H | Conference | W | 81-78 | 13-14 (8-8) |
| 2025-02-20 | Little Rock | A | Conference | W | 93-92 | 14-14 (9-8) |
| 2025-02-22 | SE Missouri St | A | Conference | L | 58-74 | 14-15 (9-9) |
| 2025-02-25 | W Illinois | A | Conference | L | 81-86 | 14-16 (9-10) |
| 2025-03-01 | Tenn Tech | A | Conference | W | 76-74 | 15-16 (10-10) |
| 2025-03-05 | Morehead State | N | Conference Tournament | W | 73-65 | 16-16 (10-10) |
| 2025-03-06 | Tennessee St | N | Conference Tournament | L | 55-69 | 16-17 (10-10) |
| 2025-11-04 | Texas Tech | A | Non-Conference | L | 60-98 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-06 | Health Sciences & Pharmacy | H | Non-D1 | W | 116-51 | 1-1 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-10 | Saint Louis | A | Non-Conference | L | 66-109 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-14 | Charleston So | N | Non-Conference | W | 83-77 | 2-2 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-16 | Alabama A&M | A | Non-Conference | L | 65-74 | 2-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-20 | Indiana | A | Non-Conference | L | 53-73 | 2-4 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-24 | UM Kansas City | H | Non-Conference | W | 80-67 | 3-4 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-02 | N Illinois | A | Non-Conference | W | 99-64 | 4-4 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-06 | E Illinois | A | Conference | W | 82-74 | 5-4 (1-0) |
| 2025-12-09 | Culver-Stockton | H | Non-D1 | W | 110-44 | 6-4 (1-0) |
| 2025-12-18 | W Illinois | H | Conference | W | 92-76 | 7-4 (2-0) |
| 2025-12-20 | Harris-Stowe State | H | Non-D1 | W | 109-52 | 8-4 (2-0) |
| 2025-12-23 | Missouri State | A | Non-Conference | L | 65-70 | 8-5 (2-0) |
| 2026-01-01 | Morehead State | H | Conference | W | 77-64 | 9-5 (3-0) |
| 2026-01-03 | Southern Indiana | H | Conference | W | 83-80 | 10-5 (4-0) |
| 2026-01-06 | SIUE | A | Conference | L | 62-66 | 10-6 (4-1) |
| 2026-01-10 | Little Rock | H | Conference | L | 74-82 | 10-7 (4-2) |
| 2026-01-15 | SE Missouri St | A | Conference | W | 88-76 | 11-7 (5-2) |
| 2026-01-17 | UT Martin | A | Conference | L | 55-69 | 11-8 (5-3) |
| 2026-01-22 | Tenn Tech | H | Conference | W | 89-68 | 12-8 (6-3) |
| 2026-01-24 | Tennessee State | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-29 | Southern Indiana | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-31 | Morehead State | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-03 | SIU Edwardsville | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-05 | Little Rock | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-12 | UT Martin | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-14 | Southeast Missouri State | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-19 | Tennessee State | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-21 | Tennessee Tech | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-26 | Eastern Illinois | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-28 | Western Illinois | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| Metric | Lindenwood | Opponent | Metric |
|---|
| Metric | Lindenwood | Opponent | Metric |
|---|
| Model | Lindenwood | Opponent | Predicted Score | Spread | Result | MAE |
|---|