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UMass Lowell

Model	Score	Rank
Adj EM	-21.75	324
Elo	1458.05	248
RPI	0.443	273

Updated through 2025-12-08

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend

About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record (Conf)
2025-12-10	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	-	-	-
2025-12-13	Quinnipiac	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-16	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-21	Boston University	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-29	Iowa	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-03	UAlbany	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-08	Bryant	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-10	Binghamton	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-15	NJIT	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-22	Vermont	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-24	UMBC	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-29	New Hampshire	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-31	Maine	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-05	NJIT	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	UAlbany	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-12	Bryant	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-19	New Hampshire	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-21	Binghamton	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-26	Vermont	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	UMBC	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-03	Maine	A	Conference	-	-	-

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record
2013-11-08	Michigan	A	Non-Conference	L	42-69	0-1 (0-0)
2013-11-13	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	L	65-91	0-2 (0-0)
2013-11-16	Dartmouth	A	Non-Conference	L	59-77	0-3 (0-0)
2013-11-19	Brown	H	Non-Conference	L	76-87	0-4 (0-0)
2013-11-23	URI	A	Non-Conference	L	68-79	0-5 (0-0)
2013-11-26	Cincinnati	A	Non-Conference	L	49-79	0-6 (0-0)
2013-12-01	Mount Ida College	H	Non-D1	W	73-45	1-6 (0-0)
2013-12-03	St Bonaventure	A	Non-Conference	L	58-67	1-7 (0-0)
2013-12-07	NJIT	A	Non-Conference	L	44-55	1-8 (0-0)
2013-12-09	Columbia	A	Non-Conference	L	39-78	1-9 (0-0)
2013-12-18	Vermont	H	Conference	L	48-62	1-10 (0-1)
2013-12-21	Duquesne	H	Non-Conference	L	77-95	1-11 (0-1)
2014-01-05	UMBC	H	Conference	W	59-54	2-11 (1-1)
2014-01-11	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	71-59	3-11 (2-1)
2014-01-15	Albany	H	Conference	W	70-66	4-11 (3-1)
2014-01-18	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	65-70	4-12 (3-2)
2014-01-20	Hartford	A	Conference	L	51-69	4-13 (3-3)
2014-01-23	Maine	A	Conference	W	74-62	5-13 (4-3)
2014-01-26	UNH	H	Conference	L	32-61	5-14 (4-4)
2014-02-01	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	62-55	6-14 (5-4)
2014-02-03	NJIT	H	Non-Conference	W	73-64	7-14 (5-4)
2014-02-05	Albany	A	Conference	L	56-73	7-15 (5-5)
2014-02-08	UMBC	A	Conference	W	71-61	8-15 (6-5)
2014-02-12	Vermont	A	Conference	L	58-83	8-16 (6-6)
2014-02-15	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	68-78	8-17 (6-7)
2014-02-19	Hartford	H	Conference	L	68-75	8-18 (6-8)
2014-02-22	UNH	A	Conference	W	58-52	9-18 (7-8)
2014-02-27	Maine	H	Conference	W	84-72	10-18 (8-8)
2014-11-14	Ohio State	A	Non-Conference	L	55-92	0-1 (0-0)
2014-11-16	URI	A	Non-Conference	L	56-72	0-2 (0-0)
2014-11-20	Sacred Heart	A	Non-Conference	W	57-54	1-2 (0-0)
2014-11-22	NJIT	A	Non-Conference	W	63-61	2-2 (0-0)
2014-11-23	Fordham	A	Non-Conference	W	64-57	3-2 (0-0)
2014-11-25	Mount Ida College	H	Non-D1	W	102-57	4-2 (0-0)
2014-11-30	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	W	69-59	5-2 (0-0)
2014-12-03	NJIT	H	Non-Conference	W	71-67	6-2 (0-0)
2014-12-06	Cornell	A	Non-Conference	L	60-71	6-3 (0-0)
2014-12-10	Dartmouth	H	Non-Conference	L	48-69	6-4 (0-0)
2014-12-20	Duquesne	A	Non-Conference	L	63-79	6-5 (0-0)
2014-12-29	Boston College	A	Non-Conference	L	47-70	6-6 (0-0)
2015-01-02	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	50-40	7-6 (1-0)
2015-01-05	Brown	A	Non-Conference	L	49-58	7-7 (1-0)
2015-01-07	UMBC	A	Conference	W	73-61	8-7 (2-0)
2015-01-10	Albany	H	Conference	L	51-64	8-8 (2-1)
2015-01-13	Maine	A	Conference	W	62-59	9-8 (3-1)
2015-01-17	Hartford	A	Conference	L	62-68	9-9 (3-2)
2015-01-19	UNH	A	Conference	L	64-67	9-10 (3-3)
2015-01-22	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	45-65	9-11 (3-4)
2015-01-25	Vermont	H	Conference	L	50-61	9-12 (3-5)
2015-01-31	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	69-76	9-13 (3-6)
2015-02-05	UMBC	H	Conference	W	67-51	10-13 (4-6)
2015-02-07	Albany	A	Conference	L	59-69	10-14 (4-7)
2015-02-11	Vermont	A	Conference	L	53-96	10-15 (4-8)
2015-02-14	Hartford	H	Conference	W	69-63	11-15 (5-8)
2015-02-18	Maine	H	Conference	W	82-71	12-15 (6-8)
2015-02-21	UNH	H	Conference	L	60-76	12-16 (6-9)
2015-02-25	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	60-75	12-17 (6-10)
2015-11-13	Northwestern	A	Non-Conference	L	57-79	0-1 (0-0)
2015-11-18	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	W	87-84	1-1 (0-0)
2015-11-21	Notre Dame	A	Non-Conference	L	57-83	1-2 (0-0)
2015-11-24	Wheelock College	H	Non-D1	W	104-76	2-2 (0-0)
2015-11-29	Cornell	H	Non-Conference	W	80-77	3-2 (0-0)
2015-12-03	LIU Brooklyn	A	Non-Conference	L	72-84	3-3 (0-0)
2015-12-05	NJIT	A	Non-Conference	L	77-90	3-4 (0-0)
2015-12-06	Boston College	A	Non-Conference	W	68-66	4-4 (0-0)
2015-12-10	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	L	60-80	4-5 (0-0)
2015-12-18	Cent Conn St	A	Non-Conference	L	79-83	4-6 (0-0)
2015-12-20	UConn	A	Non-Conference	L	79-88	4-7 (0-0)
2015-12-28	Rutgers	A	Non-Conference	L	66-89	4-8 (0-0)
2015-12-30	Wagner	A	Non-Conference	L	62-76	4-9 (0-0)
2016-01-06	Hartford	H	Conference	W	80-76	5-9 (1-0)
2016-01-09	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	59-86	5-10 (1-1)
2016-01-13	Maine	H	Conference	L	81-95	5-11 (1-2)
2016-01-16	UMBC	A	Conference	W	95-89	6-11 (2-2)
2016-01-18	Vermont	A	Conference	W	93-82	7-11 (3-2)
2016-01-21	UNH	H	Conference	L	76-78	7-12 (3-3)
2016-01-24	Binghamton	H	Conference	L	57-64	7-13 (3-4)
2016-01-27	Albany	A	Conference	L	63-75	7-14 (3-5)
2016-02-03	Hartford	A	Conference	W	85-83	8-14 (4-5)
2016-02-06	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	73-91	8-15 (4-6)
2016-02-08	Vermont	H	Conference	W	100-93	9-15 (5-6)
2016-02-11	Maine	A	Conference	W	108-95	10-15 (6-6)
2016-02-14	UMBC	H	Conference	W	96-92	11-15 (7-6)
2016-02-17	UNH	A	Conference	L	69-80	11-16 (7-7)
2016-02-20	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	77-81	11-17 (7-8)
2016-02-24	Albany	H	Conference	L	61-86	11-18 (7-9)
2016-11-11	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	76-90	0-1 (0-0)
2016-11-14	Wagner	H	Non-Conference	W	87-76	1-1 (0-0)
2016-11-16	Indiana	A	Non-Conference	L	78-100	1-2 (0-0)
2016-11-19	Fort Wayne	A	Non-Conference	L	81-94	1-3 (0-0)
2016-11-21	Liberty	A	Non-Conference	L	77-84	1-4 (0-0)
2016-11-22	Miss Valley St	N	Non-Conference	W	76-71	2-4 (0-0)
2016-11-26	LIU Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	L	78-82	2-5 (0-0)
2016-11-29	Marist	A	Non-Conference	L	69-81	2-6 (0-0)
2016-12-03	NJIT	H	Non-Conference	L	74-75	2-7 (0-0)
2016-12-06	Sacred Heart	A	Non-Conference	L	82-91	2-8 (0-0)
2016-12-18	Cent Conn St	H	Non-Conference	W	86-69	3-8 (0-0)
2016-12-21	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	W	77-75	4-8 (0-0)
2016-12-23	Loyola (MD)	A	Non-Conference	L	60-69	4-9 (0-0)
2016-12-29	Cornell	A	Non-Conference	W	98-96	5-9 (0-0)
2017-01-05	Albany	H	Conference	W	85-79	6-9 (1-0)
2017-01-08	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	79-75	7-9 (2-0)
2017-01-11	Maine	A	Conference	L	71-73	7-10 (2-1)
2017-01-14	Hartford	H	Conference	W	71-55	8-10 (3-1)
2017-01-16	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	75-86	8-11 (3-2)
2017-01-19	Vermont	A	Conference	L	67-81	8-12 (3-3)
2017-01-22	UMBC	H	Conference	L	86-102	8-13 (3-4)
2017-01-25	UNH	A	Conference	L	71-80	8-14 (3-5)
2017-01-28	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	97-73	9-14 (3-5)
2017-02-01	Albany	A	Conference	L	77-90	9-15 (3-6)
2017-02-04	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	60-59	10-15 (4-6)
2017-02-06	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	72-83	10-16 (4-7)
2017-02-09	Maine	H	Conference	W	100-68	11-16 (5-7)
2017-02-12	Hartford	A	Conference	L	84-87	11-17 (5-8)
2017-02-15	Vermont	H	Conference	L	66-87	11-18 (5-9)
2017-02-18	UMBC	A	Conference	L	102-108	11-19 (5-10)
2017-02-22	UNH	H	Conference	L	67-78	11-20 (5-11)
2017-11-10	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	69-74	0-1 (0-0)
2017-11-12	Massachusetts-Boston	H	Non-D1	W	102-63	1-1 (0-0)
2017-11-15	Marist	H	Non-Conference	W	76-73	2-1 (0-0)
2017-11-19	Cornell	H	Non-Conference	W	98-78	3-1 (0-0)
2017-11-22	LIU Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	W	74-66	4-1 (0-0)
2017-11-26	Loyola (MD)	H	Non-Conference	W	83-75	5-1 (0-0)
2017-11-29	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	L	80-87	5-2 (0-0)
2017-12-03	NJIT	A	Non-Conference	L	65-78	5-3 (0-0)
2017-12-05	Wagner	A	Non-Conference	L	72-90	5-4 (0-0)
2017-12-09	Brown	A	Non-Conference	L	75-89	5-5 (0-0)
2017-12-13	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	W	87-82	6-5 (0-0)
2017-12-23	Cent Conn St	H	Non-Conference	L	73-76	6-6 (0-0)
2017-12-30	Wisconsin	A	Non-Conference	L	53-82	6-7 (0-0)
2018-01-04	Vermont	H	Conference	L	77-88	6-8 (0-1)
2018-01-10	Hartford	A	Conference	L	73-84	6-9 (0-2)
2018-01-13	UMBC	H	Conference	L	62-89	6-10 (0-3)
2018-01-15	UNH	H	Conference	L	62-74	6-11 (0-4)
2018-01-18	Albany	A	Conference	L	62-70	6-12 (0-5)
2018-01-21	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	79-71	7-12 (1-5)
2018-01-24	Stony Brook	H	Conference	W	82-79	8-12 (2-5)
2018-01-27	Hartford	H	Conference	L	70-77	8-13 (2-6)
2018-01-31	Maine	A	Conference	W	88-64	9-13 (3-6)
2018-02-08	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	68-81	9-14 (3-7)
2018-02-11	Vermont	A	Conference	L	69-81	9-15 (3-8)
2018-02-15	Albany	H	Conference	L	81-91	9-16 (3-9)
2018-02-18	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	74-69	10-16 (4-9)
2018-02-21	Maine	H	Conference	W	88-76	11-16 (5-9)
2018-02-24	UMBC	A	Conference	L	75-83	11-17 (5-10)
2018-02-27	UNH	A	Conference	W	92-77	12-17 (6-10)
2018-03-03	UMBC	N	Conference Tournament	L	77-89	12-18 (6-10)
2018-11-06	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	75-83	0-1 (0-0)
2018-11-10	Wagner	H	Non-Conference	W	88-84	1-1 (0-0)
2018-11-13	Cent Conn St	A	Non-Conference	L	74-86	1-2 (0-0)
2018-11-16	Brown	A	Non-Conference	L	74-82	1-3 (0-0)
2018-11-17	Army	N	Non-Conference	W	92-85	2-3 (0-0)
2018-11-18	Sacred Heart	N	Non-Conference	W	94-90	3-3 (0-0)
2018-11-23	Massachusetts-Boston	H	Non-D1	W	88-59	4-3 (0-0)
2018-11-25	Duquesne	A	Non-Conference	L	71-83	4-4 (0-0)
2018-11-27	UConn	A	Non-Conference	L	75-97	4-5 (0-0)
2018-12-01	NJIT	H	Non-Conference	W	94-71	5-5 (0-0)
2018-12-04	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	L	60-79	5-6 (0-0)
2018-12-07	Maine-Fort Kent	H	Non-D1	W	110-63	6-6 (0-0)
2018-12-11	St Francis (BKN)	A	Non-Conference	L	69-75	6-7 (0-0)
2018-12-21	Loyola (MD)	H	Non-Conference	W	97-79	7-7 (0-0)
2018-12-29	Sacred Heart	A	Non-Conference	W	100-91	8-7 (0-0)
2019-01-05	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	63-75	8-8 (0-1)
2019-01-09	UNH	A	Conference	L	64-68	8-9 (0-2)
2019-01-12	UMBC	H	Conference	W	74-63	9-9 (1-2)
2019-01-16	Albany	H	Conference	W	84-72	10-9 (2-2)
2019-01-19	Hartford	A	Conference	W	76-73	11-9 (3-2)
2019-01-23	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	85-79	12-9 (4-2)
2019-01-30	Maine	H	Conference	L	59-78	12-10 (4-3)
2019-02-02	Vermont	H	Conference	L	65-74	12-11 (4-4)
2019-02-06	UNH	H	Conference	W	72-62	13-11 (5-4)
2019-02-09	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	65-76	13-12 (5-5)
2019-02-13	Albany	A	Conference	W	86-54	14-12 (6-5)
2019-02-16	UMBC	A	Conference	L	66-70	14-13 (6-6)
2019-02-21	Binghamton	H	Conference	L	66-81	14-14 (6-7)
2019-02-23	Hartford	H	Conference	L	73-75	14-15 (6-8)
2019-02-27	Maine	A	Conference	W	70-61	15-15 (7-8)
2019-03-05	Vermont	A	Conference	L	57-74	15-16 (7-9)
2019-03-09	Hartford	N	Conference Tournament	L	70-78	15-17 (7-9)
2019-11-05	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	64-79	0-1 (0-0)
2019-11-08	Brooklyn	A	Non-Conference	W	87-74	1-1 (0-0)
2019-11-10	Ohio State	A	Non-Conference	L	56-76	1-2 (0-0)
2019-11-12	Massachusetts-Boston	H	Non-D1	W	88-45	2-2 (0-0)
2019-11-15	Jacksonville	H	Non-Conference	L	78-80	2-3 (0-0)
2019-11-16	Merrimack	H	Non-Conference	L	58-60	2-4 (0-0)
2019-11-17	Dartmouth	H	Non-Conference	L	75-80	2-5 (0-0)
2019-11-26	Brown	H	Non-Conference	W	75-63	3-5 (0-0)
2019-12-01	Cent Conn St	H	Non-Conference	W	73-71	4-5 (0-0)
2019-12-04	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	L	86-89	4-6 (0-0)
2019-12-07	St Francis (BKN)	H	Non-Conference	W	94-63	5-6 (0-0)
2019-12-11	NJIT	A	Non-Conference	W	72-66	6-6 (0-0)
2019-12-21	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	L	62-74	6-7 (0-0)
2019-12-27	Loyola (MD)	A	Non-Conference	L	81-93	6-8 (0-0)
2019-12-29	Michigan	A	Non-Conference	L	60-86	6-9 (0-0)
2020-01-04	UMBC	A	Conference	W	86-73	7-9 (1-0)
2020-01-08	Hartford	H	Conference	L	68-80	7-10 (1-1)
2020-01-11	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	85-66	8-10 (2-1)
2020-01-15	Maine	A	Conference	L	98-104	8-11 (2-2)
2020-01-22	Albany	A	Conference	L	75-101	8-12 (2-3)
2020-01-25	Vermont	A	Conference	L	62-92	8-13 (2-4)
2020-01-29	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	76-84	8-14 (2-5)
2020-02-01	UNH	H	Conference	W	77-75	9-14 (3-5)
2020-02-05	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	70-77	9-15 (3-6)
2020-02-08	UMBC	H	Conference	L	50-60	9-16 (3-7)
2020-02-12	Maine	H	Conference	W	71-63	10-16 (4-7)
2020-02-15	Hartford	A	Conference	W	74-67	11-16 (5-7)
2020-02-20	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	84-86	11-17 (5-8)
2020-02-26	Albany	H	Conference	W	88-69	12-17 (6-8)
2020-02-29	Vermont	H	Conference	L	77-94	12-18 (6-9)
2020-03-03	UNH	A	Conference	W	63-54	13-18 (7-9)
2020-03-07	Hartford	N	Conference Tournament	L	75-89	13-19 (7-9)
2020-11-25	San Francisco	N	Non-Conference	W	76-68	1-0 (0-0)
2020-11-28	Illinois State	N	Non-Conference	L	72-82	1-1 (0-0)
2020-11-29	Ohio State	A	Non-Conference	L	64-74	1-2 (0-0)
2020-12-03	NC State	N	Non-Conference	L	59-90	1-3 (0-0)
2020-12-21	Vermont	H	Conference	W	73-65	2-3 (1-0)
2020-12-22	Vermont	H	Conference	L	53-62	2-4 (1-1)
2020-12-27	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	58-73	2-5 (1-2)
2020-12-28	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	64-71	2-6 (1-3)
2021-01-02	NJIT	H	Conference	L	67-73	2-7 (1-4)
2021-01-03	NJIT	H	Conference	W	74-60	3-7 (2-4)
2021-01-09	Hartford	H	Conference	W	71-62	4-7 (3-4)
2021-01-10	Hartford	H	Conference	L	58-75	4-8 (3-5)
2021-01-16	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	92-78	5-8 (4-5)
2021-01-17	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	77-67	6-8 (5-5)
2021-02-05	UNH	A	Conference	W	74-69	7-8 (6-5)
2021-02-06	UNH	A	Conference	L	63-74	7-9 (6-6)
2021-02-12	Albany	A	Conference	W	79-71	8-9 (7-6)
2021-02-13	Albany	A	Conference	L	69-81	8-10 (7-7)
2021-02-20	UNH	H	Conference	L	67-69	8-11 (7-8)
2021-02-27	Stony Brook	N	Conference Tournament	W	64-62	9-11 (7-8)
2021-02-28	UNH	N	Conference Tournament	W	72-64	10-11 (7-8)
2021-03-06	UMBC	N	Conference Tournament	W	79-77	11-11 (7-8)
2021-03-13	Hartford	N	Conference Tournament	L	50-64	11-12 (7-8)
2021-11-09	Rivier	H	Non-D1	W	91-55	1-0 (0-0)
2021-11-13	Dayton	A	Non-Conference	W	59-58	2-0 (0-0)
2021-11-16	Oklahoma State	N	Non-Conference	L	58-80	2-1 (0-0)
2021-11-17	Cent Conn St	N	Non-Conference	W	77-53	3-1 (0-0)
2021-11-19	G Washington	A	Non-Conference	W	67-56	4-1 (0-0)
2021-11-24	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	81-92	4-2 (0-0)
2021-11-27	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	101-38	5-2 (0-0)
2021-12-01	Brown	H	Non-Conference	L	63-73	5-3 (0-0)
2021-12-04	Merrimack	A	Non-Conference	W	61-57	6-3 (0-0)
2021-12-08	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	L	62-72	6-4 (0-0)
2021-12-11	Massachusetts College	H	Non-D1	W	109-45	7-4 (0-0)
2021-12-19	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	W	70-62	8-4 (0-0)
2022-01-02	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	63-68	8-5 (0-1)
2022-01-06	NJIT	H	Conference	L	72-77	8-6 (0-2)
2022-01-08	UMBC	A	Conference	W	66-64	9-6 (1-2)
2022-01-12	Albany	A	Conference	L	47-57	9-7 (1-3)
2022-01-15	Hartford	H	Conference	-	-	-
2022-01-19	Maine	H	Conference	W	71-62	10-7 (2-3)
2022-01-22	UNH	A	Conference	L	61-67	10-8 (2-4)
2022-01-26	Albany	H	Conference	L	62-64	10-9 (2-5)
2022-01-29	Hartford	A	Conference	-	-	-
2022-02-02	Maine	A	Conference	W	62-50	11-9 (3-5)
2022-02-05	Vermont	H	Conference	L	67-78	11-10 (3-6)
2022-02-07	Hartford	H	Conference	W	85-75	12-10 (4-6)
2022-02-09	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	85-87	12-11 (4-7)
2022-02-12	UMBC	H	Conference	W	88-71	13-11 (5-7)
2022-02-16	NJIT	A	Conference	L	55-59	13-12 (5-8)
2022-02-19	Binghamton	H	Conference	L	64-78	13-13 (5-9)
2022-02-23	Stony Brook	H	Conference	W	67-50	14-13 (6-9)
2022-02-26	Vermont	A	Conference	L	61-62	14-14 (6-10)
2022-03-01	UNH	H	Conference	L	48-64	14-15 (6-11)
2022-03-03	Hartford	A	Conference	W	83-73	15-15 (7-11)
2022-03-06	UMBC	N	Conference Tournament	L	85-93	15-16 (7-11)
2022-11-07	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	108-43	1-0 (0-0)
2022-11-10	Columbia	A	Non-Conference	W	89-62	2-0 (0-0)
2022-11-12	Rutgers	A	Non-Conference	L	65-73	2-1 (0-0)
2022-11-16	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	W	90-81	3-1 (0-0)
2022-11-19	Emerson	H	Non-D1	W	105-53	4-1 (0-0)
2022-11-23	Brown	A	Non-Conference	W	73-62	5-1 (0-0)
2022-11-27	Stonehill	H	Non-Conference	W	73-59	6-1 (0-0)
2022-11-30	Merrimack	H	Non-Conference	W	77-51	7-1 (0-0)
2022-12-03	Sacred Heart	A	Non-Conference	W	70-59	8-1 (0-0)
2022-12-05	Brooklyn	A	Non-Conference	W	84-64	9-1 (0-0)
2022-12-08	UMass	A	Non-Conference	W	85-80	10-1 (0-0)
2022-12-10	St Francis (BKN)	H	Non-Conference	W	68-59	11-1 (0-0)
2022-12-13	URI	A	Non-Conference	L	75-77	11-2 (0-0)
2022-12-21	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	W	68-60	12-2 (0-0)
2022-12-31	NJIT	A	Conference	W	67-64	13-2 (1-0)
2023-01-05	Maine	H	Conference	W	72-70	14-2 (2-0)
2023-01-08	Albany	A	Conference	L	63-89	14-3 (2-1)
2023-01-11	Vermont	H	Conference	W	80-65	15-3 (3-1)
2023-01-14	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	65-66	15-4 (3-2)
2023-01-18	UMBC	H	Conference	W	81-75	16-4 (4-2)
2023-01-22	Bryant	H	Conference	W	98-79	17-4 (5-2)
2023-01-25	Maine	A	Conference	L	70-75	17-5 (5-3)
2023-01-28	UNH	A	Conference	L	65-69	17-6 (5-4)
2023-02-01	Albany	H	Conference	W	66-50	18-6 (6-4)
2023-02-04	NJIT	H	Conference	W	90-61	19-6 (7-4)
2023-02-06	Hartford	A	Non-D1	W	70-48	20-6 (7-4)
2023-02-11	Vermont	A	Conference	L	81-93	20-7 (7-5)
2023-02-15	Bryant	A	Conference	W	85-71	21-7 (8-5)
2023-02-18	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	84-70	22-7 (9-5)
2023-02-22	UMBC	A	Conference	W	75-70	23-7 (10-5)
2023-02-25	UNH	H	Conference	W	92-55	24-7 (11-5)
2023-03-04	Maine	N	Conference Tournament	W	85-54	25-7 (11-5)
2023-03-07	UNH	N	Conference Tournament	W	75-64	26-7 (11-5)
2023-03-11	Vermont	N	Conference Tournament	L	59-72	26-8 (11-5)
2023-11-06	Rivier	H	Non-D1	W	96-51	1-0 (0-0)
2023-11-10	Dartmouth	A	Non-Conference	W	81-48	2-0 (0-0)
2023-11-14	Georgia Tech	A	Non-Conference	W	74-71	3-0 (0-0)
2023-11-16	Arizona State	A	Non-Conference	L	69-71	3-1 (0-0)
2023-11-20	St Peter's	A	Non-Conference	W	69-61	4-1 (0-0)
2023-11-29	Stonehill	A	Non-Conference	W	80-74	5-1 (0-0)
2023-12-02	Merrimack	A	Non-Conference	L	68-74	5-2 (0-0)
2023-12-05	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	117-69	6-2 (0-0)
2023-12-09	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	77-91	6-3 (0-0)
2023-12-12	Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	W	78-65	7-3 (0-0)
2023-12-16	Cent Conn St	H	Non-Conference	L	54-57	7-4 (0-0)
2023-12-22	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	W	71-63	8-4 (0-0)
2023-12-31	Emerson	H	Non-D1	W	116-48	9-4 (0-0)
2024-01-06	UNH	A	Conference	W	82-75	10-4 (1-0)
2024-01-11	NJIT	H	Conference	W	70-62	11-4 (2-0)
2024-01-13	UMBC	H	Conference	W	86-82	12-4 (3-0)
2024-01-18	Albany	A	Conference	W	97-76	13-4 (4-0)
2024-01-20	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	80-60	14-4 (5-0)
2024-01-25	Vermont	H	Conference	L	65-72	14-5 (5-1)
2024-02-01	Maine	H	Conference	W	76-62	15-5 (6-1)
2024-02-03	UNH	H	Conference	L	73-89	15-6 (6-2)
2024-02-08	UMBC	A	Conference	W	93-80	16-6 (7-2)
2024-02-10	NJIT	A	Conference	L	64-71	16-7 (7-3)
2024-02-17	Bryant	A	Conference	W	86-77	17-7 (8-3)
2024-02-22	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	87-80	18-7 (9-3)
2024-02-24	Albany	H	Conference	W	104-95	19-7 (10-3)
2024-02-29	Bryant	H	Conference	W	89-67	20-7 (11-3)
2024-03-02	Vermont	A	Conference	L	62-74	20-8 (11-4)
2024-03-05	Maine	A	Conference	L	65-71	20-9 (11-5)
2024-03-09	UMBC	N	Conference Tournament	W	94-89	21-9 (11-5)
2024-03-12	Bryant	H	Non-Conference	W	77-70	22-9 (11-5)
2024-03-16	Vermont	N	Conference Tournament	L	61-66	22-10 (11-5)
2024-11-04	Rivier	H	Non-D1	W	115-59	1-0 (0-0)
2024-11-08	St Peter's	H	Non-Conference	W	81-74	2-0 (0-0)
2024-11-15	Gonzaga	A	Non-Conference	L	54-113	2-1 (0-0)
2024-11-17	Washington	A	Non-Conference	L	69-74	2-2 (0-0)
2024-11-20	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	121-66	3-2 (0-0)
2024-11-23	Quinnipiac	H	Non-Conference	W	80-70	4-2 (0-0)
2024-11-25	Merrimack	H	Non-Conference	W	81-74	5-2 (0-0)
2024-11-27	Saint Louis	A	Non-Conference	L	90-93	5-3 (0-0)
2024-12-01	Cent Conn St	A	Non-Conference	L	67-69	5-4 (0-0)
2024-12-07	UMass	A	Non-Conference	W	96-83	6-4 (0-0)
2024-12-11	Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	W	69-62	7-4 (0-0)
2024-12-14	Dartmouth	H	Non-Conference	W	92-83	8-4 (0-0)
2024-12-18	Stonehill	H	Non-Conference	W	78-67	9-4 (0-0)
2024-12-21	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	W	83-71	10-4 (0-0)
2025-01-04	Albany	A	Conference	W	73-69	11-4 (1-0)
2025-01-09	Vermont	H	Conference	L	63-67	11-5 (1-1)
2025-01-11	NJIT	H	Conference	W	70-62	12-5 (2-1)
2025-01-18	Bryant	A	Conference	L	62-85	12-6 (2-2)
2025-01-23	Maine	H	Conference	L	85-86	12-7 (2-3)
2025-01-25	UNH	H	Conference	W	97-80	13-7 (3-3)
2025-01-30	NJIT	A	Conference	L	62-83	13-8 (3-4)
2025-02-01	UMBC	A	Conference	W	83-67	14-8 (4-4)
2025-02-06	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	54-66	14-9 (4-5)
2025-02-13	Albany	H	Conference	L	88-90	14-10 (4-6)
2025-02-15	UNH	A	Conference	L	79-80	14-11 (4-7)
2025-02-20	UMBC	H	Conference	W	98-79	15-11 (5-7)
2025-02-22	Vermont	A	Conference	L	61-85	15-12 (5-8)
2025-02-27	Bryant	H	Conference	L	78-79	15-13 (5-9)
2025-03-01	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	79-53	16-13 (6-9)
2025-03-04	Maine	A	Conference	L	70-71	16-14 (6-10)
2025-03-08	Maine	N	Conference Tournament	L	64-72	16-15 (6-10)
2025-11-03	Rivier	H	Non-D1	W	107-55	1-0 (0-0)
2025-11-07	UConn	A	Non-Conference	L	47-110	1-1 (0-0)
2025-11-10	New Haven	H	Non-Conference	L	67-73	1-2 (0-0)
2025-11-13	Columbia	A	Non-Conference	L	72-86	1-3 (0-0)
2025-11-16	Wake Forest	A	Non-Conference	L	75-109	1-4 (0-0)
2025-11-19	Bradley	A	Non-Conference	L	77-87	1-5 (0-0)
2025-11-22	Saint Peter's	A	Non-Conference	L	66-68	1-6 (0-0)
2025-11-26	Stonehill	A	Non-Conference	W	75-64	2-6 (0-0)
2025-11-29	Emerson	H	Non-D1	W	90-67	3-6 (0-0)
2025-12-06	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	60-80	3-7 (0-0)
2025-12-10	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	-	-	-
2025-12-13	Quinnipiac	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-16	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-21	Boston University	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-29	Iowa	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-03	UAlbany	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-08	Bryant	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-10	Binghamton	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-15	NJIT	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-22	Vermont	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-24	UMBC	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-29	New Hampshire	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-31	Maine	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-05	NJIT	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	UAlbany	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-12	Bryant	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-19	New Hampshire	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-21	Binghamton	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-26	Vermont	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	UMBC	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-03	Maine	A	Conference	-	-	-

UMass Lowell Offense

Metric	UMass Lowell	Opponent	Metric

UMass Lowell Defense

Metric	UMass Lowell	Opponent	Metric

Model Predictions

Model	UMass Lowell	Opponent	Predicted Score	Spread	Result	MAE

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Offense: Vitals

Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.467
Rank: 4 of 9 in AEC, 300 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 7 of 9 in AEC, 285 of 365 in D1

300th

Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.200
Rank: 6 of 9 in AEC, 348 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 7 of 9 in AEC, 331 of 365 in D1

348th

Off Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 26.430
Rank: 2 of 9 in AEC, 239 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 2 of 9 in AEC, 43 of 365 in D1

239th

FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.454
Rank: 2 of 9 in AEC, 33 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 1 of 9 in AEC, 2 of 365 in D1

33rd

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.547
Rank: 7 of 9 in AEC, 288 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 3 of 9 in AEC, 131 of 365 in D1

288th

Opp Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.149
Rank: 3 of 9 in AEC, 254 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 2 of 9 in AEC, 146 of 365 in D1

254th

Def Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 63.500
Rank: 9 of 9 in AEC, 347 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 7 of 9 in AEC, 322 of 365 in D1

347th

Opp FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.290
Rank: 3 of 9 in AEC, 49 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 6 of 9 in AEC, 162 of 365 in D1

49th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 95.30

313th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 33.2%

326th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 75.2%

359th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 43.9%

246th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 68.9%

28th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.6%

181st

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 51.5%

148th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 51.0%

241st

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 31.1%

338th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 6.7%

357th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.8%

353rd

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 28.6%

330th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 45.4%

33rd

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.1%

55th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 37.5%

24th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 66.2%

310th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 52.6%

192nd

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 13.1%

360th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 5.3%

299th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.4%

178th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 20.0%

348th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 26.4%

239th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 72.76

130th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 0.98

316th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.47

300th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 117.05

313th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 42.0%

344th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 88.8%

341st

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 47.6%

297th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 63.1%

265th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.4%

323rd

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 55.8%

324th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 52.4%

187th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 36.9%

101st

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 12.6%

283rd

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 33.0%

186th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 38.2%

337th

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 29.0%

49th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 19.2%

113th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.9%

86th

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 74.1%

276th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 53.9%

214th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 7.0%

319th

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 3.2%

307th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 22.6%

48th

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 14.9%

254th

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 63.5%

347th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 72.97

119th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.16

318th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.55

288th