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UMass Lowell

Model	Score	Rank
Adj EM	-14.47	287
Elo	1453.25	252
RPI	0.441	284

Updated through 2026-01-22

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend

About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record (Conf)
2026-01-24	UMBC	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-29	New Hampshire	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-31	Maine	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-05	NJIT	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	UAlbany	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-12	Bryant	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-19	New Hampshire	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-21	Binghamton	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-26	Vermont	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	UMBC	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-03	Maine	A	Conference	-	-	-

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record
2013-11-08	Michigan	A	Non-Conference	L	42-69	0-1 (0-0)
2013-11-13	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	L	65-91	0-2 (0-0)
2013-11-16	Dartmouth	A	Non-Conference	L	59-77	0-3 (0-0)
2013-11-19	Brown	H	Non-Conference	L	76-87	0-4 (0-0)
2013-11-23	URI	A	Non-Conference	L	68-79	0-5 (0-0)
2013-11-26	Cincinnati	A	Non-Conference	L	49-79	0-6 (0-0)
2013-12-01	Mount Ida College	H	Non-D1	W	73-45	1-6 (0-0)
2013-12-03	St Bonaventure	A	Non-Conference	L	58-67	1-7 (0-0)
2013-12-07	NJIT	A	Non-Conference	L	44-55	1-8 (0-0)
2013-12-09	Columbia	A	Non-Conference	L	39-78	1-9 (0-0)
2013-12-18	Vermont	H	Conference	L	48-62	1-10 (0-1)
2013-12-21	Duquesne	H	Non-Conference	L	77-95	1-11 (0-1)
2014-01-05	UMBC	H	Conference	W	59-54	2-11 (1-1)
2014-01-11	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	71-59	3-11 (2-1)
2014-01-15	Albany	H	Conference	W	70-66	4-11 (3-1)
2014-01-18	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	65-70	4-12 (3-2)
2014-01-20	Hartford	A	Conference	L	51-69	4-13 (3-3)
2014-01-23	Maine	A	Conference	W	74-62	5-13 (4-3)
2014-01-26	UNH	H	Conference	L	32-61	5-14 (4-4)
2014-02-01	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	62-55	6-14 (5-4)
2014-02-03	NJIT	H	Non-Conference	W	73-64	7-14 (5-4)
2014-02-05	Albany	A	Conference	L	56-73	7-15 (5-5)
2014-02-08	UMBC	A	Conference	W	71-61	8-15 (6-5)
2014-02-12	Vermont	A	Conference	L	58-83	8-16 (6-6)
2014-02-15	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	68-78	8-17 (6-7)
2014-02-19	Hartford	H	Conference	L	68-75	8-18 (6-8)
2014-02-22	UNH	A	Conference	W	58-52	9-18 (7-8)
2014-02-27	Maine	H	Conference	W	84-72	10-18 (8-8)
2014-11-14	Ohio State	A	Non-Conference	L	55-92	0-1 (0-0)
2014-11-16	URI	A	Non-Conference	L	56-72	0-2 (0-0)
2014-11-20	Sacred Heart	A	Non-Conference	W	57-54	1-2 (0-0)
2014-11-22	NJIT	A	Non-Conference	W	63-61	2-2 (0-0)
2014-11-23	Fordham	A	Non-Conference	W	64-57	3-2 (0-0)
2014-11-25	Mount Ida College	H	Non-D1	W	102-57	4-2 (0-0)
2014-11-30	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	W	69-59	5-2 (0-0)
2014-12-03	NJIT	H	Non-Conference	W	71-67	6-2 (0-0)
2014-12-06	Cornell	A	Non-Conference	L	60-71	6-3 (0-0)
2014-12-10	Dartmouth	H	Non-Conference	L	48-69	6-4 (0-0)
2014-12-20	Duquesne	A	Non-Conference	L	63-79	6-5 (0-0)
2014-12-29	Boston College	A	Non-Conference	L	47-70	6-6 (0-0)
2015-01-02	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	50-40	7-6 (1-0)
2015-01-05	Brown	A	Non-Conference	L	49-58	7-7 (1-0)
2015-01-07	UMBC	A	Conference	W	73-61	8-7 (2-0)
2015-01-10	Albany	H	Conference	L	51-64	8-8 (2-1)
2015-01-13	Maine	A	Conference	W	62-59	9-8 (3-1)
2015-01-17	Hartford	A	Conference	L	62-68	9-9 (3-2)
2015-01-19	UNH	A	Conference	L	64-67	9-10 (3-3)
2015-01-22	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	45-65	9-11 (3-4)
2015-01-25	Vermont	H	Conference	L	50-61	9-12 (3-5)
2015-01-31	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	69-76	9-13 (3-6)
2015-02-05	UMBC	H	Conference	W	67-51	10-13 (4-6)
2015-02-07	Albany	A	Conference	L	59-69	10-14 (4-7)
2015-02-11	Vermont	A	Conference	L	53-96	10-15 (4-8)
2015-02-14	Hartford	H	Conference	W	69-63	11-15 (5-8)
2015-02-18	Maine	H	Conference	W	82-71	12-15 (6-8)
2015-02-21	UNH	H	Conference	L	60-76	12-16 (6-9)
2015-02-25	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	60-75	12-17 (6-10)
2015-11-13	Northwestern	A	Non-Conference	L	57-79	0-1 (0-0)
2015-11-18	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	W	87-84	1-1 (0-0)
2015-11-21	Notre Dame	A	Non-Conference	L	57-83	1-2 (0-0)
2015-11-24	Wheelock College	H	Non-D1	W	104-76	2-2 (0-0)
2015-11-29	Cornell	H	Non-Conference	W	80-77	3-2 (0-0)
2015-12-03	LIU Brooklyn	A	Non-Conference	L	72-84	3-3 (0-0)
2015-12-05	NJIT	A	Non-Conference	L	77-90	3-4 (0-0)
2015-12-06	Boston College	A	Non-Conference	W	68-66	4-4 (0-0)
2015-12-10	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	L	60-80	4-5 (0-0)
2015-12-18	Cent Conn St	A	Non-Conference	L	79-83	4-6 (0-0)
2015-12-20	UConn	A	Non-Conference	L	79-88	4-7 (0-0)
2015-12-28	Rutgers	A	Non-Conference	L	66-89	4-8 (0-0)
2015-12-30	Wagner	A	Non-Conference	L	62-76	4-9 (0-0)
2016-01-06	Hartford	H	Conference	W	80-76	5-9 (1-0)
2016-01-09	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	59-86	5-10 (1-1)
2016-01-13	Maine	H	Conference	L	81-95	5-11 (1-2)
2016-01-16	UMBC	A	Conference	W	95-89	6-11 (2-2)
2016-01-18	Vermont	A	Conference	W	93-82	7-11 (3-2)
2016-01-21	UNH	H	Conference	L	76-78	7-12 (3-3)
2016-01-24	Binghamton	H	Conference	L	57-64	7-13 (3-4)
2016-01-27	Albany	A	Conference	L	63-75	7-14 (3-5)
2016-02-03	Hartford	A	Conference	W	85-83	8-14 (4-5)
2016-02-06	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	73-91	8-15 (4-6)
2016-02-08	Vermont	H	Conference	W	100-93	9-15 (5-6)
2016-02-11	Maine	A	Conference	W	108-95	10-15 (6-6)
2016-02-14	UMBC	H	Conference	W	96-92	11-15 (7-6)
2016-02-17	UNH	A	Conference	L	69-80	11-16 (7-7)
2016-02-20	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	77-81	11-17 (7-8)
2016-02-24	Albany	H	Conference	L	61-86	11-18 (7-9)
2016-11-11	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	76-90	0-1 (0-0)
2016-11-14	Wagner	H	Non-Conference	W	87-76	1-1 (0-0)
2016-11-16	Indiana	A	Non-Conference	L	78-100	1-2 (0-0)
2016-11-19	Fort Wayne	A	Non-Conference	L	81-94	1-3 (0-0)
2016-11-21	Liberty	A	Non-Conference	L	77-84	1-4 (0-0)
2016-11-22	Miss Valley St	N	Non-Conference	W	76-71	2-4 (0-0)
2016-11-26	LIU Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	L	78-82	2-5 (0-0)
2016-11-29	Marist	A	Non-Conference	L	69-81	2-6 (0-0)
2016-12-03	NJIT	H	Non-Conference	L	74-75	2-7 (0-0)
2016-12-06	Sacred Heart	A	Non-Conference	L	82-91	2-8 (0-0)
2016-12-18	Cent Conn St	H	Non-Conference	W	86-69	3-8 (0-0)
2016-12-21	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	W	77-75	4-8 (0-0)
2016-12-23	Loyola (MD)	A	Non-Conference	L	60-69	4-9 (0-0)
2016-12-29	Cornell	A	Non-Conference	W	98-96	5-9 (0-0)
2017-01-05	Albany	H	Conference	W	85-79	6-9 (1-0)
2017-01-08	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	79-75	7-9 (2-0)
2017-01-11	Maine	A	Conference	L	71-73	7-10 (2-1)
2017-01-14	Hartford	H	Conference	W	71-55	8-10 (3-1)
2017-01-16	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	75-86	8-11 (3-2)
2017-01-19	Vermont	A	Conference	L	67-81	8-12 (3-3)
2017-01-22	UMBC	H	Conference	L	86-102	8-13 (3-4)
2017-01-25	UNH	A	Conference	L	71-80	8-14 (3-5)
2017-01-28	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	97-73	9-14 (3-5)
2017-02-01	Albany	A	Conference	L	77-90	9-15 (3-6)
2017-02-04	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	60-59	10-15 (4-6)
2017-02-06	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	72-83	10-16 (4-7)
2017-02-09	Maine	H	Conference	W	100-68	11-16 (5-7)
2017-02-12	Hartford	A	Conference	L	84-87	11-17 (5-8)
2017-02-15	Vermont	H	Conference	L	66-87	11-18 (5-9)
2017-02-18	UMBC	A	Conference	L	102-108	11-19 (5-10)
2017-02-22	UNH	H	Conference	L	67-78	11-20 (5-11)
2017-11-10	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	69-74	0-1 (0-0)
2017-11-12	Massachusetts-Boston	H	Non-D1	W	102-63	1-1 (0-0)
2017-11-15	Marist	H	Non-Conference	W	76-73	2-1 (0-0)
2017-11-19	Cornell	H	Non-Conference	W	98-78	3-1 (0-0)
2017-11-22	LIU Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	W	74-66	4-1 (0-0)
2017-11-26	Loyola (MD)	H	Non-Conference	W	83-75	5-1 (0-0)
2017-11-29	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	L	80-87	5-2 (0-0)
2017-12-03	NJIT	A	Non-Conference	L	65-78	5-3 (0-0)
2017-12-05	Wagner	A	Non-Conference	L	72-90	5-4 (0-0)
2017-12-09	Brown	A	Non-Conference	L	75-89	5-5 (0-0)
2017-12-13	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	W	87-82	6-5 (0-0)
2017-12-23	Cent Conn St	H	Non-Conference	L	73-76	6-6 (0-0)
2017-12-30	Wisconsin	A	Non-Conference	L	53-82	6-7 (0-0)
2018-01-04	Vermont	H	Conference	L	77-88	6-8 (0-1)
2018-01-10	Hartford	A	Conference	L	73-84	6-9 (0-2)
2018-01-13	UMBC	H	Conference	L	62-89	6-10 (0-3)
2018-01-15	UNH	H	Conference	L	62-74	6-11 (0-4)
2018-01-18	Albany	A	Conference	L	62-70	6-12 (0-5)
2018-01-21	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	79-71	7-12 (1-5)
2018-01-24	Stony Brook	H	Conference	W	82-79	8-12 (2-5)
2018-01-27	Hartford	H	Conference	L	70-77	8-13 (2-6)
2018-01-31	Maine	A	Conference	W	88-64	9-13 (3-6)
2018-02-08	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	68-81	9-14 (3-7)
2018-02-11	Vermont	A	Conference	L	69-81	9-15 (3-8)
2018-02-15	Albany	H	Conference	L	81-91	9-16 (3-9)
2018-02-18	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	74-69	10-16 (4-9)
2018-02-21	Maine	H	Conference	W	88-76	11-16 (5-9)
2018-02-24	UMBC	A	Conference	L	75-83	11-17 (5-10)
2018-02-27	UNH	A	Conference	W	92-77	12-17 (6-10)
2018-03-03	UMBC	N	Conference Tournament	L	77-89	12-18 (6-10)
2018-11-06	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	75-83	0-1 (0-0)
2018-11-10	Wagner	H	Non-Conference	W	88-84	1-1 (0-0)
2018-11-13	Cent Conn St	A	Non-Conference	L	74-86	1-2 (0-0)
2018-11-16	Brown	A	Non-Conference	L	74-82	1-3 (0-0)
2018-11-17	Army	N	Non-Conference	W	92-85	2-3 (0-0)
2018-11-18	Sacred Heart	N	Non-Conference	W	94-90	3-3 (0-0)
2018-11-23	Massachusetts-Boston	H	Non-D1	W	88-59	4-3 (0-0)
2018-11-25	Duquesne	A	Non-Conference	L	71-83	4-4 (0-0)
2018-11-27	UConn	A	Non-Conference	L	75-97	4-5 (0-0)
2018-12-01	NJIT	H	Non-Conference	W	94-71	5-5 (0-0)
2018-12-04	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	L	60-79	5-6 (0-0)
2018-12-07	Maine-Fort Kent	H	Non-D1	W	110-63	6-6 (0-0)
2018-12-11	St Francis (BKN)	A	Non-Conference	L	69-75	6-7 (0-0)
2018-12-21	Loyola (MD)	H	Non-Conference	W	97-79	7-7 (0-0)
2018-12-29	Sacred Heart	A	Non-Conference	W	100-91	8-7 (0-0)
2019-01-05	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	63-75	8-8 (0-1)
2019-01-09	UNH	A	Conference	L	64-68	8-9 (0-2)
2019-01-12	UMBC	H	Conference	W	74-63	9-9 (1-2)
2019-01-16	Albany	H	Conference	W	84-72	10-9 (2-2)
2019-01-19	Hartford	A	Conference	W	76-73	11-9 (3-2)
2019-01-23	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	85-79	12-9 (4-2)
2019-01-30	Maine	H	Conference	L	59-78	12-10 (4-3)
2019-02-02	Vermont	H	Conference	L	65-74	12-11 (4-4)
2019-02-06	UNH	H	Conference	W	72-62	13-11 (5-4)
2019-02-09	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	65-76	13-12 (5-5)
2019-02-13	Albany	A	Conference	W	86-54	14-12 (6-5)
2019-02-16	UMBC	A	Conference	L	66-70	14-13 (6-6)
2019-02-21	Binghamton	H	Conference	L	66-81	14-14 (6-7)
2019-02-23	Hartford	H	Conference	L	73-75	14-15 (6-8)
2019-02-27	Maine	A	Conference	W	70-61	15-15 (7-8)
2019-03-05	Vermont	A	Conference	L	57-74	15-16 (7-9)
2019-03-09	Hartford	N	Conference Tournament	L	70-78	15-17 (7-9)
2019-11-05	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	64-79	0-1 (0-0)
2019-11-08	Brooklyn	A	Non-Conference	W	87-74	1-1 (0-0)
2019-11-10	Ohio State	A	Non-Conference	L	56-76	1-2 (0-0)
2019-11-12	Massachusetts-Boston	H	Non-D1	W	88-45	2-2 (0-0)
2019-11-15	Jacksonville	H	Non-Conference	L	78-80	2-3 (0-0)
2019-11-16	Merrimack	H	Non-Conference	L	58-60	2-4 (0-0)
2019-11-17	Dartmouth	H	Non-Conference	L	75-80	2-5 (0-0)
2019-11-26	Brown	H	Non-Conference	W	75-63	3-5 (0-0)
2019-12-01	Cent Conn St	H	Non-Conference	W	73-71	4-5 (0-0)
2019-12-04	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	L	86-89	4-6 (0-0)
2019-12-07	St Francis (BKN)	H	Non-Conference	W	94-63	5-6 (0-0)
2019-12-11	NJIT	A	Non-Conference	W	72-66	6-6 (0-0)
2019-12-21	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	L	62-74	6-7 (0-0)
2019-12-27	Loyola (MD)	A	Non-Conference	L	81-93	6-8 (0-0)
2019-12-29	Michigan	A	Non-Conference	L	60-86	6-9 (0-0)
2020-01-04	UMBC	A	Conference	W	86-73	7-9 (1-0)
2020-01-08	Hartford	H	Conference	L	68-80	7-10 (1-1)
2020-01-11	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	85-66	8-10 (2-1)
2020-01-15	Maine	A	Conference	L	98-104	8-11 (2-2)
2020-01-22	Albany	A	Conference	L	75-101	8-12 (2-3)
2020-01-25	Vermont	A	Conference	L	62-92	8-13 (2-4)
2020-01-29	Stony Brook	H	Conference	L	76-84	8-14 (2-5)
2020-02-01	UNH	H	Conference	W	77-75	9-14 (3-5)
2020-02-05	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	70-77	9-15 (3-6)
2020-02-08	UMBC	H	Conference	L	50-60	9-16 (3-7)
2020-02-12	Maine	H	Conference	W	71-63	10-16 (4-7)
2020-02-15	Hartford	A	Conference	W	74-67	11-16 (5-7)
2020-02-20	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	84-86	11-17 (5-8)
2020-02-26	Albany	H	Conference	W	88-69	12-17 (6-8)
2020-02-29	Vermont	H	Conference	L	77-94	12-18 (6-9)
2020-03-03	UNH	A	Conference	W	63-54	13-18 (7-9)
2020-03-07	Hartford	N	Conference Tournament	L	75-89	13-19 (7-9)
2020-11-25	San Francisco	N	Non-Conference	W	76-68	1-0 (0-0)
2020-11-28	Illinois State	N	Non-Conference	L	72-82	1-1 (0-0)
2020-11-29	Ohio State	A	Non-Conference	L	64-74	1-2 (0-0)
2020-12-03	NC State	N	Non-Conference	L	59-90	1-3 (0-0)
2020-12-21	Vermont	H	Conference	W	73-65	2-3 (1-0)
2020-12-22	Vermont	H	Conference	L	53-62	2-4 (1-1)
2020-12-27	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	58-73	2-5 (1-2)
2020-12-28	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	64-71	2-6 (1-3)
2021-01-02	NJIT	H	Conference	L	67-73	2-7 (1-4)
2021-01-03	NJIT	H	Conference	W	74-60	3-7 (2-4)
2021-01-09	Hartford	H	Conference	W	71-62	4-7 (3-4)
2021-01-10	Hartford	H	Conference	L	58-75	4-8 (3-5)
2021-01-16	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	92-78	5-8 (4-5)
2021-01-17	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	77-67	6-8 (5-5)
2021-02-05	UNH	A	Conference	W	74-69	7-8 (6-5)
2021-02-06	UNH	A	Conference	L	63-74	7-9 (6-6)
2021-02-12	Albany	A	Conference	W	79-71	8-9 (7-6)
2021-02-13	Albany	A	Conference	L	69-81	8-10 (7-7)
2021-02-20	UNH	H	Conference	L	67-69	8-11 (7-8)
2021-02-27	Stony Brook	N	Conference Tournament	W	64-62	9-11 (7-8)
2021-02-28	UNH	N	Conference Tournament	W	72-64	10-11 (7-8)
2021-03-06	UMBC	N	Conference Tournament	W	79-77	11-11 (7-8)
2021-03-13	Hartford	N	Conference Tournament	L	50-64	11-12 (7-8)
2021-11-09	Rivier	H	Non-D1	W	91-55	1-0 (0-0)
2021-11-13	Dayton	A	Non-Conference	W	59-58	2-0 (0-0)
2021-11-16	Oklahoma State	N	Non-Conference	L	58-80	2-1 (0-0)
2021-11-17	Cent Conn St	N	Non-Conference	W	77-53	3-1 (0-0)
2021-11-19	G Washington	A	Non-Conference	W	67-56	4-1 (0-0)
2021-11-24	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	81-92	4-2 (0-0)
2021-11-27	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	101-38	5-2 (0-0)
2021-12-01	Brown	H	Non-Conference	L	63-73	5-3 (0-0)
2021-12-04	Merrimack	A	Non-Conference	W	61-57	6-3 (0-0)
2021-12-08	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	L	62-72	6-4 (0-0)
2021-12-11	Massachusetts College	H	Non-D1	W	109-45	7-4 (0-0)
2021-12-19	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	W	70-62	8-4 (0-0)
2022-01-02	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	63-68	8-5 (0-1)
2022-01-06	NJIT	H	Conference	L	72-77	8-6 (0-2)
2022-01-08	UMBC	A	Conference	W	66-64	9-6 (1-2)
2022-01-12	Albany	A	Conference	L	47-57	9-7 (1-3)
2022-01-15	Hartford	H	Conference	-	-	-
2022-01-19	Maine	H	Conference	W	71-62	10-7 (2-3)
2022-01-22	UNH	A	Conference	L	61-67	10-8 (2-4)
2022-01-26	Albany	H	Conference	L	62-64	10-9 (2-5)
2022-01-29	Hartford	A	Conference	-	-	-
2022-02-02	Maine	A	Conference	W	62-50	11-9 (3-5)
2022-02-05	Vermont	H	Conference	L	67-78	11-10 (3-6)
2022-02-07	Hartford	H	Conference	W	85-75	12-10 (4-6)
2022-02-09	Stony Brook	A	Conference	L	85-87	12-11 (4-7)
2022-02-12	UMBC	H	Conference	W	88-71	13-11 (5-7)
2022-02-16	NJIT	A	Conference	L	55-59	13-12 (5-8)
2022-02-19	Binghamton	H	Conference	L	64-78	13-13 (5-9)
2022-02-23	Stony Brook	H	Conference	W	67-50	14-13 (6-9)
2022-02-26	Vermont	A	Conference	L	61-62	14-14 (6-10)
2022-03-01	UNH	H	Conference	L	48-64	14-15 (6-11)
2022-03-03	Hartford	A	Conference	W	83-73	15-15 (7-11)
2022-03-06	UMBC	N	Conference Tournament	L	85-93	15-16 (7-11)
2022-11-07	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	108-43	1-0 (0-0)
2022-11-10	Columbia	A	Non-Conference	W	89-62	2-0 (0-0)
2022-11-12	Rutgers	A	Non-Conference	L	65-73	2-1 (0-0)
2022-11-16	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	W	90-81	3-1 (0-0)
2022-11-19	Emerson	H	Non-D1	W	105-53	4-1 (0-0)
2022-11-23	Brown	A	Non-Conference	W	73-62	5-1 (0-0)
2022-11-27	Stonehill	H	Non-Conference	W	73-59	6-1 (0-0)
2022-11-30	Merrimack	H	Non-Conference	W	77-51	7-1 (0-0)
2022-12-03	Sacred Heart	A	Non-Conference	W	70-59	8-1 (0-0)
2022-12-05	Brooklyn	A	Non-Conference	W	84-64	9-1 (0-0)
2022-12-08	UMass	A	Non-Conference	W	85-80	10-1 (0-0)
2022-12-10	St Francis (BKN)	H	Non-Conference	W	68-59	11-1 (0-0)
2022-12-13	URI	A	Non-Conference	L	75-77	11-2 (0-0)
2022-12-21	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	W	68-60	12-2 (0-0)
2022-12-31	NJIT	A	Conference	W	67-64	13-2 (1-0)
2023-01-05	Maine	H	Conference	W	72-70	14-2 (2-0)
2023-01-08	Albany	A	Conference	L	63-89	14-3 (2-1)
2023-01-11	Vermont	H	Conference	W	80-65	15-3 (3-1)
2023-01-14	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	65-66	15-4 (3-2)
2023-01-18	UMBC	H	Conference	W	81-75	16-4 (4-2)
2023-01-22	Bryant	H	Conference	W	98-79	17-4 (5-2)
2023-01-25	Maine	A	Conference	L	70-75	17-5 (5-3)
2023-01-28	UNH	A	Conference	L	65-69	17-6 (5-4)
2023-02-01	Albany	H	Conference	W	66-50	18-6 (6-4)
2023-02-04	NJIT	H	Conference	W	90-61	19-6 (7-4)
2023-02-06	Hartford	A	Non-D1	W	70-48	20-6 (7-4)
2023-02-11	Vermont	A	Conference	L	81-93	20-7 (7-5)
2023-02-15	Bryant	A	Conference	W	85-71	21-7 (8-5)
2023-02-18	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	84-70	22-7 (9-5)
2023-02-22	UMBC	A	Conference	W	75-70	23-7 (10-5)
2023-02-25	UNH	H	Conference	W	92-55	24-7 (11-5)
2023-03-04	Maine	N	Conference Tournament	W	85-54	25-7 (11-5)
2023-03-07	UNH	N	Conference Tournament	W	75-64	26-7 (11-5)
2023-03-11	Vermont	N	Conference Tournament	L	59-72	26-8 (11-5)
2023-11-06	Rivier	H	Non-D1	W	96-51	1-0 (0-0)
2023-11-10	Dartmouth	A	Non-Conference	W	81-48	2-0 (0-0)
2023-11-14	Georgia Tech	A	Non-Conference	W	74-71	3-0 (0-0)
2023-11-16	Arizona State	A	Non-Conference	L	69-71	3-1 (0-0)
2023-11-20	St Peter's	A	Non-Conference	W	69-61	4-1 (0-0)
2023-11-29	Stonehill	A	Non-Conference	W	80-74	5-1 (0-0)
2023-12-02	Merrimack	A	Non-Conference	L	68-74	5-2 (0-0)
2023-12-05	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	117-69	6-2 (0-0)
2023-12-09	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	77-91	6-3 (0-0)
2023-12-12	Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	W	78-65	7-3 (0-0)
2023-12-16	Cent Conn St	H	Non-Conference	L	54-57	7-4 (0-0)
2023-12-22	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	W	71-63	8-4 (0-0)
2023-12-31	Emerson	H	Non-D1	W	116-48	9-4 (0-0)
2024-01-06	UNH	A	Conference	W	82-75	10-4 (1-0)
2024-01-11	NJIT	H	Conference	W	70-62	11-4 (2-0)
2024-01-13	UMBC	H	Conference	W	86-82	12-4 (3-0)
2024-01-18	Albany	A	Conference	W	97-76	13-4 (4-0)
2024-01-20	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	80-60	14-4 (5-0)
2024-01-25	Vermont	H	Conference	L	65-72	14-5 (5-1)
2024-02-01	Maine	H	Conference	W	76-62	15-5 (6-1)
2024-02-03	UNH	H	Conference	L	73-89	15-6 (6-2)
2024-02-08	UMBC	A	Conference	W	93-80	16-6 (7-2)
2024-02-10	NJIT	A	Conference	L	64-71	16-7 (7-3)
2024-02-17	Bryant	A	Conference	W	86-77	17-7 (8-3)
2024-02-22	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	87-80	18-7 (9-3)
2024-02-24	Albany	H	Conference	W	104-95	19-7 (10-3)
2024-02-29	Bryant	H	Conference	W	89-67	20-7 (11-3)
2024-03-02	Vermont	A	Conference	L	62-74	20-8 (11-4)
2024-03-05	Maine	A	Conference	L	65-71	20-9 (11-5)
2024-03-09	UMBC	N	Conference Tournament	W	94-89	21-9 (11-5)
2024-03-12	Bryant	H	Non-Conference	W	77-70	22-9 (11-5)
2024-03-16	Vermont	N	Conference Tournament	L	61-66	22-10 (11-5)
2024-11-04	Rivier	H	Non-D1	W	115-59	1-0 (0-0)
2024-11-08	St Peter's	H	Non-Conference	W	81-74	2-0 (0-0)
2024-11-15	Gonzaga	A	Non-Conference	L	54-113	2-1 (0-0)
2024-11-17	Washington	A	Non-Conference	L	69-74	2-2 (0-0)
2024-11-20	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	121-66	3-2 (0-0)
2024-11-23	Quinnipiac	H	Non-Conference	W	80-70	4-2 (0-0)
2024-11-25	Merrimack	H	Non-Conference	W	81-74	5-2 (0-0)
2024-11-27	Saint Louis	A	Non-Conference	L	90-93	5-3 (0-0)
2024-12-01	Cent Conn St	A	Non-Conference	L	67-69	5-4 (0-0)
2024-12-07	UMass	A	Non-Conference	W	96-83	6-4 (0-0)
2024-12-11	Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	W	69-62	7-4 (0-0)
2024-12-14	Dartmouth	H	Non-Conference	W	92-83	8-4 (0-0)
2024-12-18	Stonehill	H	Non-Conference	W	78-67	9-4 (0-0)
2024-12-21	Boston U	H	Non-Conference	W	83-71	10-4 (0-0)
2025-01-04	Albany	A	Conference	W	73-69	11-4 (1-0)
2025-01-09	Vermont	H	Conference	L	63-67	11-5 (1-1)
2025-01-11	NJIT	H	Conference	W	70-62	12-5 (2-1)
2025-01-18	Bryant	A	Conference	L	62-85	12-6 (2-2)
2025-01-23	Maine	H	Conference	L	85-86	12-7 (2-3)
2025-01-25	UNH	H	Conference	W	97-80	13-7 (3-3)
2025-01-30	NJIT	A	Conference	L	62-83	13-8 (3-4)
2025-02-01	UMBC	A	Conference	W	83-67	14-8 (4-4)
2025-02-06	Binghamton	A	Conference	L	54-66	14-9 (4-5)
2025-02-13	Albany	H	Conference	L	88-90	14-10 (4-6)
2025-02-15	UNH	A	Conference	L	79-80	14-11 (4-7)
2025-02-20	UMBC	H	Conference	W	98-79	15-11 (5-7)
2025-02-22	Vermont	A	Conference	L	61-85	15-12 (5-8)
2025-02-27	Bryant	H	Conference	L	78-79	15-13 (5-9)
2025-03-01	Binghamton	H	Conference	W	79-53	16-13 (6-9)
2025-03-04	Maine	A	Conference	L	70-71	16-14 (6-10)
2025-03-08	Maine	N	Conference Tournament	L	64-72	16-15 (6-10)
2025-11-03	Rivier	H	Non-D1	W	107-55	1-0 (0-0)
2025-11-07	UConn	A	Non-Conference	L	47-110	1-1 (0-0)
2025-11-10	New Haven	H	Non-Conference	L	67-73	1-2 (0-0)
2025-11-13	Columbia	A	Non-Conference	L	72-86	1-3 (0-0)
2025-11-16	Wake Forest	A	Non-Conference	L	75-109	1-4 (0-0)
2025-11-19	Bradley	A	Non-Conference	L	77-87	1-5 (0-0)
2025-11-22	Saint Peter's	A	Non-Conference	L	66-68	1-6 (0-0)
2025-11-26	Stonehill	A	Non-Conference	W	75-64	2-6 (0-0)
2025-11-29	Emerson	H	Non-D1	W	90-67	3-6 (0-0)
2025-12-06	UMass	A	Non-Conference	L	60-80	3-7 (0-0)
2025-12-10	Fisher College	H	Non-D1	W	122-73	4-7 (0-0)
2025-12-13	Quinnipiac	A	Non-Conference	L	71-75	4-8 (0-0)
2025-12-16	Sacred Heart	H	Non-Conference	W	87-82	5-8 (0-0)
2025-12-21	Boston U	A	Non-Conference	L	76-88	5-9 (0-0)
2025-12-29	Iowa	A	Non-Conference	L	62-90	5-10 (0-0)
2026-01-03	Albany	H	Conference	W	83-71	6-10 (1-0)
2026-01-08	Bryant	A	Conference	W	77-63	7-10 (2-0)
2026-01-10	Binghamton	A	Conference	W	73-68	8-10 (3-0)
2026-01-15	NJIT	H	Conference	L	64-73	8-11 (3-1)
2026-01-22	Vermont	H	Conference	L	68-77	8-12 (3-2)
2026-01-24	UMBC	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-29	New Hampshire	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-31	Maine	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-05	NJIT	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	UAlbany	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-12	Bryant	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-19	New Hampshire	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-21	Binghamton	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-26	Vermont	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	UMBC	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-03	Maine	A	Conference	-	-	-

UMass Lowell Offense

Metric	UMass Lowell	Opponent	Metric

UMass Lowell Defense

Metric	UMass Lowell	Opponent	Metric

Model Predictions

Model	UMass Lowell	Opponent	Predicted Score	Spread	Result	MAE

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Offense: Vitals

Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.499
Rank: 3 of 9 in AEC, 239 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 7 of 9 in AEC, 312 of 365 in D1

239th

Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.185
Rank: 7 of 9 in AEC, 328 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 7 of 9 in AEC, 140 of 365 in D1

328th

Off Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 28.710
Rank: 1 of 9 in AEC, 182 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 9 in AEC, 138 of 365 in D1

182nd

FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.397
Rank: 2 of 9 in AEC, 102 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 6 of 9 in AEC, 196 of 365 in D1

102nd

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.546
Rank: 8 of 9 in AEC, 297 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 6 of 9 in AEC, 117 of 365 in D1

297th

Opp Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.144
Rank: 4 of 9 in AEC, 277 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 6 of 9 in AEC, 236 of 365 in D1

277th

Def Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 69.720
Rank: 6 of 9 in AEC, 256 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 9 in AEC, 13 of 365 in D1

256th

Opp FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.299
Rank: 2 of 9 in AEC, 54 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 4 of 9 in AEC, 148 of 365 in D1

54th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 102.83

276th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 37.2%

215th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 80.7%

302nd

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 45.8%

151st

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 68.8%

24th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.7%

71st

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 55.3%

59th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 51.2%

238th

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 31.2%

342nd

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.5%

334th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.4%

345th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 33.4%

213th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 39.6%

102nd

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 21.5%

166th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 32.6%

77th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 65.1%

350th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 47.3%

309th

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 11.2%

346th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 5.3%

309th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 22.5%

238th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 18.5%

328th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 28.7%

182nd

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 70.93

170th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.04

248th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.50

239th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 117.29

285th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 41.3%

341st

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 86.5%

323rd

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 48.1%

318th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 64.2%

304th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 30.1%

346th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 55.4%

334th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 54.2%

264th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 35.8%

62nd

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 11.3%

197th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 31.2%

125th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 35.7%

273rd

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 29.9%

54th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 18.8%

79th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.4%

61st

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 73.9%

284th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 49.4%

102nd

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 7.3%

325th

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.7%

179th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 22.2%

35th

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 14.4%

277th

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 69.7%

256th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 71.14

149th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.13

301st

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.55

297th