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Brooklyn

Model Score Rank
Adj EM-0.33163
Elo1529.14142
RPI0.514149
Updated through 2026-02-12

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend


About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

DateOpponentSiteTypeResultScoreRecord (Conf)
2026-01-25WagnerHConference---
2026-02-14New HavenAConference---
2026-02-16WagnerHConference---
2026-02-19Saint FrancisAConference---
2026-02-21MercyhurstAConference---
2026-02-26Chicago StateHConference---
2026-02-28Fairleigh DickinsonHConference---
Date Opponent Site Type Result Score Record
2019-11-05 URI A Non-Conference L 65-76 0-1 (0-0)
2019-11-08 UMass Lowell H Non-Conference L 74-87 0-2 (0-0)
2019-11-13 George Mason A Non-Conference L 74-80 0-3 (0-0)
2019-11-18 Delaware State A Non-Conference W 92-84 1-3 (0-0)
2019-11-22 San Diego State A Non-Conference L 64-81 1-4 (0-0)
2019-11-24 Texas Tech A Non-Conference L 66-96 1-5 (0-0)
2019-11-28 North Florida N Non-Conference L 92-95 1-6 (0-0)
2019-11-29 Cal Poly N Non-Conference W 82-69 2-6 (0-0)
2019-12-07 Army A Non-Conference W 85-72 3-6 (0-0)
2019-12-14 Rider A Non-Conference L 74-89 3-7 (0-0)
2019-12-20 Delaware H Non-Conference W 82-75 4-7 (0-0)
2019-12-22 St Peter's H Non-Conference L 58-69 4-8 (0-0)
2019-12-28 Centenary NJ H Non-D1 W 125-84 5-8 (0-0)
2020-01-04 Mt St Mary's A Conference L 73-82 5-9 (0-1)
2020-01-09 Cent Conn St H Conference W 90-78 6-9 (1-1)
2020-01-11 Fair Dickinson H Conference W 84-70 7-9 (2-1)
2020-01-15 St Francis (BKN) A Conference W 69-66 8-9 (3-1)
2020-01-18 Bryant A Conference W 74-60 9-9 (4-1)
2020-01-20 Wagner A Conference L 64-72 9-10 (4-2)
2020-01-23 St Francis (PA) H Conference W 86-81 10-10 (5-2)
2020-01-25 Robert Morris H Conference L 66-71 10-11 (5-3)
2020-02-01 Merrimack A Conference L 59-70 10-12 (5-4)
2020-02-08 Merrimack H Conference W 67-64 11-12 (6-4)
2020-02-13 Cent Conn St A Conference W 90-74 12-12 (7-4)
2020-02-15 Sacred Heart H Conference L 72-80 12-13 (7-5)
2020-02-18 St Francis (BKN) H Conference L 77-87 12-14 (7-6)
2020-02-21 Fair Dickinson A Conference W 86-81 13-14 (8-6)
2020-02-23 St Francis (PA) A Conference L 71-74 13-15 (8-7)
2020-02-27 Wagner H Conference W 74-66 14-15 (9-7)
2020-02-29 Sacred Heart A Conference L 67-76 14-16 (9-8)
2020-03-04 Fair Dickinson N Conference Tournament W 73-72 15-16 (9-8)
2020-03-07 Robert Morris N Conference Tournament L 66-86 15-17 (9-8)
2020-12-16 Sacred Heart A Conference W 75-55 1-0 (1-0)
2020-12-17 Sacred Heart A Conference L 72-87 1-1 (1-1)
2021-01-07 St Francis (PA) H Conference W 78-75 2-1 (2-1)
2021-01-08 St Francis (PA) H Conference W 71-58 3-1 (3-1)
2021-01-14 Wagner A Conference W 77-66 4-1 (4-1)
2021-01-15 Wagner A Conference L 74-76 4-2 (4-2)
2021-01-27 Merrimack H Conference L 63-68 4-3 (4-3)
2021-01-28 Merrimack H Conference W 78-68 5-3 (5-3)
2021-01-30 St Francis (BKN) A Conference W 102-88 6-3 (6-3)
2021-02-04 Fair Dickinson H Conference L 70-78 6-4 (6-4)
2021-02-05 Fair Dickinson H Conference L 62-77 6-5 (6-5)
2021-02-08 St Francis (BKN) H Conference W 96-84 7-5 (7-5)
2021-02-11 Mt St Mary's A Conference L 60-66 7-6 (7-6)
2021-02-12 Mt St Mary's A Conference L 46-64 7-7 (7-7)
2021-02-21 Cent Conn St H Conference W 81-79 8-7 (8-7)
2021-02-25 Bryant A Conference L 80-87 8-8 (8-8)
2021-02-26 Bryant A Conference L 60-63 8-9 (8-9)
2021-11-09 San Francisco A Non-Conference L 64-98 0-1 (0-0)
2021-11-12 Fresno State A Non-Conference L 60-84 0-2 (0-0)
2021-11-17 UConn A Non-Conference L 40-93 0-3 (0-0)
2021-11-23 St Peter's A Non-Conference L 62-64 0-4 (0-0)
2021-11-27 Delaware State H Non-Conference W 99-65 1-4 (0-0)
2021-11-30 Delaware A Non-Conference L 67-75 1-5 (0-0)
2021-12-02 Towson A Non-Conference L 63-72 1-6 (0-0)
2021-12-09 Fordham A Non-Conference L 57-73 1-7 (0-0)
2021-12-13 US Merchant Marine Academy H Non-D1 W 106-48 2-7 (0-0)
2021-12-19 Army H Non-Conference W 90-65 3-7 (0-0)
2021-12-29 Sacred Heart A Conference L 65-69 3-8 (0-1)
2021-12-31 Merrimack A Conference L 77-82 3-9 (0-2)
2022-01-06 Mt St Mary's H Conference W 74-57 4-9 (1-2)
2022-01-08 St Francis (PA) H Conference W 75-70 5-9 (2-2)
2022-01-15 Cent Conn St H Conference W 83-61 6-9 (3-2)
2022-01-17 St Francis (BKN) A Conference W 80-65 7-9 (4-2)
2022-01-21 Wagner H Conference L 85-92 7-10 (4-3)
2022-01-23 Fair Dickinson A Conference W 79-75 8-10 (5-3)
2022-01-27 Cent Conn St A Conference L 62-65 8-11 (5-4)
2022-01-30 Bryant A Conference L 81-88 8-12 (5-5)
2022-02-03 Sacred Heart H Conference W 79-75 9-12 (6-5)
2022-02-05 Wagner A Conference L 64-79 9-13 (6-6)
2022-02-10 St Francis (BKN) H Conference W 74-69 10-13 (7-6)
2022-02-12 Bryant H Conference W 99-88 11-13 (8-6)
2022-02-17 St Francis (PA) A Conference W 81-63 12-13 (9-6)
2022-02-19 Mt St Mary's A Conference W 66-61 13-13 (10-6)
2022-02-24 Merrimack H Conference W 85-74 14-13 (11-6)
2022-02-26 Fair Dickinson H Conference W 84-77 15-13 (12-6)
2022-03-02 Sacred Heart N Conference Tournament W 82-75 16-13 (12-6)
2022-03-05 Wagner N Conference Tournament L 62-82 16-14 (12-6)
2022-11-07 Utah A Non-Conference L 48-89 0-1 (0-0)
2022-11-14 Mount Saint Vincent H Non-D1 W 111-50 1-1 (0-0)
2022-11-17 Marquette A Non-Conference L 58-95 1-2 (0-0)
2022-11-22 South Dakota N Non-Conference L 58-68 1-3 (0-0)
2022-11-23 N Illinois N Non-Conference L 61-86 1-4 (0-0)
2022-11-29 St John's A Non-Conference L 68-95 1-5 (0-0)
2022-12-02 Towson H Non-Conference L 64-74 1-6 (0-0)
2022-12-05 UMass Lowell H Non-Conference L 64-84 1-7 (0-0)
2022-12-10 UConn A Non-Conference L 61-114 1-8 (0-0)
2022-12-14 Albany A Non-Conference L 59-76 1-9 (0-0)
2022-12-18 James Madison A Non-Conference L 79-115 1-10 (0-0)
2022-12-29 Wagner H Conference L 61-69 1-11 (0-1)
2022-12-31 Sacred Heart H Conference L 64-82 1-12 (0-2)
2023-01-05 Cent Conn St A Conference L 59-78 1-13 (0-3)
2023-01-07 Fair Dickinson A Conference L 89-101 1-14 (0-4)
2023-01-14 St Francis (PA) A Conference L 68-87 1-15 (0-5)
2023-01-16 St Francis (BKN) H Conference L 66-73 1-16 (0-6)
2023-01-20 Stonehill H Conference L 66-73 1-17 (0-7)
2023-01-22 Cent Conn St H Conference L 42-58 1-18 (0-8)
2023-01-26 Sacred Heart A Conference W 74-70 2-18 (1-8)
2023-01-28 St Francis (BKN) A Conference L 59-71 2-19 (1-9)
2023-02-02 Merrimack A Conference L 59-76 2-20 (1-10)
2023-02-09 Fair Dickinson H Conference L 79-80 2-21 (1-11)
2023-02-11 Wagner A Conference L 46-58 2-22 (1-12)
2023-02-16 Stonehill A Conference L 60-75 2-23 (1-13)
2023-02-18 St Francis (PA) H Conference L 82-93 2-24 (1-14)
2023-02-25 Merrimack H Conference L 59-80 2-25 (1-15)
2023-03-01 Merrimack N Conference Tournament L 76-91 2-26 (1-15)
2023-11-10 Air Force H Non-Conference L 67-82 0-1 (0-0)
2023-11-13 Pepperdine A Non-Conference L 53-88 0-2 (0-0)
2023-11-15 UCLA A Non-Conference L 58-78 0-3 (0-0)
2023-11-21 Columbia A Non-Conference L 67-77 0-4 (0-0)
2023-11-24 Texas A&M-CC N Non-Conference W 83-68 1-4 (0-0)
2023-11-25 N Kentucky A Non-Conference L 64-72 1-5 (0-0)
2023-12-02 FIU A Non-Conference L 59-74 1-6 (0-0)
2023-12-06 Miami A Non-Conference L 49-97 1-7 (0-0)
2023-12-12 UMass Lowell A Non-Conference L 65-78 1-8 (0-0)
2023-12-16 Rutgers A Non-Conference L 61-83 1-9 (0-0)
2023-12-23 Mt St Mary's A Non-Conference L 59-87 1-10 (0-0)
2023-12-28 Albany N Non-Conference L 69-86 1-11 (0-0)
2024-01-04 Wagner H Conference W 69-67 2-11 (1-0)
2024-01-06 Stonehill A Conference W 73-68 3-11 (2-0)
2024-01-13 Sacred Heart A Conference L 55-89 3-12 (2-1)
2024-01-19 St Francis (PA) A Conference L 66-72 3-13 (2-2)
2024-01-21 Cent Conn St H Conference L 63-72 3-14 (2-3)
2024-01-25 Stonehill H Conference W 63-60 4-14 (3-3)
2024-01-27 Le Moyne A Conference L 74-87 4-15 (3-4)
2024-02-01 Fair Dickinson A Conference L 75-82 4-16 (3-5)
2024-02-03 St Francis (PA) H Conference W 70-67 5-16 (4-5)
2024-02-08 Merrimack H Conference L 79-82 5-17 (4-6)
2024-02-10 Sacred Heart H Conference W 75-58 6-17 (5-6)
2024-02-15 Fair Dickinson H Conference L 82-84 6-18 (5-7)
2024-02-17 Merrimack A Conference L 68-83 6-19 (5-8)
2024-02-22 Le Moyne H Conference W 76-64 7-19 (6-8)
2024-02-25 Wagner A Conference L 57-72 7-20 (6-9)
2024-02-29 Cent Conn St A Conference L 64-78 7-21 (6-10)
2024-03-06 Merrimack N Conference Tournament L 66-72 7-22 (6-10)
2024-11-04 Ole Miss A Non-Conference L 60-90 0-1 (0-0)
2024-11-09 Pratt H Non-D1 W 102-42 1-1 (0-0)
2024-11-11 Air Force A Non-Conference W 63-54 2-1 (0-0)
2024-11-15 California Baptist A Non-Conference L 77-90 2-2 (0-0)
2024-11-20 Columbia H Non-Conference L 72-80 2-3 (0-0)
2024-11-23 Charlotte A Non-Conference W 79-76 3-3 (0-0)
2024-11-25 Winthrop A Non-Conference L 65-87 3-4 (0-0)
2024-11-29 Lafayette A Non-Conference L 56-75 3-5 (0-0)
2024-11-30 Binghamton N Non-Conference L 70-75 3-6 (0-0)
2024-12-01 Niagara N Non-Conference L 52-60 3-7 (0-0)
2024-12-04 York (NY) H Non-D1 W 103-53 4-7 (0-0)
2024-12-11 UMass Lowell A Non-Conference L 62-69 4-8 (0-0)
2024-12-14 Missouri A Non-Conference L 61-88 4-9 (0-0)
2024-12-18 Mt St Mary's H Non-Conference L 72-80 4-10 (0-0)
2024-12-21 Lehigh H Non-Conference L 59-60 4-11 (0-0)
2025-01-03 Le Moyne H Conference W 78-62 5-11 (1-0)
2025-01-05 Chicago State H Conference W 53-39 6-11 (2-0)
2025-01-10 Stonehill A Conference W 70-60 7-11 (3-0)
2025-01-12 Cent Conn St A Conference W 54-52 8-11 (4-0)
2025-01-18 St Francis (PA) H Conference W 64-51 9-11 (5-0)
2025-01-20 Mercyhurst H Conference W 72-63 10-11 (6-0)
2025-01-24 St Francis (PA) A Conference L 64-74 10-12 (6-1)
2025-01-26 Mercyhurst A Conference L 80-85 10-13 (6-2)
2025-01-30 Cent Conn St H Conference L 50-63 10-14 (6-3)
2025-02-01 Chicago State A Conference L 67-73 10-15 (6-4)
2025-02-06 Wagner A Conference W 60-47 11-15 (7-4)
2025-02-08 Stonehill H Conference W 62-59 12-15 (8-4)
2025-02-15 Fair Dickinson H Conference W 62-58 13-15 (9-4)
2025-02-22 Le Moyne A Conference W 76-61 14-15 (10-4)
2025-02-27 Wagner H Conference W 60-47 15-15 (11-4)
2025-03-01 Fair Dickinson A Conference W 74-55 16-15 (12-4)
2025-03-05 Chicago State N Conference Tournament W 68-57 17-15 (12-4)
2025-03-08 St Francis (PA) N Conference Tournament L 68-71 17-16 (12-4)
2025-11-03 Notre Dame A Non-Conference L 67-89 0-1 (0-0)
2025-11-06 IUPUI A Non-Conference W 94-90 1-1 (0-0)
2025-11-11 Air Force A Non-Conference W 76-72 2-1 (0-0)
2025-11-15 James Madison H Non-Conference W 88-79 3-1 (0-0)
2025-11-20 Fordham A Non-Conference L 53-69 3-2 (0-0)
2025-11-22 Illinois A Non-Conference L 58-98 3-3 (0-0)
2025-11-24 Missouri State A Non-Conference W 75-61 4-3 (0-0)
2025-12-02 Winthrop H Non-Conference L 92-94 4-4 (0-0)
2025-12-06 Lehigh A Non-Conference W 87-82 5-4 (0-0)
2025-12-13 La Salle H Non-Conference W 70-60 6-4 (0-0)
2025-12-16 Miss St A Non-Conference L 83-87 6-5 (0-0)
2025-12-20 FIU A Non-Conference L 79-86 6-6 (0-0)
2025-12-29 Georgia A Non-Conference L 74-89 6-7 (0-0)
2026-01-02 Cent Conn St H Conference W 84-78 7-7 (1-0)
2026-01-04 Chicago State A Conference W 74-55 8-7 (2-0)
2026-01-08 Mercyhurst H Conference W 60-58 9-7 (3-0)
2026-01-10 St Francis (PA) H Conference W 67-63 10-7 (4-0)
2026-01-17 Fair Dickinson A Conference W 66-59 11-7 (5-0)
2026-01-19 Le Moyne A Conference L 77-83 11-8 (5-1)
2026-01-23 Stonehill A Conference W 66-63 12-8 (6-1)
2026-01-25 Wagner H Conference - - -
2026-01-29 Le Moyne H Conference W 83-61 13-8 (7-1)
2026-01-31 Cent Conn St A Conference W 80-59 14-8 (8-1)
2026-02-05 New Haven H Conference W 60-55 15-8 (9-1)
2026-02-07 Stonehill H Conference W 61-54 16-8 (10-1)
2026-02-12 Wagner A Conference W 67-57 17-8 (11-1)
2026-02-14 New Haven A Conference - - -
2026-02-16 Wagner H Conference - - -
2026-02-19 Saint Francis A Conference - - -
2026-02-21 Mercyhurst A Conference - - -
2026-02-26 Chicago State H Conference - - -
2026-02-28 Fairleigh Dickinson H Conference - - -

Brooklyn Offense

Metric Brooklyn Opponent Metric

Brooklyn Defense

Metric Brooklyn Opponent Metric

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Opponent Predicted Score Spread Result MAE
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Offense: Vitals

Shooting


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.519
Rank: 3 of 10 in NEC, 163 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 8 of 10 in NEC, 261 of 365 in D1
163rd

Turnovers


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.185
Rank: 9 of 10 in NEC, 337 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 4 of 10 in NEC, 169 of 365 in D1
337th

Off Reb Pct


2025-26 Season Mean: 34.390
Rank: 1 of 10 in NEC, 32 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 3 of 10 in NEC, 154 of 365 in D1
32nd

FT Rate


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.340
Rank: 3 of 10 in NEC, 232 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 7 of 10 in NEC, 127 of 365 in D1
232nd

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.502
Rank: 4 of 10 in NEC, 115 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 2 of 10 in NEC, 9 of 365 in D1
115th

Opp Turnovers


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.174
Rank: 5 of 10 in NEC, 85 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 5 of 10 in NEC, 97 of 365 in D1
85th

Def Reb Pct


2025-26 Season Mean: 70.090
Rank: 8 of 10 in NEC, 252 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 10 in NEC, 28 of 365 in D1
252nd

Opp FT Rate


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.351
Rank: 4 of 10 in NEC, 163 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 3 of 10 in NEC, 67 of 365 in D1
163rd

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 106.93
230th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 39.2%
103rd

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 84.2%
157th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 46.7%
97th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 70.7%
10th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 30.5%
21st

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 59.5%
10th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 51.5%
223rd

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 29.3%
356th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.7%
326th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 24.7%
351st

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 34.6%
145th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 34.0%
232nd

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 18.4%
289th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.0%
223rd

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 65.2%
356th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 50.7%
239th

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 10.7%
333rd

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 5.3%
310th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 24.6%
142nd

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 18.5%
337th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 34.4%
32nd

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 69.89
203rd

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.06
223rd

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.52
163rd

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 107.27
95th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 37.0%
173rd

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 82.7%
150th

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 44.8%
186th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 66.2%
339th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.3%
310th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 54.9%
330th

Opp 2Pt Pct