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West Georgia

Model Score Rank
Adj EM-14.80284
Elo1413.38302
RPI0.495180
Updated through 2025-12-08

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend


About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

DateOpponentSiteTypeResultScoreRecord (Conf)
2025-12-13Georgia SouthernHNon-Conference---
2025-12-17Brewton-ParkerHNon-D1---
2025-12-22GeorgiaANon-Conference---
2026-01-01BellarmineHConference---
2026-01-03Eastern KentuckyHConference---
2026-01-08North FloridaAConference---
2026-01-10JacksonvilleAConference---
2026-01-15StetsonAConference---
2026-01-17Florida Gulf CoastAConference---
2026-01-22Central ArkansasHConference---
2026-01-24Queens UniversityHConference---
2026-01-28BellarmineAConference---
2026-01-31Austin PeayHConference---
2026-02-05North FloridaHConference---
2026-02-07JacksonvilleHConference---
2026-02-11North AlabamaAConference---
2026-02-14Central ArkansasAConference---
2026-02-18Eastern KentuckyAConference---
2026-02-21Queens UniversityAConference---
2026-02-25LipscombHConference---
2026-02-28North AlabamaHConference---
Date Opponent Site Type Result Score Record
2024-11-04 Miss St A Non-Conference L 60-95 0-1 (0-0)
2024-11-06 Georgia Tech A Non-Conference L 62-85 0-2 (0-0)
2024-11-12 Tenn Tech A Non-Conference L 73-76 0-3 (0-0)
2024-11-15 USF A Non-Conference L 55-74 0-4 (0-0)
2024-11-19 Troy H Non-Conference L 65-84 0-5 (0-0)
2024-11-23 Ga Southern A Non-Conference L 54-64 0-6 (0-0)
2024-11-26 Utah Valley N Non-Conference L 74-77 0-7 (0-0)
2024-11-27 North Dakota St N Non-Conference L 61-73 0-8 (0-0)
2024-11-29 Samford A Non-Conference L 65-86 0-9 (0-0)
2024-12-04 Mercer A Non-Conference L 72-86 0-10 (0-0)
2024-12-07 Tenn Tech H Non-Conference W 78-73 1-10 (0-0)
2024-12-17 Charlotte A Non-Conference L 70-75 1-11 (0-0)
2024-12-21 Brewton-Parker H Non-D1 W 107-61 2-11 (0-0)
2025-01-02 FGCU H Conference L 68-79 2-12 (0-1)
2025-01-04 Stetson H Conference L 62-78 2-13 (0-2)
2025-01-09 Austin Peay A Conference W 72-68 3-13 (1-2)
2025-01-11 Lipscomb A Conference L 67-86 3-14 (1-3)
2025-01-16 FGCU A Conference L 60-82 3-15 (1-4)
2025-01-18 Stetson A Conference L 78-82 3-16 (1-5)
2025-01-23 Jacksonville H Conference L 62-79 3-17 (1-6)
2025-01-25 North Florida H Conference W 92-72 4-17 (2-6)
2025-01-29 Cent Arkansas A Conference L 70-75 4-18 (2-7)
2025-02-01 Queens University A Conference L 68-87 4-19 (2-8)
2025-02-05 Lipscomb H Conference L 67-76 4-20 (2-9)
2025-02-08 North Alabama H Conference L 61-78 4-21 (2-10)
2025-02-13 E Kentucky A Conference L 73-95 4-22 (2-11)
2025-02-15 Bellarmine A Conference W 81-76 5-22 (3-11)
2025-02-18 North Alabama A Conference L 62-80 5-23 (3-12)
2025-02-20 Cent Arkansas H Conference L 71-82 5-24 (3-13)
2025-02-24 Queens University H Conference L 57-72 5-25 (3-14)
2025-02-26 Austin Peay H Conference W 73-70 6-25 (4-14)
2025-11-03 Nebraska A Non-Conference L 53-86 0-1 (0-0)
2025-11-07 Huntingdon College (AL) H Non-D1 W 120-83 1-1 (0-0)
2025-11-10 UCLA A Non-Conference L 62-83 1-2 (0-0)
2025-11-14 The Citadel H Non-Conference W 100-92 2-2 (0-0)
2025-11-17 Tenn Tech A Non-Conference W 61-59 3-2 (0-0)
2025-11-21 South Carolina Upstate H Non-Conference W 72-64 4-2 (0-0)
2025-11-23 Georgia Tech A Non-Conference L 66-82 4-3 (0-0)
2025-12-01 Troy A Non-Conference W 93-89 5-3 (0-0)
2025-12-06 Tenn Tech H Non-Conference L 59-87 5-4 (0-0)
2025-12-13 Georgia Southern H Non-Conference - - -
2025-12-17 Brewton-Parker H Non-D1 - - -
2025-12-22 Georgia A Non-Conference - - -
2026-01-01 Bellarmine H Conference - - -
2026-01-03 Eastern Kentucky H Conference - - -
2026-01-08 North Florida A Conference - - -
2026-01-10 Jacksonville A Conference - - -
2026-01-15 Stetson A Conference - - -
2026-01-17 Florida Gulf Coast A Conference - - -
2026-01-22 Central Arkansas H Conference - - -
2026-01-24 Queens University H Conference - - -
2026-01-28 Bellarmine A Conference - - -
2026-01-31 Austin Peay H Conference - - -
2026-02-05 North Florida H Conference - - -
2026-02-07 Jacksonville H Conference - - -
2026-02-11 North Alabama A Conference - - -
2026-02-14 Central Arkansas A Conference - - -
2026-02-18 Eastern Kentucky A Conference - - -
2026-02-21 Queens University A Conference - - -
2026-02-25 Lipscomb H Conference - - -
2026-02-28 North Alabama H Conference - - -

West Georgia Offense

Metric West Georgia Opponent Metric

West Georgia Defense

Metric West Georgia Opponent Metric

Model Predictions

Model West Georgia Opponent Predicted Score Spread Result MAE
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Showing - of

Offense: Vitals

Shooting


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.465
Rank: 12 of 12 in ASUN, 307 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 8 of 12 in ASUN, 262 of 365 in D1
307th

Turnovers


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.156
Rank: 3 of 12 in ASUN, 134 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 2 of 12 in ASUN, 77 of 365 in D1
134th

Off Reb Pct


2025-26 Season Mean: 27.120
Rank: 6 of 12 in ASUN, 229 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 5 of 12 in ASUN, 195 of 365 in D1
229th

FT Rate


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.270
Rank: 11 of 12 in ASUN, 338 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 7 of 12 in ASUN, 262 of 365 in D1
338th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.525
Rank: 5 of 12 in ASUN, 233 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 2 of 12 in ASUN, 55 of 365 in D1
233rd

Opp Turnovers


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.150
Rank: 8 of 12 in ASUN, 247 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 7 of 12 in ASUN, 128 of 365 in D1
247th

Def Reb Pct


2025-26 Season Mean: 72.240
Rank: 6 of 12 in ASUN, 164 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 4 of 12 in ASUN, 157 of 365 in D1
164th

Opp FT Rate


2025-26 Season Mean: 0.350
Rank: 5 of 12 in ASUN, 158 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 1 of 12 in ASUN, 106 of 365 in D1
158th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 96.74
301st

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 38.1%
165th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 87.4%
43rd

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 43.6%
254th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 68.5%
37th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.1%
116th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 60.2%
12th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 46.0%
336th

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 31.5%
329th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 10.0%
246th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 27.2%
314th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 37.8%
42nd

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 27.0%
338th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 15.4%
340th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.3%
327th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 66.5%
301st

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 48.8%
274th

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 7.3%
80th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 3.9%
138th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 19.8%
290th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 15.6%
134th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 27.1%
229th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 73.01
120th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.02
282nd

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.46
307th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 111.54
240th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 39.1%
279th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 83.2%
209th

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 47.1%
281st

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 64.4%
295th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.9%
336th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 53.5%
298th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 56.2%
294th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 35.6%
71st

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 9.2%
62nd

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.7%
94th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 31.7%
123rd

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 35.0%
158th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 20.8%
174th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.7%
160th

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 72.1%
230th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 61.3%
337th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 9.5%
185th

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 5.5%
105th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.1%
66th

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 15.0%
247th

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 72.2%
164th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 74.40
69th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.08
226th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.53
233rd
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