College Basketball Analytics, Insights, and Trends
| Model | Score | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Adj EM | -13.29 | 274 |
| Elo | 1523.90 | 151 |
| RPI | 0.447 | 265 |
The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).
| Date | Opponent | Site | Type | Result | Score | Record (Conf) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | Princeton | A | Non-Conference | - | - | - |
| 2025-12-14 | Vermont | A | Non-Conference | - | - | - |
| 2025-12-29 | Sacred Heart | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-02 | Mount St. Mary's | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-04 | Manhattan | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-09 | Siena | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-11 | Saint Peter's | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-17 | Quinnipiac | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-19 | Marist | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-22 | Iona | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-24 | Saint Peter's | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-01 | Sacred Heart | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-05 | Mount St. Mary's | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-07 | Rider | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-12 | Marist | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-15 | Quinnipiac | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-20 | Siena | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-22 | Iona | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-27 | Canisius | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-03-01 | Niagara | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| Date | Opponent | Site | Type | Result | Score | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-06 | Maine | A | Non-Conference | L | 64-84 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2019-11-08 | Northwestern | A | Non-Conference | W | 71-61 | 1-1 (0-0) |
| 2019-11-15 | Dartmouth | N | Non-Conference | L | 46-55 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2019-11-16 | UMass Lowell | A | Non-Conference | W | 60-58 | 2-2 (0-0) |
| 2019-11-17 | Jacksonville | N | Non-Conference | W | 54-44 | 3-2 (0-0) |
| 2019-11-19 | Providence | A | Non-Conference | L | 56-93 | 3-3 (0-0) |
| 2019-11-22 | Lesley University | H | Non-D1 | W | 110-16 | 4-3 (0-0) |
| 2019-11-24 | Hartford | A | Non-Conference | W | 62-58 | 5-3 (0-0) |
| 2019-11-29 | Akron | A | Non-Conference | L | 47-64 | 5-4 (0-0) |
| 2019-12-04 | Brown | A | Non-Conference | L | 55-82 | 5-5 (0-0) |
| 2019-12-11 | Army | H | Non-Conference | W | 69-60 | 6-5 (0-0) |
| 2019-12-22 | UCSB | A | Non-Conference | L | 50-68 | 6-6 (0-0) |
| 2019-12-29 | Boston U | H | Non-Conference | L | 67-69 | 6-7 (0-0) |
| 2020-01-02 | Sacred Heart | A | Conference | W | 65-57 | 7-7 (1-0) |
| 2020-01-04 | Robert Morris | H | Conference | L | 58-69 | 7-8 (1-1) |
| 2020-01-09 | Mt St Mary's | H | Conference | W | 64-61 | 8-8 (2-1) |
| 2020-01-11 | Cent Conn St | A | Conference | W | 58-46 | 9-8 (3-1) |
| 2020-01-15 | Bryant | H | Conference | W | 71-67 | 10-8 (4-1) |
| 2020-01-18 | Robert Morris | A | Conference | W | 53-49 | 11-8 (5-1) |
| 2020-01-20 | St Francis (PA) | A | Conference | W | 72-55 | 12-8 (6-1) |
| 2020-01-23 | Fair Dickinson | H | Conference | W | 74-71 | 13-8 (7-1) |
| 2020-01-30 | St Francis (BKN) | H | Conference | W | 61-50 | 14-8 (8-1) |
| 2020-02-01 | Brooklyn | H | Conference | W | 70-59 | 15-8 (9-1) |
| 2020-02-08 | Brooklyn | A | Conference | L | 64-67 | 15-9 (9-2) |
| 2020-02-13 | St Francis (BKN) | A | Conference | W | 60-50 | 16-9 (10-2) |
| 2020-02-15 | Wagner | H | Conference | W | 68-59 | 17-9 (11-2) |
| 2020-02-18 | Bryant | A | Conference | L | 52-61 | 17-10 (11-3) |
| 2020-02-21 | Sacred Heart | H | Conference | W | 64-57 | 18-10 (12-3) |
| 2020-02-23 | Mt St Mary's | A | Conference | L | 57-65 | 18-11 (12-4) |
| 2020-02-27 | Cent Conn St | H | Conference | W | 69-58 | 19-11 (13-4) |
| 2021-01-07 | Sacred Heart | H | Conference | W | 97-90 | 1-0 (1-0) |
| 2021-01-08 | Sacred Heart | H | Conference | L | 62-68 | 1-1 (1-1) |
| 2021-01-14 | Mt St Mary's | A | Conference | L | 57-77 | 1-2 (1-2) |
| 2021-01-15 | Mt St Mary's | A | Conference | L | 52-63 | 1-3 (1-3) |
| 2021-01-21 | Fair Dickinson | H | Conference | W | 62-51 | 2-3 (2-3) |
| 2021-01-22 | Fair Dickinson | H | Conference | W | 76-71 | 3-3 (3-3) |
| 2021-01-27 | Brooklyn | A | Conference | W | 68-63 | 4-3 (4-3) |
| 2021-01-28 | Brooklyn | A | Conference | L | 68-78 | 4-4 (4-4) |
| 2021-02-04 | St Francis (PA) | H | Conference | W | 68-62 | 5-4 (5-4) |
| 2021-02-05 | St Francis (PA) | H | Conference | W | 59-54 | 6-4 (6-4) |
| 2021-02-11 | Cent Conn St | A | Conference | W | 62-46 | 7-4 (7-4) |
| 2021-02-12 | Cent Conn St | A | Conference | W | 72-52 | 8-4 (8-4) |
| 2021-02-20 | Bryant | A | Conference | L | 58-60 | 8-5 (8-5) |
| 2021-02-21 | Bryant | H | Conference | L | 60-76 | 8-6 (8-6) |
| 2021-02-25 | St Francis (BKN) | H | Conference | L | 71-84 | 8-7 (8-7) |
| 2021-02-26 | St Francis (BKN) | H | Conference | W | 75-67 | 9-7 (9-7) |
| 2021-03-02 | Wagner | A | Conference | L | 67-74 | 9-8 (9-8) |
| 2021-03-03 | Wagner | A | Conference | L | 59-64 | 9-9 (9-9) |
| 2021-11-09 | Emerson College | H | Non-D1 | W | 77-48 | 1-0 (0-0) |
| 2021-11-11 | NJIT | A | Non-Conference | W | 61-54 | 2-0 (0-0) |
| 2021-11-13 | Rutgers | A | Non-Conference | L | 35-48 | 2-1 (0-0) |
| 2021-11-17 | Army | A | Non-Conference | L | 51-74 | 2-2 (0-0) |
| 2021-11-19 | Lehigh | H | Non-Conference | W | 55-45 | 3-2 (0-0) |
| 2021-11-21 | Virginia Tech | A | Non-Conference | L | 43-72 | 3-3 (0-0) |
| 2021-11-23 | Hartford | H | Non-Conference | W | 75-60 | 4-3 (0-0) |
| 2021-11-28 | Boston U | A | Non-Conference | L | 60-61 | 4-4 (0-0) |
| 2021-12-04 | UMass Lowell | H | Non-Conference | L | 57-61 | 4-5 (0-0) |
| 2021-12-07 | Brown | H | Non-Conference | L | 56-76 | 4-6 (0-0) |
| 2021-12-09 | Gonzaga | A | Non-Conference | L | 55-80 | 4-7 (0-0) |
| 2021-12-12 | Indiana | A | Non-Conference | L | 49-81 | 4-8 (0-0) |
| 2021-12-21 | Maine | A | Non-Conference | W | 49-47 | 5-8 (0-0) |
| 2021-12-29 | St Francis (BKN) | H | Conference | W | 74-64 | 6-8 (1-0) |
| 2021-12-31 | Brooklyn | H | Conference | W | 82-77 | 7-8 (2-0) |
| 2022-01-06 | Fair Dickinson | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2022-01-08 | Cent Conn St | A | Conference | W | 66-57 | 8-8 (3-0) |
| 2022-01-15 | St Francis (PA) | H | Conference | L | 46-62 | 8-9 (3-1) |
| 2022-01-17 | Mt St Mary's | H | Conference | L | 50-57 | 8-10 (3-2) |
| 2022-01-21 | Bryant | H | Conference | L | 63-79 | 8-11 (3-3) |
| 2022-01-23 | Wagner | H | Conference | L | 57-71 | 8-12 (3-4) |
| 2022-01-27 | Bryant | A | Conference | L | 67-76 | 8-13 (3-5) |
| 2022-02-03 | Mt St Mary's | A | Conference | L | 53-69 | 8-14 (3-6) |
| 2022-02-05 | St Francis (PA) | A | Conference | W | 65-64 | 9-14 (4-6) |
| 2022-02-10 | Cent Conn St | H | Conference | L | 57-60 | 9-15 (4-7) |
| 2022-02-12 | Wagner | A | Conference | W | 80-65 | 10-15 (5-7) |
| 2022-02-15 | Sacred Heart | A | Conference | W | 70-63 | 11-15 (6-7) |
| 2022-02-17 | Fair Dickinson | H | Conference | W | 64-44 | 12-15 (7-7) |
| 2022-02-19 | Sacred Heart | H | Conference | W | 80-79 | 13-15 (8-7) |
| 2022-02-24 | Brooklyn | A | Conference | L | 74-85 | 13-16 (8-8) |
| 2022-02-26 | St Francis (BKN) | A | Conference | W | 72-52 | 14-16 (9-8) |
| 2022-11-07 | St John's | A | Non-Conference | L | 72-97 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-17 | Troy | N | Non-Conference | L | 54-73 | 0-2 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-18 | Montana | A | Non-Conference | L | 51-62 | 0-3 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-19 | St. Thomas - Minnesota | N | Non-Conference | L | 61-72 | 0-4 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-23 | Providence | A | Non-Conference | L | 57-71 | 0-5 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-26 | Bradley | A | Non-Conference | L | 41-83 | 0-6 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-30 | UMass Lowell | A | Non-Conference | L | 51-77 | 0-7 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-02 | Boston U | H | Non-Conference | L | 54-68 | 0-8 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-04 | Vermont | H | Non-Conference | L | 43-66 | 0-9 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-07 | San Francisco | A | Non-Conference | L | 51-69 | 0-10 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-09 | University of New England | H | Non-D1 | W | 82-23 | 1-10 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-11 | Maine | H | Non-Conference | L | 47-50 | 1-11 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-18 | Bucknell | A | Non-Conference | L | 55-61 | 1-12 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-29 | Fair Dickinson | A | Conference | L | 63-71 | 1-13 (0-1) |
| 2022-12-31 | Wagner | A | Conference | W | 58-48 | 2-13 (1-1) |
| 2023-01-05 | Sacred Heart | H | Conference | L | 55-59 | 2-14 (1-2) |
| 2023-01-07 | St Francis (BKN) | H | Conference | W | 65-53 | 3-14 (2-2) |
| 2023-01-14 | Stonehill | A | Conference | W | 59-47 | 4-14 (3-2) |
| 2023-01-16 | Wagner | H | Conference | L | 57-62 | 4-15 (3-3) |
| 2023-01-22 | St Francis (BKN) | A | Conference | W | 63-55 | 5-15 (4-3) |
| 2023-01-26 | Cent Conn St | A | Conference | W | 64-61 | 6-15 (5-3) |
| 2023-01-28 | Fair Dickinson | H | Conference | L | 71-78 | 6-16 (5-4) |
| 2023-02-02 | Brooklyn | H | Conference | W | 76-59 | 7-16 (6-4) |
| 2023-02-04 | St Francis (PA) | H | Conference | W | 70-66 | 8-16 (7-4) |
| 2023-02-09 | Stonehill | H | Conference | W | 56-43 | 9-16 (8-4) |
| 2023-02-11 | St Francis (PA) | A | Conference | W | 75-68 | 10-16 (9-4) |
| 2023-02-16 | Hartford | A | Non-D1 | W | 67-59 | 11-16 (9-4) |
| 2023-02-18 | Sacred Heart | A | Conference | W | 67-55 | 12-16 (10-4) |
| 2023-02-23 | Cent Conn St | H | Conference | W | 70-54 | 13-16 (11-4) |
| 2023-02-25 | Brooklyn | A | Conference | W | 80-59 | 14-16 (12-4) |
| 2023-03-01 | Brooklyn | N | Conference Tournament | W | 91-76 | 15-16 (12-4) |
| 2023-03-04 | Sacred Heart | N | Conference Tournament | W | 71-60 | 16-16 (12-4) |
| 2023-03-07 | Fair Dickinson | N | Conference Tournament | W | 67-66 | 17-16 (12-4) |
| 2023-11-06 | Vermont | A | Non-Conference | L | 55-67 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-09 | Worcester State | H | Non-D1 | W | 93-72 | 1-1 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-12 | Maine | A | Non-Conference | W | 71-65 | 2-1 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-15 | Ohio State | A | Non-Conference | L | 52-76 | 2-2 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-22 | NC A&T | N | Non-Conference | W | 96-73 | 3-2 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-24 | Samford | A | Non-Conference | L | 71-79 | 3-3 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-25 | Alabama State | N | Non-Conference | L | 60-66 | 3-4 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-29 | Georgetown | A | Non-Conference | L | 67-69 | 3-5 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-02 | UMass Lowell | H | Non-Conference | W | 74-68 | 4-5 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-05 | Florida | A | Non-Conference | L | 57-77 | 4-6 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-09 | Felician | H | Non-D1 | W | 89-85 | 5-6 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-19 | Cincinnati | A | Non-Conference | L | 49-65 | 5-7 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-22 | Bucknell | H | Non-Conference | W | 68-52 | 6-7 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-30 | Boston U | A | Non-Conference | L | 63-74 | 6-8 (0-0) |
| 2024-01-04 | Fair Dickinson | H | Conference | W | 60-56 | 7-8 (1-0) |
| 2024-01-06 | Sacred Heart | H | Conference | W | 82-58 | 8-8 (2-0) |
| 2024-01-13 | Le Moyne | A | Conference | W | 66-62 | 9-8 (3-0) |
| 2024-01-15 | Cent Conn St | A | Conference | L | 70-75 | 9-9 (3-1) |
| 2024-01-19 | Wagner | H | Conference | L | 65-71 | 9-10 (3-2) |
| 2024-01-21 | Stonehill | H | Conference | W | 63-47 | 10-10 (4-2) |
| 2024-01-25 | Wagner | A | Conference | W | 60-44 | 11-10 (5-2) |
| 2024-01-27 | St Francis (PA) | A | Conference | W | 74-55 | 12-10 (6-2) |
| 2024-02-03 | Cent Conn St | H | Conference | W | 71-68 | 13-10 (7-2) |
| 2024-02-08 | Brooklyn | A | Conference | W | 82-79 | 14-10 (8-2) |
| 2024-02-10 | Le Moyne | H | Conference | W | 66-50 | 15-10 (9-2) |
| 2024-02-15 | Stonehill | A | Conference | W | 66-63 | 16-10 (10-2) |
| 2024-02-17 | Brooklyn | H | Conference | W | 83-68 | 17-10 (11-2) |
| 2024-02-22 | St Francis (PA) | H | Conference | W | 71-60 | 18-10 (12-2) |
| 2024-02-29 | Fair Dickinson | A | Conference | W | 74-55 | 19-10 (13-2) |
| 2024-03-02 | Sacred Heart | A | Conference | L | 85-89 | 19-11 (13-3) |
| 2024-03-06 | Brooklyn | N | Conference Tournament | W | 72-66 | 20-11 (13-3) |
| 2024-03-09 | Le Moyne | N | Conference Tournament | W | 61-51 | 21-11 (13-3) |
| 2024-03-12 | Wagner | N | Conference Tournament | L | 47-54 | 21-12 (13-3) |
| 2024-11-09 | Vermont | H | Non-Conference | W | 65-51 | 1-0 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-13 | VCU | A | Non-Conference | L | 42-63 | 1-1 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-17 | Princeton | H | Non-Conference | L | 57-68 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-20 | Rutgers | A | Non-Conference | L | 63-74 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-22 | Butler | A | Non-Conference | L | 39-78 | 1-4 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-25 | UMass Lowell | A | Non-Conference | L | 74-81 | 1-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-27 | UTSA | N | Non-Conference | L | 74-76 | 1-6 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-29 | Troy | A | Non-Conference | W | 72-68 | 2-6 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-06 | Canisius | A | Conference | W | 60-52 | 3-6 (1-0) |
| 2024-12-08 | Niagara | A | Conference | W | 80-62 | 4-6 (2-0) |
| 2024-12-13 | Boston U | H | Non-Conference | W | 64-61 | 5-6 (2-0) |
| 2024-12-17 | Stanford | A | Non-Conference | L | 68-74 | 5-7 (2-0) |
| 2024-12-19 | Saint Mary's | A | Non-Conference | L | 68-73 | 5-8 (2-0) |
| 2025-01-03 | Fairfield | H | Conference | W | 67-54 | 6-8 (3-0) |
| 2025-01-10 | Sacred Heart | A | Conference | W | 66-65 | 7-8 (4-0) |
| 2025-01-12 | Manhattan | H | Conference | W | 69-62 | 8-8 (5-0) |
| 2025-01-16 | Quinnipiac | A | Conference | L | 76-81 | 8-9 (5-1) |
| 2025-01-18 | Siena | H | Conference | W | 64-58 | 9-9 (6-1) |
| 2025-01-23 | St Peter's | A | Conference | W | 48-37 | 10-9 (7-1) |
| 2025-01-25 | Fairfield | A | Conference | W | 75-54 | 11-9 (8-1) |
| 2025-01-31 | Mt St Mary's | H | Conference | L | 58-66 | 11-10 (8-2) |
| 2025-02-02 | Rider | A | Conference | W | 66-64 | 12-10 (9-2) |
| 2025-02-06 | Niagara | H | Conference | W | 64-59 | 13-10 (10-2) |
| 2025-02-08 | Canisius | H | Conference | W | 69-51 | 14-10 (11-2) |
| 2025-02-14 | Manhattan | A | Conference | L | 75-79 | 14-11 (11-3) |
| 2025-02-16 | Marist | H | Conference | L | 60-61 | 14-12 (11-4) |
| 2025-02-21 | Sacred Heart | H | Conference | L | 59-60 | 14-13 (11-5) |
| 2025-02-23 | Iona | A | Conference | W | 77-70 | 15-13 (12-5) |
| 2025-02-28 | Rider | H | Conference | L | 78-83 | 15-14 (12-6) |
| 2025-03-02 | Quinnipiac | H | Conference | W | 73-63 | 16-14 (13-6) |
| 2025-03-06 | Marist | A | Conference | W | 75-53 | 17-14 (14-6) |
| 2025-03-12 | Sacred Heart | N | Conference Tournament | W | 66-62 | 18-14 (14-6) |
| 2025-03-14 | Mt St Mary's | N | Conference Tournament | L | 55-57 | 18-15 (14-6) |
| 2025-11-03 | South Dakota St | N | Non-Conference | L | 66-75 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-06 | Auburn | A | Non-Conference | L | 57-95 | 0-2 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-11 | Tarleton | A | Non-Conference | L | 62-76 | 0-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-15 | Boston U | A | Non-Conference | W | 91-79 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-19 | Maine | H | Non-Conference | W | 72-65 | 2-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-21 | Florida | A | Non-Conference | L | 45-80 | 2-4 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-28 | Penn | A | Non-Conference | L | 65-77 | 2-5 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-29 | Hofstra | N | Non-Conference | L | 58-78 | 2-6 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-30 | La Salle | N | Non-Conference | W | 66-60 | 3-6 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-04 | Rider | H | Conference | W | 68-66 | 4-6 (1-0) |
| 2025-12-07 | Fairfield | H | Conference | W | 74-63 | 5-6 (2-0) |
| 2025-12-10 | Princeton | A | Non-Conference | - | - | - |
| 2025-12-14 | Vermont | A | Non-Conference | - | - | - |
| 2025-12-29 | Sacred Heart | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-02 | Mount St. Mary's | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-04 | Manhattan | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-09 | Siena | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-11 | Saint Peter's | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-17 | Quinnipiac | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-19 | Marist | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-22 | Iona | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-01-24 | Saint Peter's | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-01 | Sacred Heart | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-05 | Mount St. Mary's | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-07 | Rider | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-12 | Marist | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-15 | Quinnipiac | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-20 | Siena | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-22 | Iona | H | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-02-27 | Canisius | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| 2026-03-01 | Niagara | A | Conference | - | - | - |
| Metric | Merrimack | Opponent | Metric |
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| Metric | Merrimack | Opponent | Metric |
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| Model | Merrimack | Opponent | Predicted Score | Spread | Result | MAE |
|---|