College Basketball Analytics, Insights, and Trends
| Model | Score | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Adj EM | -9.09 | 242 |
| Elo | 1396.22 | 303 |
| RPI | 0.429 | 311 |
The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).
| Date | Opponent | Site | Type | Result | Score | Record (Conf) |
|---|
| Date | Opponent | Site | Type | Result | Score | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-07 | Georgetown | A | Non-Conference | L | 57-94 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-10 | Villanova | A | Non-Conference | L | 57-83 | 0-2 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-13 | SUNY-Canton | H | Non-D1 | W | 105-46 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-17 | San Diego | A | Non-Conference | L | 71-80 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-19 | UCSB | A | Non-Conference | L | 72-96 | 1-4 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-21 | CSU Northridge | A | Non-Conference | W | 80-70 | 2-4 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-24 | Pacific | A | Non-Conference | L | 71-73 | 2-5 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-29 | Fredonia State | H | Non-D1 | W | 92-54 | 3-5 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-05 | Army | A | Non-Conference | L | 51-68 | 3-6 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-09 | Binghamton | A | Non-Conference | L | 79-91 | 3-7 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-16 | Dartmouth | H | Non-Conference | W | 80-54 | 4-7 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-18 | Houghton | H | Non-D1 | W | 92-72 | 5-7 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-21 | Penn State | A | Non-Conference | L | 55-72 | 5-8 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-30 | Fairfield | A | Non-Conference | L | 72-78 | 5-9 (0-0) |
| 2024-01-06 | Fair Dickinson | A | Conference | W | 74-63 | 6-9 (1-0) |
| 2024-01-13 | Merrimack | H | Conference | L | 62-66 | 6-10 (1-1) |
| 2024-01-15 | Sacred Heart | H | Conference | L | 73-80 | 6-11 (1-2) |
| 2024-01-19 | Cent Conn St | A | Conference | W | 75-73 | 7-11 (2-2) |
| 2024-01-21 | St Francis (PA) | H | Conference | W | 94-57 | 8-11 (3-2) |
| 2024-01-27 | Brooklyn | H | Conference | W | 87-74 | 9-11 (4-2) |
| 2024-02-01 | Wagner | A | Conference | L | 57-80 | 9-12 (4-3) |
| 2024-02-03 | Sacred Heart | A | Conference | L | 81-87 | 9-13 (4-4) |
| 2024-02-08 | Stonehill | A | Conference | W | 88-57 | 10-13 (5-4) |
| 2024-02-10 | Merrimack | A | Conference | L | 50-66 | 10-14 (5-5) |
| 2024-02-15 | Cent Conn St | H | Conference | W | 69-64 | 11-14 (6-5) |
| 2024-02-17 | Stonehill | H | Conference | W | 75-67 | 12-14 (7-5) |
| 2024-02-22 | Brooklyn | A | Conference | L | 64-76 | 12-15 (7-6) |
| 2024-02-24 | Fair Dickinson | H | Conference | L | 58-68 | 12-16 (7-7) |
| 2024-02-29 | Wagner | H | Conference | W | 70-56 | 13-16 (8-7) |
| 2024-03-02 | St Francis (PA) | A | Conference | W | 74-58 | 14-16 (9-7) |
| 2024-03-06 | Fair Dickinson | N | Conference Tournament | W | 82-61 | 15-16 (9-7) |
| 2024-03-09 | Merrimack | N | Conference Tournament | L | 51-61 | 15-17 (9-7) |
| 2024-11-04 | Syracuse | A | Non-Conference | L | 82-86 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-06 | CSU Northridge | H | Non-Conference | L | 75-97 | 0-2 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-09 | SUNY Poly | H | Non-D1 | W | 107-73 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-13 | UConn | A | Non-Conference | L | 49-90 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-16 | St Bonaventure | A | Non-Conference | L | 52-71 | 1-4 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-22 | UT Martin | N | Non-Conference | W | 65-53 | 2-4 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-23 | Texas A&M-CC | A | Non-Conference | L | 61-82 | 2-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-25 | UT Rio Grande | A | Non-Conference | L | 77-97 | 2-6 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-29 | Manhattan | A | Non-Conference | W | 81-77 | 3-6 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-03 | Army | H | Non-Conference | L | 100-103 | 3-7 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-07 | Binghamton | H | Non-Conference | L | 62-72 | 3-8 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-14 | SUNY Delhi | H | Non-D1 | W | 106-51 | 4-8 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-18 | Dartmouth | A | Non-Conference | W | 80-76 | 5-8 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-22 | Notre Dame | A | Non-Conference | L | 62-91 | 5-9 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-29 | Niagara | A | Non-Conference | L | 69-88 | 5-10 (0-0) |
| 2025-01-03 | Brooklyn | A | Conference | L | 62-78 | 5-11 (0-1) |
| 2025-01-10 | Fair Dickinson | H | Conference | L | 86-91 | 5-12 (0-2) |
| 2025-01-12 | Mercyhurst | H | Conference | W | 79-63 | 6-12 (1-2) |
| 2025-01-18 | Chicago State | A | Conference | L | 72-88 | 6-13 (1-3) |
| 2025-01-20 | Stonehill | H | Conference | W | 73-72 | 7-13 (2-3) |
| 2025-01-24 | Cent Conn St | H | Conference | L | 70-93 | 7-14 (2-4) |
| 2025-01-30 | Fair Dickinson | A | Conference | L | 74-78 | 7-15 (2-5) |
| 2025-02-01 | Wagner | A | Conference | L | 61-73 | 7-16 (2-6) |
| 2025-02-06 | St Francis (PA) | A | Conference | L | 78-86 | 7-17 (2-7) |
| 2025-02-08 | Mercyhurst | A | Conference | L | 78-82 | 7-18 (2-8) |
| 2025-02-13 | Wagner | H | Conference | W | 72-68 | 8-18 (3-8) |
| 2025-02-15 | Chicago State | H | Conference | W | 80-75 | 9-18 (4-8) |
| 2025-02-20 | St Francis (PA) | H | Conference | L | 76-81 | 9-19 (4-9) |
| 2025-02-22 | Brooklyn | H | Conference | L | 61-76 | 9-20 (4-10) |
| 2025-02-27 | Cent Conn St | A | Conference | L | 75-84 | 9-21 (4-11) |
| 2025-03-01 | Stonehill | A | Conference | L | 79-85 | 9-22 (4-12) |
| 2025-03-05 | Cent Conn St | N | Conference Tournament | L | 67-86 | 9-23 (4-12) |
| 2025-11-03 | SUNY Cobleskill | H | Non-D1 | W | 94-50 | 1-0 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-06 | Xavier | A | Non-Conference | L | 69-74 | 1-1 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-09 | Bowling Green | A | Non-Conference | L | 60-83 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-13 | UMass | A | Non-Conference | L | 80-94 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-17 | Niagara | H | Non-Conference | W | 74-68 | 2-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-22 | Fairfield | H | Non-Conference | L | 83-97 | 2-4 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-28 | Lafayette | A | Non-Conference | W | 76-63 | 3-4 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-29 | Monmouth | N | Non-Conference | W | 83-79 | 4-4 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-30 | Ball State | N | Non-Conference | L | 85-96 | 4-5 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-06 | Binghamton | A | Non-Conference | W | 78-63 | 5-5 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-16 | Texas | A | Non-Conference | L | 53-95 | 5-6 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-20 | St Bonaventure | A | Non-Conference | L | 81-92 | 5-7 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-28 | Boston College | A | Non-Conference | L | 64-72 | 5-8 (0-0) |
| 2026-01-02 | Saint Francis | A | Conference | W | 84-58 | 6-8 (1-0) |
| 2026-01-04 | Mercyhurst | A | Conference | L | 60-74 | 6-9 (1-1) |
| 2026-01-08 | New Haven | H | Conference | W | 73-47 | 7-9 (2-1) |
| 2026-01-10 | Cent Conn St | H | Conference | L | 59-69 | 7-10 (2-2) |
| 2026-01-17 | Chicago State | A | Conference | W | 72-57 | 8-10 (3-2) |
| 2026-01-19 | Long Island University | H | Conference | W | 83-77 | 9-10 (4-2) |
| 2026-01-23 | Wagner | H | Conference | W | 69-67 | 10-10 (5-2) |
| 2026-01-26 | Fair Dickinson | A | Conference | W | 87-74 | 11-10 (6-2) |
| 2026-01-29 | Long Island University | A | Conference | L | 61-83 | 11-11 (6-3) |
| 2026-01-31 | Stonehill | H | Conference | L | 54-65 | 11-12 (6-4) |
| 2026-02-05 | Wagner | A | Conference | L | 78-79 | 11-13 (6-5) |
| 2026-02-07 | Saint Francis | H | Conference | W | 86-84 | 12-13 (7-5) |
| 2026-02-12 | Mercyhurst | H | Conference | W | 58-57 | 13-13 (8-5) |
| 2026-02-14 | Chicago State | H | Conference | W | 81-63 | 14-13 (9-5) |
| 2026-02-19 | Cent Conn St | A | Conference | L | 77-78 | 14-14 (9-6) |
| 2026-02-21 | Stonehill | A | Conference | L | 68-77 | 14-15 (9-7) |
| 2026-02-26 | Fair Dickinson | H | Conference | W | 76-59 | 15-15 (10-7) |
| 2026-02-28 | New Haven | A | Conference | L | 59-66 | 15-16 (10-8) |
| 2026-03-04 | Stonehill | N | Conference Tournament | L | 71-81 | 15-17 (10-8) |
| Metric | Le Moyne | Opponent | Metric |
|---|
| Metric | Le Moyne | Opponent | Metric |
|---|
| Model | Le Moyne | Opponent | Predicted Score | Spread | Result | MAE |
|---|