College Basketball Analytics, Insights, and Trends
| Model | Score | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Adj EM | -5.35 | 212 |
| Elo | 1546.31 | 120 |
| RPI | 0.513 | 136 |
The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).
| Date | Opponent | Site | Type | Result | Score | Record (Conf) |
|---|
| Date | Opponent | Site | Type | Result | Score | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-07 | Marshall | H | Non-Conference | W | 83-82 | 1-0 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-10 | Clinton College | H | Non-D1 | W | 99-65 | 2-0 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-15 | La Salle | A | Non-Conference | L | 60-72 | 2-1 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-18 | Green Bay | N | Non-Conference | W | 81-65 | 3-1 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-20 | Morgan State | N | Non-Conference | W | 74-64 | 4-1 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-23 | Lynchburg | H | Non-D1 | W | 107-72 | 5-1 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-26 | George Mason | A | Non-Conference | L | 65-72 | 5-2 (0-0) |
| 2022-11-29 | Bowling Green | A | Non-Conference | W | 72-66 | 6-2 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-03 | Paine | H | Non-D1 | W | 89-60 | 7-2 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-09 | High Point | A | Non-Conference | W | 87-79 | 8-2 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-14 | ETSU | A | Non-Conference | W | 78-75 | 9-2 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-20 | Nebraska | A | Non-Conference | L | 65-75 | 9-3 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-22 | Fair Dickinson | A | Non-Conference | W | 82-73 | 10-3 (0-0) |
| 2022-12-29 | Austin Peay | H | Conference | W | 81-77 | 11-3 (1-0) |
| 2022-12-31 | E Kentucky | A | Conference | L | 83-88 | 11-4 (1-1) |
| 2023-01-05 | Bellarmine | A | Conference | W | 75-74 | 12-4 (2-1) |
| 2023-01-07 | Kennesaw State | H | Conference | L | 67-76 | 12-5 (2-2) |
| 2023-01-12 | Cent Arkansas | H | Conference | L | 91-92 | 12-6 (2-3) |
| 2023-01-14 | North Alabama | H | Conference | W | 107-78 | 13-6 (3-3) |
| 2023-01-19 | North Florida | A | Conference | L | 90-95 | 13-7 (3-4) |
| 2023-01-21 | Jacksonville | A | Conference | L | 70-77 | 13-8 (3-5) |
| 2023-01-26 | FGCU | H | Conference | W | 84-82 | 14-8 (4-5) |
| 2023-01-28 | Stetson | H | Conference | W | 71-65 | 15-8 (5-5) |
| 2023-02-02 | Lipscomb | A | Conference | L | 60-66 | 15-9 (5-6) |
| 2023-02-04 | Austin Peay | A | Conference | W | 70-69 | 16-9 (6-6) |
| 2023-02-09 | E Kentucky | H | Conference | L | 80-84 | 16-10 (6-7) |
| 2023-02-11 | Bellarmine | H | Conference | L | 84-88 | 16-11 (6-8) |
| 2023-02-16 | Jacksonville St | A | Conference | L | 69-76 | 16-12 (6-9) |
| 2023-02-18 | Kennesaw State | A | Conference | W | 83-76 | 17-12 (7-9) |
| 2023-02-22 | Liberty | H | Conference | L | 77-85 | 17-13 (7-10) |
| 2023-02-24 | Liberty | A | Conference | L | 53-73 | 17-14 (7-11) |
| 2023-02-27 | FGCU | N | Conference Tournament | W | 61-55 | 18-14 (7-11) |
| 2023-02-28 | Kennesaw State | N | Conference Tournament | L | 66-67 | 18-15 (7-11) |
| 2023-11-06 | Marshall | A | Non-Conference | L | 73-89 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-10 | S Illinois | A | Non-Conference | L | 68-91 | 0-2 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-14 | High Point | H | Non-Conference | W | 74-72 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-18 | Fairfield | N | Non-Conference | W | 69-63 | 2-2 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-19 | Drexel | A | Non-Conference | L | 52-62 | 2-3 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-22 | Fair Dickinson | H | Non-Conference | W | 97-84 | 3-3 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-25 | Richmond | A | Non-Conference | L | 61-90 | 3-4 (0-0) |
| 2023-11-29 | Gardner-Webb | H | Non-Conference | W | 83-80 | 4-4 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-01 | Carolina Christian College | H | Non-D1 | W | 134-69 | 5-4 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-05 | Winthrop | A | Non-Conference | L | 82-88 | 5-5 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-09 | Carolina University | H | Non-D1 | W | 112-64 | 6-5 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-13 | Appalachian St | H | Non-Conference | L | 81-93 | 6-6 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-19 | Mercer | A | Non-Conference | L | 65-84 | 6-7 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-22 | Clemson | A | Non-Conference | L | 79-109 | 6-8 (0-0) |
| 2023-12-30 | Duke | A | Non-Conference | L | 69-106 | 6-9 (0-0) |
| 2024-01-06 | Kennesaw State | A | Conference | L | 77-80 | 6-10 (0-1) |
| 2024-01-10 | FGCU | H | Conference | W | 78-75 | 7-10 (1-1) |
| 2024-01-12 | Stetson | H | Conference | L | 66-84 | 7-11 (1-2) |
| 2024-01-18 | Jacksonville | A | Conference | L | 77-79 | 7-12 (1-3) |
| 2024-01-20 | North Florida | A | Conference | L | 75-91 | 7-13 (1-4) |
| 2024-01-24 | Cent Arkansas | H | Conference | W | 96-79 | 8-13 (2-4) |
| 2024-01-27 | North Alabama | A | Conference | L | 84-90 | 8-14 (2-5) |
| 2024-02-01 | E Kentucky | H | Conference | W | 94-76 | 9-14 (3-5) |
| 2024-02-03 | Bellarmine | H | Conference | W | 85-75 | 10-14 (4-5) |
| 2024-02-08 | Lipscomb | A | Conference | L | 88-90 | 10-15 (4-6) |
| 2024-02-10 | Austin Peay | A | Conference | L | 76-79 | 10-16 (4-7) |
| 2024-02-14 | North Florida | H | Conference | L | 79-93 | 10-17 (4-8) |
| 2024-02-16 | Jacksonville | H | Conference | W | 74-65 | 11-17 (5-8) |
| 2024-02-22 | Stetson | A | Conference | W | 83-75 | 12-17 (6-8) |
| 2024-02-24 | FGCU | A | Conference | L | 81-90 | 12-18 (6-9) |
| 2024-03-01 | Kennesaw State | H | Conference | W | 91-82 | 13-18 (7-9) |
| 2024-03-04 | FGCU | N | Conference Tournament | W | 69-63 | 14-18 (7-9) |
| 2024-03-05 | Stetson | N | Conference Tournament | L | 71-83 | 14-19 (7-9) |
| 2024-11-04 | Lynchburg | H | Non-D1 | W | 90-39 | 1-0 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-08 | W Carolina | H | Non-Conference | W | 67-54 | 2-0 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-12 | Utah | A | Non-Conference | L | 65-96 | 2-1 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-13 | BYU | A | Non-Conference | L | 55-99 | 2-2 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-19 | Appalachian St | A | Non-Conference | L | 53-65 | 2-3 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-23 | USC Upstate | N | Non-Conference | W | 98-74 | 3-3 (0-0) |
| 2024-11-24 | ETSU | A | Non-Conference | L | 67-82 | 3-4 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-03 | Winthrop | H | Non-Conference | L | 78-86 | 3-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-07 | VMI | A | Non-Conference | W | 81-78 | 4-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-10 | Carolina University | H | Non-D1 | W | 91-53 | 5-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-14 | Gardner-Webb | A | Non-Conference | W | 85-83 | 6-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-18 | Mercer | H | Non-Conference | W | 73-66 | 7-5 (0-0) |
| 2024-12-21 | Ole Miss | A | Non-Conference | L | 62-80 | 7-6 (0-0) |
| 2025-01-02 | Stetson | H | Conference | W | 96-87 | 8-6 (1-0) |
| 2025-01-04 | FGCU | H | Conference | W | 92-83 | 9-6 (2-0) |
| 2025-01-09 | Lipscomb | A | Conference | W | 75-73 | 10-6 (3-0) |
| 2025-01-11 | Austin Peay | A | Conference | W | 67-60 | 11-6 (4-0) |
| 2025-01-16 | Stetson | A | Conference | W | 95-60 | 12-6 (5-0) |
| 2025-01-18 | FGCU | A | Conference | L | 47-60 | 12-7 (5-1) |
| 2025-01-23 | North Florida | H | Conference | L | 81-90 | 12-8 (5-2) |
| 2025-01-25 | Jacksonville | H | Conference | L | 77-87 | 12-9 (5-3) |
| 2025-01-29 | North Alabama | H | Conference | W | 75-67 | 13-9 (6-3) |
| 2025-02-01 | West Georgia | H | Conference | W | 87-68 | 14-9 (7-3) |
| 2025-02-05 | Cent Arkansas | A | Conference | W | 63-47 | 15-9 (8-3) |
| 2025-02-08 | Lipscomb | H | Conference | L | 81-94 | 15-10 (8-4) |
| 2025-02-13 | Bellarmine | A | Conference | W | 92-87 | 16-10 (9-4) |
| 2025-02-15 | E Kentucky | A | Conference | L | 80-86 | 16-11 (9-5) |
| 2025-02-18 | Cent Arkansas | H | Conference | W | 89-72 | 17-11 (10-5) |
| 2025-02-20 | Austin Peay | H | Conference | L | 78-92 | 17-12 (10-6) |
| 2025-02-24 | West Georgia | A | Conference | W | 72-57 | 18-12 (11-6) |
| 2025-02-26 | North Alabama | A | Conference | L | 69-74 | 18-13 (11-7) |
| 2025-03-03 | FGCU | N | Conference Tournament | W | 71-65 | 19-13 (11-7) |
| 2025-03-06 | Lipscomb | N | Conference Tournament | L | 75-81 | 19-14 (11-7) |
| 2025-03-23 | N Arizona | N | Purple CBI - 1st Round | W | 85-78 | 20-14 (11-7) |
| 2025-03-24 | Cleveland State | N | Purple CBI - Quarterfinal | L | 73-88 | 20-15 (11-7) |
| 2025-11-03 | Winthrop | N | Non-Conference | L | 74-81 | 0-1 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-05 | Lynchburg | H | Non-D1 | W | 87-76 | 1-1 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-08 | Villanova | A | Non-Conference | L | 74-94 | 1-2 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-11 | Duquesne | A | Non-Conference | L | 81-87 | 1-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-15 | Sacred Heart | H | Non-Conference | W | 81-64 | 2-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-20 | UNCG | H | Non-Conference | W | 101-94 | 3-3 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-23 | Furman | A | Non-Conference | L | 79-90 | 3-4 (0-0) |
| 2025-11-28 | UVA | A | Non-Conference | L | 69-94 | 3-5 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-03 | Gardner-Webb | H | Non-Conference | W | 107-74 | 4-5 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-12 | South Carolina State | H | Non-Conference | W | 102-78 | 5-5 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-14 | Wake Forest | A | Non-Conference | L | 73-111 | 5-6 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-16 | Arkansas | A | Non-Conference | L | 80-108 | 5-7 (0-0) |
| 2025-12-29 | Auburn | A | Non-Conference | L | 65-106 | 5-8 (0-0) |
| 2026-01-01 | E Kentucky | H | Conference | W | 91-89 | 6-8 (1-0) |
| 2026-01-03 | Bellarmine | H | Conference | W | 98-76 | 7-8 (2-0) |
| 2026-01-08 | Jacksonville | A | Conference | W | 77-51 | 8-8 (3-0) |
| 2026-01-10 | North Florida | A | Conference | W | 89-82 | 9-8 (4-0) |
| 2026-01-15 | FGCU | A | Conference | W | 85-74 | 10-8 (5-0) |
| 2026-01-17 | Stetson | A | Conference | W | 87-81 | 11-8 (6-0) |
| 2026-01-21 | North Alabama | H | Conference | W | 87-62 | 12-8 (7-0) |
| 2026-01-24 | West Georgia | A | Conference | L | 66-74 | 12-9 (7-1) |
| 2026-01-28 | Cent Arkansas | H | Conference | L | 90-100 | 12-10 (7-2) |
| 2026-01-31 | Bellarmine | A | Conference | L | 75-78 | 12-11 (7-3) |
| 2026-02-05 | Jacksonville | H | Conference | W | 93-84 | 13-11 (8-3) |
| 2026-02-07 | North Florida | H | Conference | W | 91-72 | 14-11 (9-3) |
| 2026-02-11 | Austin Peay | H | Conference | L | 87-95 | 14-12 (9-4) |
| 2026-02-14 | Lipscomb | H | Conference | W | 87-81 | 15-12 (10-4) |
| 2026-02-18 | North Alabama | A | Conference | W | 85-78 | 16-12 (11-4) |
| 2026-02-21 | West Georgia | H | Conference | W | 91-84 | 17-12 (12-4) |
| 2026-02-25 | E Kentucky | A | Conference | W | 96-79 | 18-12 (13-4) |
| 2026-02-28 | Cent Arkansas | A | Conference | L | 79-84 | 18-13 (13-5) |
| 2026-03-06 | West Georgia | N | Conference Tournament | W | 71-63 | 19-13 (13-5) |
| 2026-03-07 | Austin Peay | N | Conference Tournament | W | 90-83 | 20-13 (13-5) |
| 2026-03-08 | Cent Arkansas | N | Conference Tournament | W | 98-93 | 21-13 (13-5) |
| 2026-03-20 | Purdue | N | NCAA Men's Basketball Championship - West Region - 1st Round | L | 71-104 | 21-14 (13-5) |
| Metric | Queens University | Opponent | Metric |
|---|
| Metric | Queens University | Opponent | Metric |
|---|
| Model | Queens University | Opponent | Predicted Score | Spread | Result | MAE |
|---|