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Incarnate Word

Model	Score	Rank
Adj EM	-21.95	325
Elo	1417.04	297
RPI	0.447	266

Updated through 2025-12-08

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend

About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record (Conf)
2025-12-15	TCU	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-21	Northern Arizona	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-30	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-03	Houston Christian	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-05	UT Rio Grande Valley	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-10	Lamar	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-12	Stephen F. Austin	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-17	Northwestern State	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-19	East Texas A&M	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-24	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-26	Houston Christian	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-31	UT Rio Grande Valley	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-02	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	McNeese	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-09	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-14	Nicholls	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-16	New Orleans	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-21	East Texas A&M	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-23	Northwestern State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	Lamar	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-02	Stephen F. Austin	H	Conference	-	-	-

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record
2013-11-11	Trinity University (TX)	A	Non-D1	W	74-62	1-0 (0-0)
2013-11-16	Huston-Tillotson	A	Non-D1	W	85-78	2-0 (0-0)
2013-11-19	Northwood University	H	Non-D1	W	106-94	3-0 (0-0)
2013-11-22	Southwestern	A	Non-D1	W	80-61	4-0 (0-0)
2013-11-26	North Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	67-84	4-1 (0-0)
2013-11-30	Texas A&M-International	H	Non-D1	W	75-56	5-1 (0-0)
2013-12-04	St. Edward's	H	Non-D1	W	77-67	6-1 (0-0)
2013-12-14	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	83-56	7-1 (0-0)
2013-12-16	Open Bible	H	Non-D1	W	96-60	8-1 (0-0)
2013-12-17	Open Bible	H	Non-D1	W	98-53	9-1 (0-0)
2013-12-30	Huston-Tillotson	H	Non-D1	W	102-73	10-1 (0-0)
2014-01-04	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	W	100-85	11-1 (0-0)
2014-01-09	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	72-76	11-2 (0-1)
2014-01-11	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	78-55	12-2 (1-1)
2014-01-16	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	W	87-72	13-2 (2-1)
2014-01-18	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	L	77-79	13-3 (2-2)
2014-01-23	Sam Houston	H	Conference	W	85-74	14-3 (3-2)
2014-01-25	Lamar	H	Conference	W	75-64	15-3 (4-2)
2014-01-30	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	86-100	15-4 (4-3)
2014-02-01	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	74-76	15-5 (4-4)
2014-02-06	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	82-78	16-5 (5-4)
2014-02-08	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	89-82	17-5 (6-4)
2014-02-13	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	80-68	18-5 (7-4)
2014-02-27	McNeese	A	Conference	L	72-87	18-6 (7-5)
2014-03-01	Nicholls	A	Conference	W	69-67	19-6 (8-5)
2014-03-08	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	59-56	20-6 (9-5)
2014-11-14	Texas-Tyler	H	Non-D1	W	89-49	1-0 (0-0)
2014-11-18	Huston-Tillotson	H	Non-D1	W	94-63	2-0 (0-0)
2014-11-22	Princeton	A	Non-Conference	W	79-68	3-0 (0-0)
2014-11-24	Texas A&M-International	H	Non-D1	W	105-83	4-0 (0-0)
2014-12-04	St. Edward's	H	Non-D1	W	85-68	5-0 (0-0)
2014-12-08	UTEP	A	Non-Conference	L	65-81	5-1 (0-0)
2014-12-10	Nebraska	A	Non-Conference	W	74-73	6-1 (0-0)
2014-12-17	Grand Canyon	A	Non-Conference	W	82-80	7-1 (0-0)
2014-12-20	UMKC	A	Non-Conference	W	110-104	8-1 (0-0)
2014-12-22	Tulsa	A	Non-Conference	L	47-76	8-2 (0-0)
2015-01-03	Sam Houston	A	Conference	L	78-84	8-3 (0-1)
2015-01-10	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	101-103	8-4 (0-2)
2015-01-12	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	97-66	9-4 (1-2)
2015-01-17	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	98-108	9-5 (1-3)
2015-01-24	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	77-61	10-5 (2-3)
2015-01-26	McNeese	H	Conference	W	86-84	11-5 (3-3)
2015-01-31	Nicholls	A	Conference	W	69-58	12-5 (4-3)
2015-02-03	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	70-71	12-6 (4-4)
2015-02-07	Lamar	H	Conference	W	78-72	13-6 (5-4)
2015-02-10	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	73-64	14-6 (6-4)
2015-02-13	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	W	77-67	15-6 (7-4)
2015-02-16	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	76-90	15-7 (7-5)
2015-02-21	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	74-68	16-7 (8-5)
2015-02-23	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	77-64	17-7 (9-5)
2015-02-28	Lamar	A	Conference	L	66-79	17-8 (9-6)
2015-03-02	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	62-83	17-9 (9-7)
2015-03-05	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	64-52	18-9 (10-7)
2015-03-07	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	77-78	18-10 (10-8)
2015-03-17	Louisiana	N	CIT - 1ST ROUND	L	68-83	18-11 (10-8)
2015-11-13	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	86-65	1-0 (0-0)
2015-11-16	Schreiner	H	Non-D1	W	73-49	2-0 (0-0)
2015-11-18	Purdue	A	Non-Conference	L	61-96	2-1 (0-0)
2015-11-24	Oklahoma	A	Non-Conference	L	63-96	2-2 (0-0)
2015-12-03	Dallas Christian	H	Non-D1	W	108-71	3-2 (0-0)
2015-12-07	Sacramento St	A	Non-Conference	L	70-73	3-3 (0-0)
2015-12-09	Cal	A	Non-Conference	L	62-74	3-4 (0-0)
2015-12-15	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	L	97-99	3-5 (0-0)
2015-12-18	St John's	A	Non-Conference	W	73-51	4-5 (0-0)
2015-12-22	LIU Brooklyn	A	Non-Conference	L	59-66	4-6 (0-0)
2015-12-29	Rice	A	Non-Conference	W	82-76	5-6 (0-0)
2016-01-02	Sam Houston	H	Conference	L	72-78	5-7 (0-1)
2016-01-09	Northwestern St	H	Conference	W	70-56	6-7 (1-1)
2016-01-11	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	71-68	7-7 (2-1)
2016-01-16	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	W	75-71	8-7 (3-1)
2016-01-23	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	74-60	9-7 (4-1)
2016-01-25	McNeese	A	Conference	L	76-79	9-8 (4-2)
2016-01-30	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	68-61	10-8 (5-2)
2016-02-02	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	70-65	11-8 (6-2)
2016-02-06	Lamar	A	Conference	W	74-71	12-8 (7-2)
2016-02-08	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	60-71	12-9 (7-3)
2016-02-12	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	W	71-69	13-9 (8-3)
2016-02-15	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	46-84	13-10 (8-4)
2016-02-20	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	69-90	13-11 (8-5)
2016-02-22	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	W	97-91	14-11 (9-5)
2016-02-27	Lamar	H	Conference	W	89-70	15-11 (10-5)
2016-02-29	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	58-84	15-12 (10-6)
2016-03-03	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	74-70	16-12 (11-6)
2016-03-05	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	97-86	17-12 (12-6)
2016-11-11	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	73-78	0-1 (0-0)
2016-11-15	St. Edward's	H	Non-D1	W	93-90	1-1 (0-0)
2016-11-21	Howard Payne	H	Non-D1	W	91-61	2-1 (0-0)
2016-11-26	Rice	H	Non-Conference	L	79-87	2-2 (0-0)
2016-11-30	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	48-69	2-3 (0-0)
2016-12-03	LIU Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	W	90-79	3-3 (0-0)
2016-12-07	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	78-71	4-3 (0-0)
2016-12-10	Texas A&M-International	H	Non-D1	W	83-68	5-3 (0-0)
2016-12-14	UNLV	A	Non-Conference	L	64-92	5-4 (0-0)
2016-12-17	Loyola Mary	A	Non-Conference	L	90-91	5-5 (0-0)
2016-12-21	Memphis	A	Non-Conference	L	71-95	5-6 (0-0)
2016-12-31	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	84-94	5-7 (0-1)
2017-01-02	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	63-74	5-8 (0-2)
2017-01-05	Northwestern St	H	Conference	W	84-80	6-8 (1-2)
2017-01-07	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	72-87	6-9 (1-3)
2017-01-11	Lamar	A	Conference	L	72-87	6-10 (1-4)
2017-01-14	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	82-77	7-10 (2-4)
2017-01-21	SF Austin	H	Conference	W	70-68	8-10 (3-4)
2017-01-26	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	82-79	9-10 (4-4)
2017-01-28	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	W	81-80	10-10 (5-4)
2017-02-02	McNeese	H	Conference	L	79-87	10-11 (5-5)
2017-02-04	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	70-84	10-12 (5-6)
2017-02-09	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	79-87	10-13 (5-7)
2017-02-11	Sam Houston	A	Conference	L	63-72	10-14 (5-8)
2017-02-15	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	81-97	10-15 (5-9)
2017-02-18	Sam Houston	H	Conference	W	69-53	11-15 (6-9)
2017-02-23	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	68-77	11-16 (6-10)
2017-03-01	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	89-75	12-16 (7-10)
2017-03-04	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	64-81	12-17 (7-11)
2017-11-10	Southwestern	H	Non-D1	W	87-71	1-0 (0-0)
2017-11-13	Trinity University (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	93-57	2-0 (0-0)
2017-11-17	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	88-49	3-0 (0-0)
2017-11-22	Loyola Mary	H	Non-Conference	L	87-91	3-1 (0-0)
2017-11-25	Houston	A	Non-Conference	L	58-97	3-2 (0-0)
2017-11-29	Gonzaga	A	Non-Conference	L	68-103	3-3 (0-0)
2017-12-05	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	91-63	4-3 (0-0)
2017-12-16	UMKC	H	Non-Conference	W	77-73	5-3 (0-0)
2017-12-19	UTEP	A	Non-Conference	L	66-72	5-4 (0-0)
2017-12-22	Florida	A	Non-Conference	L	60-75	5-5 (0-0)
2017-12-28	McNeese	A	Conference	L	62-85	5-6 (0-1)
2017-12-30	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	60-77	5-7 (0-2)
2018-01-06	Sam Houston	H	Conference	L	74-85	5-8 (0-3)
2018-01-10	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	L	76-92	5-9 (0-4)
2018-01-13	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	63-83	5-10 (0-5)
2018-01-17	Lamar	H	Conference	L	69-90	5-11 (0-6)
2018-01-20	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	70-74	5-12 (0-7)
2018-01-24	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	86-102	5-13 (0-8)
2018-01-27	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	58-68	5-14 (0-9)
2018-02-03	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	51-56	5-15 (0-10)
2018-02-07	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	68-86	5-16 (0-11)
2018-02-10	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	69-80	5-17 (0-12)
2018-02-14	Lamar	A	Conference	L	62-85	5-18 (0-13)
2018-02-17	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	70-81	5-19 (0-14)
2018-02-21	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	54-66	5-20 (0-15)
2018-02-24	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	W	69-62	6-20 (1-15)
2018-02-28	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	83-71	7-20 (2-15)
2018-03-03	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	59-69	7-21 (2-16)
2018-11-06	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	37-87	0-1 (0-0)
2018-11-09	St. Francis (ILL)	H	Non-D1	W	63-49	1-1 (0-0)
2018-11-10	Texas-Tyler	H	Non-D1	W	66-54	2-1 (0-0)
2018-11-12	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	70-59	3-1 (0-0)
2018-11-16	Montana	N	Non-Conference	L	66-93	3-2 (0-0)
2018-11-17	North Dakota St	N	Non-Conference	W	80-78	4-2 (0-0)
2018-11-18	FAU	N	Non-Conference	L	68-71	4-3 (0-0)
2018-11-21	N Colorado	H	Non-Conference	L	64-90	4-4 (0-0)
2018-11-25	SIUE	A	Non-Conference	L	68-80	4-5 (0-0)
2018-12-04	Trinity University (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	82-57	5-5 (0-0)
2018-12-09	LSU	A	Non-Conference	L	50-91	5-6 (0-0)
2018-12-17	UIC	A	Non-Conference	L	57-63	5-7 (0-0)
2018-12-19	DePaul	A	Non-Conference	L	71-81	5-8 (0-0)
2019-01-02	McNeese	H	Conference	L	77-88	5-9 (0-1)
2019-01-05	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	65-58	6-9 (1-1)
2019-01-12	Sam Houston	A	Conference	L	52-66	6-10 (1-2)
2019-01-16	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	L	60-77	6-11 (1-3)
2019-01-19	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	71-74	6-12 (1-4)
2019-01-23	Lamar	A	Conference	L	81-87	6-13 (1-5)
2019-01-26	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	52-61	6-14 (1-6)
2019-01-30	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	92-96	6-15 (1-7)
2019-02-02	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	72-89	6-16 (1-8)
2019-02-09	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	61-70	6-17 (1-9)
2019-02-13	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	64-70	6-18 (1-10)
2019-02-16	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	48-68	6-19 (1-11)
2019-02-20	Lamar	H	Conference	L	58-76	6-20 (1-12)
2019-02-23	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	54-81	6-21 (1-13)
2019-02-27	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	60-68	6-22 (1-14)
2019-03-02	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	72-74	6-23 (1-15)
2019-03-06	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	111-118	6-24 (1-16)
2019-03-09	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	52-81	6-25 (1-17)
2019-11-06	Missouri	A	Non-Conference	L	42-82	0-1 (0-0)
2019-11-08	N Colorado	A	Non-Conference	L	61-83	0-2 (0-0)
2019-11-12	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	86-60	1-2 (0-0)
2019-11-16	SIUE	H	Non-Conference	L	55-57	1-3 (0-0)
2019-11-22	Bethune-Cookman	H	Non-Conference	L	58-83	1-4 (0-0)
2019-11-23	St. Francis (ILL)	H	Non-D1	W	68-44	2-4 (0-0)
2019-11-24	E Illinois	H	Non-Conference	L	63-72	2-5 (0-0)
2019-12-01	Portland	A	Non-Conference	L	56-65	2-6 (0-0)
2019-12-03	Seattle	A	Non-Conference	L	60-81	2-7 (0-0)
2019-12-07	Trinity University (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	101-65	3-7 (0-0)
2019-12-18	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	L	82-88	3-8 (0-1)
2019-12-21	Washington St	A	Non-Conference	L	59-87	3-9 (0-1)
2020-01-02	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	60-76	3-10 (0-2)
2020-01-08	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	66-72	3-11 (0-3)
2020-01-11	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	73-70	4-11 (1-3)
2020-01-15	McNeese	A	Conference	L	56-72	4-12 (1-4)
2020-01-18	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	56-80	4-13 (1-5)
2020-01-22	Lamar	H	Conference	L	77-89	4-14 (1-6)
2020-01-25	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	47-68	4-15 (1-7)
2020-01-29	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	W	84-82	5-15 (2-7)
2020-02-01	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	58-72	5-16 (2-8)
2020-02-05	Sam Houston	H	Conference	W	72-71	6-16 (3-8)
2020-02-08	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	W	82-75	7-16 (4-8)
2020-02-12	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	60-70	7-17 (4-9)
2020-02-15	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	67-66	8-17 (5-9)
2020-02-19	McNeese	H	Conference	W	65-59	9-17 (6-9)
2020-02-22	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	56-80	9-18 (6-10)
2020-02-26	Lamar	A	Conference	L	66-86	9-19 (6-11)
2020-02-29	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	70-78	9-20 (6-12)
2020-03-04	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	76-88	9-21 (6-13)
2020-03-07	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	68-71	9-22 (6-14)
2020-11-27	Rice	H	Non-Conference	L	53-68	0-1 (0-0)
2020-11-29	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	W	84-71	1-1 (0-0)
2020-12-02	Wyoming	A	Non-Conference	L	83-94	1-2 (0-0)
2020-12-05	Texas State	A	Non-Conference	L	64-72	1-3 (0-0)
2020-12-29	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	51-79	1-4 (0-0)
2020-12-31	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	92-71	2-4 (0-0)
2021-01-01	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	81-54	3-4 (0-0)
2021-01-06	Northwestern St	A	Conference	W	75-67	4-4 (1-0)
2021-01-09	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	64-86	4-5 (1-1)
2021-01-13	McNeese	H	Conference	W	83-61	5-5 (2-1)
2021-01-16	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	65-83	5-6 (2-2)
2021-01-23	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	72-53	6-6 (3-2)
2021-01-27	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	57-73	6-7 (3-3)
2021-01-30	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	67-75	6-8 (3-4)
2021-02-03	Lamar	A	Conference	W	67-58	7-8 (4-4)
2021-02-06	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	W	58-53	8-8 (5-4)
2021-02-10	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	67-68	8-9 (5-5)
2021-02-24	Lamar	H	Conference	L	45-67	8-10 (5-6)
2021-03-01	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	72-88	8-11 (5-7)
2021-03-03	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	67-72	8-12 (5-8)
2021-03-06	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	60-85	8-13 (5-9)
2021-03-09	Houston Baptist	N	Conference Tournament	L	68-80	8-14 (5-9)
2021-11-09	Texas State	H	Non-Conference	L	57-75	0-1 (0-0)
2021-11-12	Baylor	A	Non-Conference	L	60-87	0-2 (0-0)
2021-11-16	Concordia Texas	H	Non-D1	L	78-82	0-3 (0-0)
2021-11-20	Texas Tech	N	Non-Conference	L	62-84	0-4 (0-0)
2021-11-26	SE Missouri St	H	Non-Conference	L	76-79	0-5 (0-0)
2021-11-27	Montana State	H	Non-Conference	L	64-83	0-6 (0-0)
2021-11-28	Portland	H	Non-Conference	L	68-77	0-7 (0-0)
2021-12-01	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	W	93-66	1-7 (0-0)
2021-12-04	Abil Christian	A	Non-Conference	L	65-98	1-8 (0-0)
2021-12-11	Grambling	H	Non-Conference	W	72-62	2-8 (0-0)
2021-12-16	Rice	A	Non-Conference	L	55-85	2-9 (0-0)
2021-12-20	Purdue	A	Non-Conference	L	59-79	2-10 (0-0)
2021-12-28	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	33-78	2-11 (0-0)
2022-01-02	Dallas Christian	H	Non-D1	W	90-45	3-11 (0-0)
2022-01-06	Nicholls	N	Conference	L	56-87	3-12 (0-1)
2022-01-07	Northwestern St	N	Conference	L	80-83	3-13 (0-2)
2022-01-08	Houston Baptist	N	Conference	W	60-50	4-13 (1-2)
2022-01-15	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	64-80	4-14 (1-3)
2022-01-20	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	65-68	4-15 (1-4)
2022-01-22	McNeese	H	Conference	L	72-82	4-16 (1-5)
2022-01-27	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	70-79	4-17 (1-6)
2022-01-29	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	68-78	4-18 (1-7)
2022-02-03	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	60-63	4-19 (1-8)
2022-02-05	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	78-70	5-19 (2-8)
2022-02-10	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	58-69	5-20 (2-9)
2022-02-12	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	57-84	5-21 (2-10)
2022-02-17	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	64-88	5-22 (2-11)
2022-02-19	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	W	92-84	6-22 (3-11)
2022-02-24	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	68-82	6-23 (3-12)
2022-02-26	McNeese	A	Conference	W	69-67	7-23 (4-12)
2022-03-05	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	68-77	7-24 (4-13)
2022-03-09	Houston Baptist	N	Conference Tournament	L	64-74	7-25 (4-13)
2022-11-07	North Dakota	H	Non-Conference	L	57-65	0-1 (0-0)
2022-11-12	UNLV	A	Non-Conference	L	63-88	0-2 (0-0)
2022-11-15	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	84-47	1-2 (0-0)
2022-11-19	Valparaiso	A	Non-Conference	L	64-68	1-3 (0-0)
2022-11-22	Our Lady Of The Lake	H	Non-D1	W	85-76	2-3 (0-0)
2022-11-25	Dartmouth	N	Non-Conference	W	69-64	3-3 (0-0)
2022-11-27	Grambling	N	Non-Conference	W	63-61	4-3 (0-0)
2022-11-28	UTSA	A	Non-Conference	L	62-68	4-4 (0-0)
2022-11-30	Dallas Christian	H	Non-D1	W	112-64	5-4 (0-0)
2022-12-03	Grambling	A	Non-Conference	L	39-72	5-5 (0-0)
2022-12-11	Kansas State	A	Non-Conference	L	50-98	5-6 (0-0)
2022-12-16	Bethune-Cookman	H	Non-Conference	W	77-65	6-6 (0-0)
2022-12-21	FIU	A	Non-Conference	L	74-79	6-7 (0-0)
2022-12-31	Texas A&M-Commerce	A	Conference	L	74-82	6-8 (0-1)
2023-01-04	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	61-91	6-9 (0-2)
2023-01-07	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	71-80	6-10 (0-3)
2023-01-12	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	79-85	6-11 (0-4)
2023-01-14	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	71-75	6-12 (0-5)
2023-01-19	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	W	89-78	7-12 (1-5)
2023-01-21	Lamar	A	Conference	W	70-64	8-12 (2-5)
2023-01-26	McNeese	H	Conference	W	70-65	9-12 (3-5)
2023-01-28	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	69-67	10-12 (4-5)
2023-02-02	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	67-77	10-13 (4-6)
2023-02-04	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	78-70	11-13 (5-6)
2023-02-09	Lamar	H	Conference	L	59-68	11-14 (5-7)
2023-02-11	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	78-84	11-15 (5-8)
2023-02-16	McNeese	A	Conference	L	76-78	11-16 (5-9)
2023-02-18	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	74-84	11-17 (5-10)
2023-02-23	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	66-71	11-18 (5-11)
2023-02-25	Texas A&M-Commerce	H	Conference	W	79-75	12-18 (6-11)
2023-03-01	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	64-81	12-19 (6-12)
2023-11-06	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	56-88	0-1 (0-0)
2023-11-11	Tulsa	A	Non-Conference	L	71-85	0-2 (0-0)
2023-11-14	Schreiner	H	Non-D1	W	104-63	1-2 (0-0)
2023-11-18	AR-Pine Bluff	A	Non-Conference	W	100-81	2-2 (0-0)
2023-11-22	Jacksonville St	H	Non-Conference	W	67-66	3-2 (0-0)
2023-11-25	UTSA	A	Non-Conference	L	80-90	3-3 (0-0)
2023-11-26	Jacksonville St	N	Non-Conference	L	65-67	3-4 (0-0)
2023-12-01	Bethune-Cookman	A	Non-Conference	L	82-96	3-5 (0-0)
2023-12-09	N Arizona	H	Non-Conference	L	75-76	3-6 (0-0)
2023-12-13	Rice	A	Non-Conference	L	57-80	3-7 (0-0)
2023-12-21	UIC	A	Non-Conference	W	67-66	4-7 (0-0)
2023-12-30	UT Rio Grande	A	Non-Conference	L	74-77	4-8 (0-0)
2024-01-02	Our Lady Of The Lake	H	Non-D1	W	83-74	5-8 (0-0)
2024-01-06	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	65-75	5-9 (0-1)
2024-01-08	Lamar	A	Conference	L	59-75	5-10 (0-2)
2024-01-13	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	71-97	5-11 (0-3)
2024-01-20	McNeese	H	Conference	L	66-80	5-12 (0-4)
2024-01-22	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	74-78	5-13 (0-5)
2024-01-27	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	79-75	6-13 (1-5)
2024-01-31	Texas A&M-Commerce	A	Conference	L	66-71	6-14 (1-6)
2024-02-03	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	82-80	7-14 (2-6)
2024-02-05	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	64-76	7-15 (2-7)
2024-02-10	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	83-86	7-16 (2-8)
2024-02-12	Lamar	H	Conference	W	76-67	8-16 (3-8)
2024-02-17	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	61-81	8-17 (3-9)
2024-02-19	Texas A&M-Commerce	H	Conference	L	72-76	8-18 (3-10)
2024-02-24	McNeese	A	Conference	L	71-87	8-19 (3-11)
2024-02-26	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	82-92	8-20 (3-12)
2024-03-02	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	80-87	8-21 (3-13)
2024-03-04	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	56-73	8-22 (3-14)
2024-03-06	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	52-71	8-23 (3-15)
2024-11-04	California Baptist	A	Non-Conference	L	78-83	0-1 (0-0)
2024-11-08	Southwestern (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	97-53	1-1 (0-0)
2024-11-12	PV A&M	H	Non-Conference	W	84-81	2-1 (0-0)
2024-11-16	AR-Pine Bluff	H	Non-Conference	W	92-64	3-1 (0-0)
2024-11-22	N Arizona	A	Non-Conference	L	74-75	3-2 (0-0)
2024-11-25	South Alabama	A	Non-Conference	L	63-84	3-3 (0-0)
2024-11-27	W Illinois	N	Non-Conference	W	86-75	4-3 (0-0)
2024-12-05	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	70-72	4-4 (0-1)
2024-12-07	Texas A&M-Commerce	H	Conference	W	65-53	5-4 (1-1)
2024-12-10	Duke	A	Non-Conference	L	46-72	5-5 (1-1)
2024-12-15	Our Lady Of The Lake	H	Non-D1	W	93-69	6-5 (1-1)
2024-12-19	Schreiner	H	Non-D1	W	101-57	7-5 (1-1)
2024-12-29	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	99-48	8-5 (1-1)
2025-01-04	SF Austin	A	Conference	W	55-49	9-5 (2-1)
2025-01-06	Lamar	A	Conference	L	58-72	9-6 (2-2)
2025-01-11	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	76-81	9-7 (2-3)
2025-01-13	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	82-88	9-8 (2-4)
2025-01-18	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	63-69	9-9 (2-5)
2025-01-20	UT Rio Grande	H	Conference	L	78-85	9-10 (2-6)
2025-01-25	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	63-86	9-11 (2-7)
2025-01-27	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	74-58	10-11 (3-7)
2025-02-01	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	74-64	11-11 (4-7)
2025-02-03	McNeese	A	Conference	L	65-67	11-12 (4-8)
2025-02-08	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	66-71	11-13 (4-9)
2025-02-10	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	75-65	12-13 (5-9)
2025-02-15	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	55-69	12-14 (5-10)
2025-02-17	UT Rio Grande	A	Conference	W	66-60	13-14 (6-10)
2025-02-22	SF Austin	H	Conference	W	63-61	14-14 (7-10)
2025-02-24	Lamar	H	Conference	W	73-61	15-14 (8-10)
2025-03-01	Texas A&M-Commerce	A	Conference	W	75-68	16-14 (9-10)
2025-03-03	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	57-73	16-15 (9-11)
2025-03-09	SE Louisiana	N	Conference Tournament	W	71-67	17-15 (9-11)
2025-03-10	Nicholls	N	Conference Tournament	L	70-74	17-16 (9-11)
2025-03-23	Manhattan	N	Purple CBI - 1st Round	W	92-85	18-16 (9-11)
2025-03-24	Jacksonville	N	Purple CBI - Quarterfinal	W	87-71	19-16 (9-11)
2025-03-25	Illinois State	N	Purple CBI - Semifinal	L	73-78	19-17 (9-11)
2025-11-03	Colorado State	A	Non-Conference	L	64-98	0-1 (0-0)
2025-11-07	Jarvis Christian	H	Non-D1	W	104-60	1-1 (0-0)
2025-11-11	Southwestern Christian	H	Non-D1	W	109-70	2-1 (0-0)
2025-11-16	Indiana	A	Non-Conference	L	61-69	2-2 (0-0)
2025-11-20	Southern Indiana	N	Non-Conference	W	87-81	3-2 (0-0)
2025-11-22	High Point	N	Non-Conference	L	80-91	3-3 (0-0)
2025-11-26	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	117-55	4-3 (0-0)
2025-12-01	McNeese	H	Conference	W	71-67	5-3 (1-0)
2025-12-06	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	67-74	5-4 (1-1)
2025-12-08	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	83-84	5-5 (1-2)
2025-12-15	TCU	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-21	Northern Arizona	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-30	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-03	Houston Christian	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-05	UT Rio Grande Valley	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-10	Lamar	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-12	Stephen F. Austin	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-17	Northwestern State	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-19	East Texas A&M	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-24	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-26	Houston Christian	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-31	UT Rio Grande Valley	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-02	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	McNeese	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-09	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-14	Nicholls	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-16	New Orleans	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-21	East Texas A&M	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-23	Northwestern State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	Lamar	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-02	Stephen F. Austin	H	Conference	-	-	-

Incarnate Word Offense

Metric	Incarnate Word	Opponent	Metric

Incarnate Word Defense

Metric	Incarnate Word	Opponent	Metric

Model Predictions

Model	Incarnate Word	Opponent	Predicted Score	Spread	Result	MAE

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Offense: Vitals

Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.498
Rank: 7 of 12 in SLC, 215 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 6 of 12 in SLC, 133 of 365 in D1

215th

Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.143
Rank: 3 of 12 in SLC, 61 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 7 of 12 in SLC, 134 of 365 in D1

61st

Off Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 31.610
Rank: 3 of 12 in SLC, 106 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 12 in SLC, 131 of 365 in D1

106th

FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.376
Rank: 6 of 12 in SLC, 145 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 12 in SLC, 52 of 365 in D1

145th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.581
Rank: 11 of 12 in SLC, 345 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 9 of 12 in SLC, 331 of 365 in D1

345th

Opp Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.148
Rank: 10 of 12 in SLC, 259 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 5 of 12 in SLC, 168 of 365 in D1

259th

Def Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 69.110
Rank: 10 of 12 in SLC, 260 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 9 of 12 in SLC, 193 of 365 in D1

260th

Opp FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.504
Rank: 12 of 12 in SLC, 354 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 12 of 12 in SLC, 362 of 365 in D1

354th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 103.91

211th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 42.1%

30th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 88.5%

24th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 47.3%

95th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 62.4%

140th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.0%

78th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 55.1%

76th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 52.5%

190th

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 37.6%

226th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 13.0%

84th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 33.3%

174th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 37.7%

44th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 37.6%

145th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 21.6%

155th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 30.3%

151st

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 72.1%

162nd

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 45.4%

326th

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 5.6%

7th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 2.7%

20th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 18.7%

321st

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 14.3%

61st

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 31.6%

106th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 68.60

294th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.19

42nd

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.50

215th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 125.86

361st

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 39.9%

303rd

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 77.9%

52nd

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 51.3%

356th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 62.6%

248th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.6%

328th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 48.8%

157th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 60.3%

348th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 37.4%

118th

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 10.3%

140th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.2%

81st

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 35.3%

262nd

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 50.4%

354th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 32.1%

364th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 40.6%

359th

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 79.5%

361st

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 56.1%

264th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.2%

262nd

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 2.1%

352nd

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 31.6%

361st

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 14.8%

259th

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 69.1%

260th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 66.26

348th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.22

356th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.58

345th