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Omaha

Model	Score	Rank
Adj EM	-9.78	253
Elo	1483.32	208
RPI	0.455	258

Updated through 2026-03-09

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend

About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record (Conf)

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record
2011-11-12	Fort Wayne	A	Non-D1	L	72-83	0-1 (0-0)
2011-11-14	Concordia College (NE)	H	Non-D1	W	100-68	1-1 (0-0)
2011-11-16	UMKC	A	Non-D1	L	74-77	1-2 (0-0)
2011-11-20	South Dakota	A	Non-D1	L	81-83	1-3 (0-0)
2011-11-22	North Dakota St	A	Non-D1	L	65-98	1-4 (0-0)
2011-11-26	Chadron State	H	Non-D1	W	81-78	2-4 (0-0)
2011-11-29	Washburn	H	Non-D1	L	63-73	2-5 (0-0)
2011-12-03	N Illinois	A	Non-D1	W	77-72	3-5 (0-0)
2011-12-04	Michigan State	A	Non-D1	L	68-110	3-6 (0-0)
2011-12-06	Benedictine College	A	Non-D1	W	75-49	4-6 (0-0)
2011-12-10	Fort Wayne	H	Non-D1	L	80-83	4-7 (0-0)
2011-12-15	Saint Mary	H	Non-D1	W	87-65	5-7 (0-0)
2011-12-17	N Kentucky	A	Non-D1	L	50-86	5-8 (0-0)
2011-12-19	Hastings College	H	Non-D1	W	82-49	6-8 (0-0)
2011-12-29	Seattle	A	Non-D1	L	72-91	6-9 (0-0)
2011-12-30	Coppin State	N	Non-D1	L	83-93	6-10 (0-0)
2012-01-07	Colorado State	A	Non-D1	L	63-87	6-11 (0-0)
2012-01-08	Johnson & Wales (CO)	A	Non-D1	W	81-68	7-11 (0-0)
2012-01-14	BRIAR CLIFF	A	Non-D1	L	69-71	7-12 (0-0)
2012-01-17	Nevada	A	Non-D1	L	69-81	7-13 (0-0)
2012-01-21	Washburn	A	Non-D1	L	56-78	7-14 (0-0)
2012-01-24	W Illinois	H	Non-D1	L	70-81	7-15 (0-0)
2012-02-01	Peru State College	H	Non-D1	W	106-71	8-15 (0-0)
2012-02-05	Doane	H	Non-D1	W	79-68	9-15 (0-0)
2012-02-12	CSU Bakersfield	H	Non-D1	L	65-75	9-16 (0-0)
2012-02-15	Nebraska Kearney	H	Non-D1	W	85-68	10-16 (0-0)
2012-02-25	CSU Bakersfield	A	Non-D1	L	63-84	10-17 (0-0)
2012-02-29	W Illinois	A	Non-D1	L	51-72	10-18 (0-0)
2012-11-09	N Illinois	H	Non-Conference	W	77-64	1-0 (0-0)
2012-11-11	Saint Mary	H	Non-D1	L	86-96	1-1 (0-0)
2012-11-14	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	63-91	1-2 (0-0)
2012-11-16	Tulane	A	Non-Conference	L	52-76	1-3 (0-0)
2012-11-18	Nebraska	A	Non-Conference	L	62-75	1-4 (0-0)
2012-11-23	Bethune-Cookman	N	Non-Conference	L	81-93	1-5 (0-0)
2012-11-24	Chicago State	N	Non-Conference	W	68-66	2-5 (0-0)
2012-11-29	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	51-95	2-6 (0-1)
2012-12-01	South Dakota St	A	Conference	L	63-78	2-7 (0-2)
2012-12-04	Wisconsin	A	Non-Conference	L	40-86	2-8 (0-2)
2012-12-09	Iowa State	A	Non-Conference	L	65-93	2-9 (0-2)
2012-12-15	Denver	A	Non-Conference	L	47-82	2-10 (0-2)
2012-12-18	Benedictine College	H	Non-D1	W	74-70	3-10 (0-2)
2012-12-22	UT Rio Grande	A	Non-Conference	L	72-80	3-11 (0-2)
2012-12-29	South Dakota	H	Conference	L	72-95	3-12 (0-3)
2012-12-31	UMKC	H	Conference	W	77-65	4-12 (1-3)
2013-01-03	Oakland	A	Conference	L	79-91	4-13 (1-4)
2013-01-05	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	L	78-96	4-14 (1-5)
2013-01-10	IUPUI	H	Conference	W	90-79	5-14 (2-5)
2013-01-12	W Illinois	H	Conference	L	74-89	5-15 (2-6)
2013-01-19	CSU Bakersfield	A	Non-Conference	L	79-84	5-16 (2-6)
2013-01-24	South Dakota	A	Conference	W	95-90	6-16 (3-6)
2013-01-26	UMKC	A	Conference	W	67-59	7-16 (4-6)
2013-01-31	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	W	86-79	8-16 (5-6)
2013-02-02	Oakland	H	Conference	L	81-96	8-17 (5-7)
2013-02-07	W Illinois	A	Conference	L	50-68	8-18 (5-8)
2013-02-09	IUPUI	A	Conference	W	85-78	9-18 (6-8)
2013-02-19	Chicago State	H	Non-Conference	W	79-75	10-18 (6-8)
2013-02-23	North Dakota	H	Non-Conference	W	83-75	11-18 (6-8)
2013-02-28	South Dakota St	H	Conference	L	82-100	11-19 (6-9)
2013-03-02	North Dakota St	H	Conference	L	57-84	11-20 (6-10)
2013-11-08	N Illinois	A	Non-Conference	W	68-66	1-0 (0-0)
2013-11-10	Iowa	A	Non-Conference	L	75-83	1-1 (0-0)
2013-11-13	UMKC	H	Non-Conference	W	101-71	2-1 (0-0)
2013-11-15	UNLV	A	Non-Conference	L	70-73	2-2 (0-0)
2013-11-19	S Carolina St	H	Non-Conference	W	91-59	3-2 (0-0)
2013-11-23	Drake	A	Non-Conference	L	80-88	3-3 (0-0)
2013-11-25	S Carolina St	A	Non-Conference	W	83-67	4-3 (0-0)
2013-11-30	Iowa Wesleyan	H	Non-D1	W	86-36	5-3 (0-0)
2013-12-03	Waldorf College	H	Non-D1	W	100-66	6-3 (0-0)
2013-12-10	CSU Bakersfield	H	Non-Conference	W	93-88	7-3 (0-0)
2013-12-14	Nevada	A	Non-Conference	W	82-80	8-3 (0-0)
2013-12-20	Minnesota	A	Non-Conference	L	79-92	8-4 (0-0)
2013-12-22	Seattle	H	Non-Conference	W	76-69	9-4 (0-0)
2013-12-28	Cent Arkansas	A	Non-Conference	W	104-88	10-4 (0-0)
2014-01-04	Hawai'i	A	Non-Conference	L	73-77	10-5 (0-0)
2014-01-11	W Illinois	A	Conference	L	72-79	10-6 (0-1)
2014-01-16	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	69-91	10-7 (0-2)
2014-01-18	South Dakota St	A	Conference	W	80-71	11-7 (1-2)
2014-01-23	Denver	H	Conference	L	60-74	11-8 (1-3)
2014-01-25	South Dakota	H	Conference	W	77-73	12-8 (2-3)
2014-01-30	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	L	82-86	12-9 (2-4)
2014-02-01	IUPUI	A	Conference	W	99-71	13-9 (3-4)
2014-02-05	Peru State College	H	Non-D1	W	86-62	14-9 (3-4)
2014-02-08	W Illinois	H	Conference	W	71-60	15-9 (4-4)
2014-02-13	South Dakota St	H	Conference	L	60-77	15-10 (4-5)
2014-02-15	North Dakota St	H	Conference	L	59-75	15-11 (4-6)
2014-02-20	South Dakota	A	Conference	L	86-87	15-12 (4-7)
2014-02-22	Denver	A	Conference	L	60-72	15-13 (4-8)
2014-02-27	IUPUI	H	Conference	W	88-66	16-13 (5-8)
2014-03-01	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	L	95-96	16-14 (5-9)
2014-03-19	North Dakota	N	CIT - 1ST ROUND	W	91-75	17-14 (5-9)
2014-03-24	Murray State	N	CIT - 2ND ROUND	L	62-86	17-15 (5-9)
2014-11-16	Cent Arkansas	H	Non-Conference	W	100-75	1-0 (0-0)
2014-11-19	Seattle	A	Non-Conference	L	74-98	1-1 (0-0)
2014-11-22	Marquette	A	Non-Conference	W	97-89	2-1 (0-0)
2014-11-25	Nebraska	A	Non-Conference	L	67-80	2-2 (0-0)
2014-11-29	Nevada	H	Non-Conference	W	78-54	3-2 (0-0)
2014-12-02	Kansas State	A	Non-Conference	L	66-84	3-3 (0-0)
2014-12-08	Air Force	A	Non-Conference	L	61-77	3-4 (0-0)
2014-12-10	Iowa Wesleyan	H	Non-D1	W	94-67	4-4 (0-0)
2014-12-13	UMKC	A	Non-Conference	L	72-79	4-5 (0-0)
2014-12-17	N Colorado	H	Non-Conference	W	92-82	5-5 (0-0)
2014-12-21	UT Rio Grande	H	Non-Conference	W	77-72	6-5 (0-0)
2014-12-29	Chicago State	A	Non-Conference	L	66-69	6-6 (0-0)
2015-01-02	South Dakota	A	Conference	W	86-77	7-6 (1-0)
2015-01-04	W Illinois	A	Conference	L	78-80	7-7 (1-1)
2015-01-08	North Dakota St	H	Conference	L	72-75	7-8 (1-2)
2015-01-10	South Dakota St	H	Conference	L	68-87	7-9 (1-3)
2015-01-14	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	L	86-102	7-10 (1-4)
2015-01-18	IUPUI	H	Conference	L	84-89	7-11 (1-5)
2015-01-24	Denver	H	Conference	W	80-69	8-11 (2-5)
2015-01-28	South Dakota St	A	Conference	L	64-86	8-12 (2-6)
2015-01-31	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	L	65-75	8-13 (2-7)
2015-02-05	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	57-64	8-14 (2-8)
2015-02-07	Denver	A	Conference	L	74-88	8-15 (2-9)
2015-02-12	South Dakota	H	Conference	L	73-74	8-16 (2-10)
2015-02-14	W Illinois	H	Conference	W	77-58	9-16 (3-10)
2015-02-19	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	L	78-81	9-17 (3-11)
2015-02-26	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	W	73-67	10-17 (4-11)
2015-02-28	IUPUI	A	Conference	W	87-80	11-17 (5-11)
2015-03-03	North Dakota	A	Non-Conference	W	80-78	12-17 (5-11)
2015-11-13	UCSB	H	Non-Conference	L	59-60	0-1 (0-0)
2015-11-15	St. Mary's (MN)	H	Non-D1	W	104-58	1-1 (0-0)
2015-11-17	UMKC	H	Non-Conference	W	95-89	2-1 (0-0)
2015-11-22	Colorado	A	Non-Conference	L	82-87	2-2 (0-0)
2015-11-25	N Colorado	A	Non-Conference	W	105-85	3-2 (0-0)
2015-11-27	Minnesota	A	Non-Conference	L	90-93	3-3 (0-0)
2015-12-01	E Michigan	H	Non-Conference	L	73-80	3-4 (0-0)
2015-12-06	Montana State	A	Non-Conference	W	100-97	4-4 (0-0)
2015-12-09	Missouri	A	Non-Conference	L	78-85	4-5 (0-0)
2015-12-13	Grand Canyon	A	Non-Conference	W	108-104	5-5 (0-0)
2015-12-16	Simpson College	H	Non-D1	W	81-71	6-5 (0-0)
2015-12-19	Wyoming	A	Non-Conference	L	75-76	6-6 (0-0)
2015-12-21	E Illinois	N	Non-Conference	W	80-68	7-6 (0-0)
2015-12-22	Southern	N	Non-Conference	W	74-53	8-6 (0-0)
2016-01-01	W Illinois	H	Conference	W	82-80	9-6 (1-0)
2016-01-03	IUPUI	H	Conference	W	76-71	10-6 (2-0)
2016-01-07	North Dakota St	A	Conference	W	91-82	11-6 (3-0)
2016-01-09	South Dakota	A	Conference	W	79-73	12-6 (4-0)
2016-01-16	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	L	101-106	12-7 (4-1)
2016-01-21	Denver	A	Conference	W	69-55	13-7 (5-1)
2016-01-23	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	W	85-79	14-7 (6-1)
2016-01-28	South Dakota St	A	Conference	L	76-87	14-8 (6-2)
2016-01-30	South Dakota	H	Conference	W	96-83	15-8 (7-2)
2016-02-03	W Illinois	A	Conference	L	76-83	15-9 (7-3)
2016-02-06	Denver	H	Conference	L	72-75	15-10 (7-4)
2016-02-10	South Dakota St	H	Conference	W	96-92	16-10 (8-4)
2016-02-13	North Dakota St	H	Conference	W	76-69	17-10 (9-4)
2016-02-17	IUPUI	A	Conference	L	76-88	17-11 (9-5)
2016-02-20	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	L	90-94	17-12 (9-6)
2016-02-25	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	W	102-98	18-12 (10-6)
2016-03-06	Denver	N	Conference Tournament	L	70-78	18-13 (10-6)
2016-03-16	Duquesne	N	CBI TOURNAMENT - 1ST ROUND	L	112-120	18-14 (10-6)
2016-11-12	UCSB	A	Non-Conference	W	74-60	1-0 (0-0)
2016-11-13	USC	A	Non-Conference	L	72-82	1-1 (0-0)
2016-11-15	Kansas State	A	Non-Conference	L	68-81	1-2 (0-0)
2016-11-19	Rice	H	Non-Conference	L	87-100	1-3 (0-0)
2016-11-22	Buena Vista	H	Non-D1	W	112-65	2-3 (0-0)
2016-11-26	E Michigan	A	Non-Conference	L	77-94	2-4 (0-0)
2016-11-30	CSU Fullerton	A	Non-Conference	W	83-73	3-4 (0-0)
2016-12-03	Iowa	A	Non-Conference	W	98-89	4-4 (0-0)
2016-12-05	Iowa State	A	Non-Conference	L	47-91	4-5 (0-0)
2016-12-10	Montana State	H	Non-Conference	W	97-91	5-5 (0-0)
2016-12-15	UMKC	A	Non-Conference	W	80-75	6-5 (0-0)
2016-12-18	CSU Fullerton	H	Non-Conference	W	102-96	7-5 (0-0)
2016-12-21	Pitt	A	Non-Conference	L	75-94	7-6 (0-0)
2016-12-29	South Dakota	A	Conference	L	69-86	7-7 (0-1)
2016-12-31	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	70-82	7-8 (0-2)
2017-01-04	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	L	78-80	7-9 (0-3)
2017-01-07	South Dakota St	A	Conference	W	101-93	8-9 (1-3)
2017-01-11	IUPUI	A	Conference	W	79-71	9-9 (2-3)
2017-01-14	W Illinois	H	Conference	W	86-72	10-9 (3-3)
2017-01-18	Denver	H	Conference	W	97-88	11-9 (4-3)
2017-01-21	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	L	86-103	11-10 (4-4)
2017-01-28	South Dakota St	H	Conference	L	84-88	11-11 (4-5)
2017-02-01	South Dakota	H	Conference	W	91-83	12-11 (5-5)
2017-02-04	W Illinois	A	Conference	W	79-67	13-11 (6-5)
2017-02-08	IUPUI	H	Conference	L	78-89	13-12 (6-6)
2017-02-11	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	L	101-108	13-13 (6-7)
2017-02-16	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	W	83-76	14-13 (7-7)
2017-02-22	Denver	A	Conference	W	84-83	15-13 (8-7)
2017-02-25	North Dakota St	H	Conference	W	96-92	16-13 (9-7)
2017-03-05	Fort Wayne	N	Conference Tournament	W	84-80	17-13 (9-7)
2017-03-06	IUPUI	N	Conference Tournament	W	90-62	18-13 (9-7)
2017-03-07	South Dakota St	N	Conference Tournament	L	77-79	18-14 (9-7)
2017-11-10	Montana State	A	Non-Conference	L	80-89	0-1 (0-0)
2017-11-12	Oklahoma	A	Non-Conference	L	89-108	0-2 (0-0)
2017-11-14	New Mexico	A	Non-Conference	L	71-103	0-3 (0-0)
2017-11-17	Louisville	A	Non-Conference	L	78-87	0-4 (0-0)
2017-11-20	TCU	A	Non-Conference	L	66-99	0-5 (0-0)
2017-11-24	Tenn Tech	N	Non-Conference	L	85-86	0-6 (0-0)
2017-11-25	Jackson State	N	Non-Conference	L	73-75	0-7 (0-0)
2017-11-29	Drake	H	Non-Conference	W	75-73	1-7 (0-0)
2017-12-03	Washington	A	Non-Conference	L	73-86	1-8 (0-0)
2017-12-05	UCSB	A	Non-Conference	L	70-77	1-9 (0-0)
2017-12-09	Drake	A	Non-Conference	L	74-93	1-10 (0-0)
2017-12-13	Arkansas State	H	Non-Conference	W	77-74	2-10 (0-0)
2017-12-17	Cornell College	H	Non-D1	W	99-58	3-10 (0-0)
2017-12-18	Kansas	A	Non-Conference	L	64-109	3-11 (0-0)
2017-12-21	Montana State	H	Non-Conference	W	84-71	4-11 (0-0)
2017-12-30	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	L	74-93	4-12 (0-1)
2018-01-02	Doane	H	Non-D1	W	100-60	5-12 (0-1)
2018-01-06	South Dakota St	H	Conference	L	88-101	5-13 (0-2)
2018-01-11	W Illinois	A	Conference	W	87-66	6-13 (1-2)
2018-01-13	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	L	78-82	6-14 (1-3)
2018-01-18	Denver	H	Conference	W	86-80	7-14 (2-3)
2018-01-20	South Dakota	H	Conference	L	71-85	7-15 (2-4)
2018-01-25	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	58-73	7-16 (2-5)
2018-01-30	South Dakota St	A	Conference	L	60-80	7-17 (2-6)
2018-02-08	W Illinois	H	Conference	W	71-68	8-17 (3-6)
2018-02-10	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	W	90-85	9-17 (4-6)
2018-02-14	Denver	A	Conference	L	78-94	9-18 (4-7)
2018-02-17	South Dakota	A	Conference	L	64-79	9-19 (4-8)
2018-02-22	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	L	75-83	9-20 (4-9)
2018-02-24	North Dakota St	H	Conference	L	62-84	9-21 (4-10)
2018-03-03	South Dakota	N	Conference Tournament	L	73-87	9-22 (4-10)
2018-11-06	Minnesota	A	Non-Conference	L	76-104	0-1 (0-0)
2018-11-09	Buena Vista	H	Non-D1	W	94-58	1-1 (0-0)
2018-11-14	N Arizona	H	Non-Conference	L	66-76	1-2 (0-0)
2018-11-16	Colorado	A	Non-Conference	L	75-79	1-3 (0-0)
2018-11-20	Bethune-Cookman	A	Non-Conference	W	76-56	2-3 (0-0)
2018-11-24	Montana State	H	Non-Conference	W	89-65	3-3 (0-0)
2018-11-26	Iowa State	A	Non-Conference	L	55-82	3-4 (0-0)
2018-11-28	Arizona State	A	Non-Conference	L	71-89	3-5 (0-0)
2018-12-06	Seattle	A	Non-Conference	L	71-90	3-6 (0-0)
2018-12-08	Oregon	A	Non-Conference	L	61-84	3-7 (0-0)
2018-12-15	Idaho	A	Non-Conference	W	89-80	4-7 (0-0)
2018-12-19	UCSB	H	Non-Conference	W	85-74	5-7 (0-0)
2018-12-21	Rice	A	Non-Conference	W	83-66	6-7 (0-0)
2018-12-28	Denver	H	Conference	W	91-84	7-7 (1-0)
2018-12-30	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	L	84-87	7-8 (1-1)
2019-01-02	North Dakota St	H	Conference	W	90-77	8-8 (2-1)
2019-01-10	North Dakota	A	Conference	W	92-91	9-8 (3-1)
2019-01-17	W Illinois	A	Conference	W	80-71	10-8 (4-1)
2019-01-20	South Dakota	H	Conference	W	75-68	11-8 (5-1)
2019-01-24	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	W	85-79	12-8 (6-1)
2019-01-26	South Dakota St	A	Conference	L	73-83	12-9 (6-2)
2019-02-03	North Dakota	H	Conference	W	90-72	13-9 (7-2)
2019-02-07	South Dakota	N	Conference	W	107-102	14-9 (8-2)
2019-02-14	South Dakota St	H	Conference	W	85-84	15-9 (9-2)
2019-02-16	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	W	74-71	16-9 (10-2)
2019-02-20	W Illinois	H	Conference	W	77-63	17-9 (11-2)
2019-02-23	North Dakota St	A	Conference	W	58-50	18-9 (12-2)
2019-02-28	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	L	80-84	18-10 (12-3)
2019-03-02	Denver	A	Conference	W	86-76	19-10 (13-3)
2019-03-09	North Dakota	N	Conference Tournament	W	81-76	20-10 (13-3)
2019-03-11	Fort Wayne	N	Conference Tournament	W	61-60	21-10 (13-3)
2019-03-12	North Dakota St	N	Conference Tournament	L	63-73	21-11 (13-3)
2019-11-05	Wichita State	A	Non-Conference	L	54-68	0-1 (0-0)
2019-11-11	Bethune-Cookman	H	Non-Conference	W	90-61	1-1 (0-0)
2019-11-13	Colorado State	A	Non-Conference	L	65-80	1-2 (0-0)
2019-11-19	Dayton	A	Non-Conference	L	68-93	1-3 (0-0)
2019-11-21	Washington St	A	Non-Conference	W	85-77	2-3 (0-0)
2019-11-25	Southern	H	Non-Conference	W	78-51	3-3 (0-0)
2019-11-26	Loyola (MD)	H	Non-Conference	W	70-65	4-3 (0-0)
2019-12-01	Saint Mary's	A	Non-Conference	L	66-75	4-4 (0-0)
2019-12-03	Arkansas State	A	Non-Conference	L	73-78	4-5 (0-0)
2019-12-08	N Arizona	N	Non-Conference	L	65-73	4-6 (0-0)
2019-12-11	Arizona	A	Non-Conference	L	49-99	4-7 (0-0)
2019-12-15	UT Rio Grande	H	Non-Conference	W	92-82	5-7 (0-0)
2019-12-17	E Washington	A	Non-Conference	L	56-97	5-8 (0-0)
2019-12-21	Montana	H	Non-Conference	W	87-82	6-8 (0-0)
2019-12-29	South Dakota St	H	Conference	W	81-78	7-8 (1-0)
2020-01-04	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	W	74-67	8-8 (2-0)
2020-01-08	North Dakota	A	Conference	W	66-62	9-8 (3-0)
2020-01-11	South Dakota	A	Conference	L	81-91	9-9 (3-1)
2020-01-18	Denver	A	Conference	L	76-91	9-10 (3-2)
2020-01-23	W Illinois	H	Conference	W	87-82	10-10 (4-2)
2020-01-25	Fort Wayne	H	Conference	W	75-71	11-10 (5-2)
2020-02-02	South Dakota	H	Conference	L	80-81	11-11 (5-3)
2020-02-05	North Dakota St	H	Conference	L	78-86	11-12 (5-4)
2020-02-08	South Dakota St	A	Conference	L	64-81	11-13 (5-5)
2020-02-12	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	L	78-81	11-14 (5-6)
2020-02-16	Denver	H	Conference	W	85-62	12-14 (6-6)
2020-02-20	Fort Wayne	A	Conference	W	61-59	13-14 (7-6)
2020-02-22	W Illinois	A	Conference	W	93-86	14-14 (8-6)
2020-02-26	North Dakota	H	Conference	W	84-83	15-14 (9-6)
2020-02-29	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	67-87	15-15 (9-7)
2020-03-08	Oral Roberts	N	Conference Tournament	L	52-79	15-16 (9-7)
2020-11-25	Austin Peay	N	Non-Conference	L	66-72	0-1 (0-0)
2020-11-26	Mid Tennessee	N	Non-Conference	W	60-59	1-1 (0-0)
2020-11-28	Abil Christian	N	Non-Conference	L	58-70	1-2 (0-0)
2020-12-01	Creighton	A	Non-Conference	L	67-94	1-3 (0-0)
2020-12-03	Drake	A	Non-Conference	L	66-87	1-4 (0-0)
2020-12-05	SIUE	A	Non-Conference	W	65-63	2-4 (0-0)
2020-12-11	Kansas	A	Non-Conference	L	50-95	2-5 (0-0)
2020-12-16	Colorado	A	Non-Conference	L	49-91	2-6 (0-0)
2020-12-17	Wyoming	A	Non-Conference	L	78-82	2-7 (0-0)
2020-12-29	Kansas State	A	Non-Conference	L	58-60	2-8 (0-0)
2021-01-02	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	L	83-95	2-9 (0-1)
2021-01-03	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	L	75-86	2-10 (0-2)
2021-01-08	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	69-71	2-11 (0-3)
2021-01-09	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	66-80	2-12 (0-4)
2021-01-29	South Dakota	A	Conference	L	59-91	2-13 (0-5)
2021-01-30	South Dakota	A	Conference	L	93-97	2-14 (0-6)
2021-02-05	W Illinois	H	Conference	L	77-85	2-15 (0-7)
2021-02-06	W Illinois	H	Conference	L	73-75	2-16 (0-8)
2021-02-12	UM Kansas City	A	Conference	L	52-62	2-17 (0-9)
2021-02-13	UM Kansas City	A	Conference	L	47-55	2-18 (0-10)
2021-02-19	North Dakota	H	Conference	W	72-62	3-18 (1-10)
2021-02-20	North Dakota	H	Conference	L	69-81	3-19 (1-11)
2021-02-26	Denver	A	Conference	W	80-76	4-19 (2-11)
2021-02-27	Denver	A	Conference	W	80-76	5-19 (3-11)
2021-03-06	South Dakota St	N	Conference Tournament	L	71-84	5-20 (3-11)
2021-11-09	Hastings College	H	Non-D1	W	67-57	1-0 (0-0)
2021-11-13	Ball State	A	Non-Conference	L	69-73	1-1 (0-0)
2021-11-17	Kansas State	A	Non-Conference	L	64-79	1-2 (0-0)
2021-11-20	Montana	A	Non-Conference	L	47-68	1-3 (0-0)
2021-11-23	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	40-96	1-4 (0-0)
2021-11-26	Purdue	A	Non-Conference	L	40-97	1-5 (0-0)
2021-11-30	SIUE	H	Non-Conference	L	65-75	1-6 (0-0)
2021-12-04	E Washington	H	Non-Conference	L	81-92	1-7 (0-0)
2021-12-08	Drake	H	Non-Conference	L	70-78	1-8 (0-0)
2021-12-11	Texas A&M-CC	H	Non-Conference	L	73-87	1-9 (0-0)
2021-12-15	UNLV	A	Non-Conference	L	71-84	1-10 (0-0)
2021-12-20	St. Thomas - Minnesota	H	Conference	L	73-80	1-11 (0-1)
2021-12-22	W Illinois	H	Conference	W	84-78	2-11 (1-1)
2022-01-01	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	L	62-107	2-12 (1-2)
2022-01-06	North Dakota	H	Conference	W	98-82	3-12 (2-2)
2022-01-08	North Dakota St	H	Conference	L	67-71	3-13 (2-3)
2022-01-10	UM Kansas City	A	Conference	L	61-64	3-14 (2-4)
2022-01-13	South Dakota St	H	Conference	L	86-95	3-15 (2-5)
2022-01-15	South Dakota	A	Conference	L	70-105	3-16 (2-6)
2022-01-22	Denver	A	Conference	L	63-94	3-17 (2-7)
2022-01-27	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	L	88-100	3-18 (2-8)
2022-01-29	UM Kansas City	H	Conference	W	69-68	4-18 (3-8)
2022-02-03	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	64-71	4-19 (3-9)
2022-02-05	North Dakota	A	Conference	L	85-92	4-20 (3-10)
2022-02-10	South Dakota	H	Conference	L	69-91	4-21 (3-11)
2022-02-12	South Dakota St	A	Conference	L	61-82	4-22 (3-12)
2022-02-17	Denver	H	Conference	W	72-69	5-22 (4-12)
2022-02-24	W Illinois	A	Conference	L	76-88	5-23 (4-13)
2022-02-26	St. Thomas - Minnesota	A	Conference	L	74-95	5-24 (4-14)
2022-03-05	South Dakota St	N	Conference Tournament	L	79-87	5-25 (4-14)
2022-11-07	Kansas	A	Non-Conference	L	64-89	0-1 (0-0)
2022-11-10	Nebraska	A	Non-Conference	L	61-75	0-2 (0-0)
2022-11-13	Idaho	H	Non-Conference	W	79-72	1-2 (0-0)
2022-11-16	Ball State	H	Non-Conference	L	61-71	1-3 (0-0)
2022-11-21	Iowa	A	Non-Conference	L	64-100	1-4 (0-0)
2022-11-25	UL Monroe	N	Non-Conference	W	63-56	2-4 (0-0)
2022-11-26	Southern	N	Non-Conference	W	88-78	3-4 (0-0)
2022-11-28	Miss St	A	Non-Conference	L	54-74	3-5 (0-0)
2022-12-03	North Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	45-75	3-6 (0-0)
2022-12-07	Drake	A	Non-Conference	L	65-78	3-7 (0-0)
2022-12-10	Montana State	A	Non-Conference	L	54-82	3-8 (0-0)
2022-12-13	Midland University	H	Non-D1	W	104-72	4-8 (0-0)
2022-12-19	Denver	H	Conference	W	83-66	5-8 (1-0)
2022-12-29	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	L	89-92	5-9 (1-1)
2022-12-31	UM Kansas City	H	Conference	L	59-75	5-10 (1-2)
2023-01-05	W Illinois	A	Conference	W	78-74	6-10 (2-2)
2023-01-07	St. Thomas - Minnesota	A	Conference	L	68-80	6-11 (2-3)
2023-01-12	North Dakota	H	Conference	W	69-63	7-11 (3-3)
2023-01-14	North Dakota St	H	Conference	L	65-78	7-12 (3-4)
2023-01-19	South Dakota St	A	Conference	L	61-84	7-13 (3-5)
2023-01-21	South Dakota	A	Conference	L	68-84	7-14 (3-6)
2023-01-26	UM Kansas City	A	Conference	L	61-64	7-15 (3-7)
2023-01-28	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	L	64-73	7-16 (3-8)
2023-02-02	St. Thomas - Minnesota	H	Conference	L	83-89	7-17 (3-9)
2023-02-04	W Illinois	H	Conference	L	72-75	7-18 (3-10)
2023-02-09	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	58-84	7-19 (3-11)
2023-02-11	North Dakota	A	Conference	L	73-76	7-20 (3-12)
2023-02-16	South Dakota	H	Conference	W	80-72	8-20 (4-12)
2023-02-18	South Dakota St	H	Conference	L	70-91	8-21 (4-13)
2023-02-25	Denver	A	Conference	L	61-72	8-22 (4-14)
2023-03-03	UM Kansas City	N	Conference Tournament	W	73-61	9-22 (4-14)
2023-03-04	South Dakota St	N	Conference Tournament	L	55-63	9-23 (4-14)
2023-11-06	Doane	H	Non-D1	W	85-53	1-0 (0-0)
2023-11-09	TCU	A	Non-Conference	L	60-82	1-1 (0-0)
2023-11-11	North Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	64-75	1-2 (0-0)
2023-11-16	William & Mary	N	Non-Conference	W	89-83	2-2 (0-0)
2023-11-17	Lindenwood	N	Non-Conference	L	70-72	2-3 (0-0)
2023-11-19	Air Force	A	Non-Conference	L	56-58	2-4 (0-0)
2023-11-22	Mid-America Christian	H	Non-D1	W	76-59	3-4 (0-0)
2023-11-30	Bellevue University	H	Non-D1	W	78-59	4-4 (0-0)
2023-12-06	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	58-87	4-5 (0-0)
2023-12-09	Texas A&M-CC	A	Non-Conference	L	58-62	4-6 (0-0)
2023-12-17	Stetson	H	Non-Conference	W	88-80	5-6 (0-0)
2023-12-21	Cal Poly	A	Non-Conference	L	53-66	5-7 (0-0)
2023-12-29	Denver	H	Conference	L	80-95	5-8 (0-1)
2023-12-31	South Dakota	A	Conference	W	67-51	6-8 (1-1)
2024-01-03	N Arizona	H	Non-Conference	W	81-55	7-8 (1-1)
2024-01-06	Idaho State	A	Non-Conference	L	62-63	7-9 (1-1)
2024-01-11	North Dakota	H	Conference	W	79-61	8-9 (2-1)
2024-01-13	North Dakota St	H	Conference	W	96-92	9-9 (3-1)
2024-01-18	South Dakota St	A	Conference	L	87-90	9-10 (3-2)
2024-01-20	UM Kansas City	H	Conference	L	72-74	9-11 (3-3)
2024-01-25	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	L	67-74	9-12 (3-4)
2024-01-27	Denver	A	Conference	W	91-72	10-12 (4-4)
2024-02-01	St. Thomas - Minnesota	H	Conference	W	69-65	11-12 (5-4)
2024-02-08	North Dakota	A	Conference	L	78-99	11-13 (5-5)
2024-02-10	North Dakota St	A	Conference	L	79-81	11-14 (5-6)
2024-02-15	South Dakota	H	Conference	W	91-84	12-14 (6-6)
2024-02-17	South Dakota St	H	Conference	L	77-85	12-15 (6-7)
2024-02-22	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	W	71-70	13-15 (7-7)
2024-02-24	UM Kansas City	A	Conference	L	58-63	13-16 (7-8)
2024-02-29	St. Thomas - Minnesota	A	Conference	L	61-88	13-17 (7-9)
2024-03-10	North Dakota	N	Conference Tournament	W	73-72	14-17 (7-9)
2024-03-11	Denver	N	Conference Tournament	L	63-66	14-18 (7-9)
2024-11-04	Mid-America Christian	H	Non-D1	W	85-69	1-0 (0-0)
2024-11-07	Stetson	A	Non-Conference	W	79-76	2-0 (0-0)
2024-11-09	Minnesota	A	Non-Conference	L	64-68	2-1 (0-0)
2024-11-14	UNLV	A	Non-Conference	L	69-80	2-2 (0-0)
2024-11-16	Southern Utah	A	Non-Conference	L	73-79	2-3 (0-0)
2024-11-22	Alabama State	N	Non-Conference	L	67-85	2-4 (0-0)
2024-11-23	Akron	A	Non-Conference	L	84-92	2-5 (0-0)
2024-11-24	Lamar	N	Non-Conference	W	65-59	3-5 (0-0)
2024-11-30	Abil Christian	H	Non-Conference	L	55-71	3-6 (0-0)
2024-12-04	Montana State	H	Non-Conference	L	65-76	3-7 (0-0)
2024-12-07	Sacramento St	A	Non-Conference	W	70-60	4-7 (0-0)
2024-12-13	Northern Iowa	A	Non-Conference	L	58-78	4-8 (0-0)
2024-12-15	Iowa State	A	Non-Conference	L	51-83	4-9 (0-0)
2024-12-21	Cal Poly	H	Non-Conference	W	86-82	5-9 (0-0)
2024-12-28	Mount Marty College	H	Non-D1	W	81-51	6-9 (0-0)
2025-01-02	North Dakota	A	Conference	W	95-85	7-9 (1-0)
2025-01-04	North Dakota St	A	Conference	W	85-80	8-9 (2-0)
2025-01-08	UM Kansas City	H	Conference	W	77-58	9-9 (3-0)
2025-01-11	South Dakota St	H	Conference	W	87-80	10-9 (4-0)
2025-01-15	Denver	A	Conference	W	80-62	11-9 (5-0)
2025-01-23	St. Thomas - Minnesota	H	Conference	W	89-78	12-9 (6-0)
2025-01-25	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	W	84-76	13-9 (7-0)
2025-01-29	South Dakota	A	Conference	L	87-91	13-10 (7-1)
2025-02-01	Denver	H	Conference	W	78-69	14-10 (8-1)
2025-02-06	North Dakota	H	Conference	W	80-77	15-10 (9-1)
2025-02-08	North Dakota St	H	Conference	W	85-74	16-10 (10-1)
2025-02-13	South Dakota St	A	Conference	L	85-98	16-11 (10-2)
2025-02-15	St. Thomas - Minnesota	A	Conference	L	84-95	16-12 (10-3)
2025-02-19	UM Kansas City	A	Conference	W	78-66	17-12 (11-3)
2025-02-22	South Dakota	H	Conference	W	93-85	18-12 (12-3)
2025-03-01	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	W	80-57	19-12 (13-3)
2025-03-06	UM Kansas City	N	Conference Tournament	W	70-61	20-12 (13-3)
2025-03-08	South Dakota	N	Conference Tournament	W	100-75	21-12 (13-3)
2025-03-09	St. Thomas - Minnesota	N	Conference Tournament	W	85-75	22-12 (13-3)
2025-03-20	St John's	N	MEN'S BASKETBALL CHAMPIONSHIP - WEST REGION - 1ST ROUND	L	53-83	22-13 (13-3)
2025-11-03	Murray State	N	Non-Conference	L	77-85	0-1 (0-0)
2025-11-06	Abil Christian	A	Non-Conference	L	71-73	0-2 (0-0)
2025-11-09	Colorado State	A	Non-Conference	L	74-97	0-3 (0-0)
2025-11-15	Southern Utah	H	Non-Conference	W	90-85	1-3 (0-0)
2025-11-19	Concordia-Nebraska	H	Non-D1	W	96-80	2-3 (0-0)
2025-11-21	LSU	A	Non-Conference	L	73-99	2-4 (0-0)
2025-11-25	James Madison	N	Non-Conference	L	77-88	2-5 (0-0)
2025-11-26	FIU	A	Non-Conference	L	61-74	2-6 (0-0)
2025-12-03	Northern Colorado	H	Non-Conference	L	70-75	2-7 (0-0)
2025-12-06	Portland State	A	Non-Conference	W	60-55	3-7 (0-0)
2025-12-20	Lamar	A	Non-Conference	W	85-82	4-7 (0-0)
2025-12-28	Oregon	A	Non-Conference	L	57-80	4-8 (0-0)
2026-01-01	South Dakota State	A	Conference	L	69-84	4-9 (0-1)
2026-01-03	UM Kansas City	H	Conference	L	66-73	4-10 (0-2)
2026-01-08	North Dakota	H	Conference	W	90-79	5-10 (1-2)
2026-01-10	North Dakota State	H	Conference	L	76-78	5-11 (1-3)
2026-01-17	Oral Roberts	A	Conference	W	73-62	6-11 (2-3)
2026-01-21	South Dakota	H	Conference	L	64-68	6-12 (2-4)
2026-01-24	UM Kansas City	A	Conference	W	77-60	7-12 (3-4)
2026-01-28	South Dakota State	H	Conference	W	80-71	8-12 (4-4)
2026-01-31	Denver	A	Conference	W	84-82	9-12 (5-4)
2026-02-05	North Dakota	A	Conference	L	73-76	9-13 (5-5)
2026-02-07	North Dakota State	A	Conference	L	84-92	9-14 (5-6)
2026-02-12	St. Thomas-Minnesota	H	Conference	W	98-94	10-14 (6-6)
2026-02-15	Denver	H	Conference	W	83-76	11-14 (7-6)
2026-02-18	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	W	80-71	12-14 (8-6)
2026-02-25	South Dakota	A	Conference	L	72-89	12-15 (8-7)
2026-02-28	St. Thomas-Minnesota	A	Conference	L	53-68	12-16 (8-8)
2026-03-06	South Dakota	N	Conference Tournament	W	76-62	13-16 (8-8)
2026-03-07	North Dakota State	N	Conference Tournament	L	50-74	13-17 (8-8)

Omaha Offense

Metric	Omaha	Opponent	Metric

Omaha Defense

Metric	Omaha	Opponent	Metric

Model Predictions

Model	Omaha	Opponent	Predicted Score	Spread	Result	MAE

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Offense: Vitals

Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.524
Rank: 4 of 9 in SUM, 142 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 9 of 9 in SUM, 358 of 365 in D1

142nd

Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.150
Rank: 5 of 9 in SUM, 138 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 4 of 9 in SUM, 128 of 365 in D1

138th

Off Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 22.370
Rank: 8 of 9 in SUM, 338 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 6 of 9 in SUM, 317 of 365 in D1

338th

FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.352
Rank: 5 of 9 in SUM, 201 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 7 of 9 in SUM, 260 of 365 in D1

201st

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.528
Rank: 4 of 9 in SUM, 247 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 6 of 9 in SUM, 110 of 365 in D1

247th

Opp Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.133
Rank: 8 of 9 in SUM, 329 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 6 of 9 in SUM, 253 of 365 in D1

329th

Def Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 73.540
Rank: 4 of 9 in SUM, 106 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 7 of 9 in SUM, 171 of 365 in D1

106th

Opp FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.341
Rank: 5 of 9 in SUM, 136 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 9 in SUM, 129 of 365 in D1

136th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 106.78

248th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 37.2%

214th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 81.7%

280th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 45.7%

159th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 58.9%

221st

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.6%

226th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 47.9%

245th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 53.7%

139th

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 41.1%

145th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 11.6%

156th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 33.7%

164th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 34.7%

150th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 35.2%

201st

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 20.4%

211th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 27.6%

232nd

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 73.6%

132nd

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 47.2%

310th

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.5%

130th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.9%

253rd

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 24.0%

182nd

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 15.0%

138th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 22.4%

338th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 70.13

175th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.06

214th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.52

142nd

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 116.56

244th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 38.5%

254th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 85.2%

272nd

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 45.2%

208th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 54.1%

23rd

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.7%

155th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 46.3%

53rd

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 56.2%

327th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 45.9%

343rd

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 12.8%

314th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 38.9%

348th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 32.5%

97th

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 34.1%

136th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 20.6%

150th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.5%

150th

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 71.6%

156th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 52.0%

179th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.0%

288th

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.2%

224th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 24.7%

151st

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 13.3%

329th

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 73.5%

106th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 70.31

158th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.10

274th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.53

247th