Big East Update: Week 14

February 9, 2026 0 By Neill White

The Big East enters Week 14 with teams showing diverse trending patterns. This analysis examines each team’s performance trends using MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators to identify not just where teams stand, but where they’re headed.

Figure 1: Efficiency margin trends for Big East teams throughout the season. Teams trending upward show improving performance, while downward trends indicate struggles.

Conference Snapshot

Week Dates: February 02 – February 08, 2026
Trending Up (Efficiency): Georgetown, Marquette, Providence, Seton Hall, St John’s
Trending Down (Efficiency): Butler, Creighton, DePaul, Xavier

Team-by-Team Analysis

Butler

Record: 13-11 | Elo: 1516.1 (ranked 162 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +12.49 (ranked 68 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Shooting (Shooting): Currently ranked 160 of 365 in D1. Trending down strongly 🔴.
Turnovers (Turnovers): Currently ranked 139 of 365 in D1. Trending up weakly 🔴.

Defensive Trends:

Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 168 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🔴.
Opp Turnovers (Opp Turnovers): Currently ranked 277 of 365 in D1. Trending up moderately 🟢.

Creighton

Record: 13-11 | Elo: 1616.3 (ranked 61 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +12.65 (ranked 66 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Turnovers (Turnovers): Currently ranked 120 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🔴.
Shooting (Shooting): Currently ranked 79 of 365 in D1. Trending down moderately 🔴.

Defensive Trends:

Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 159 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🔴.
Def Reb Pct (Defensive Rebounding): Currently ranked 229 of 365 in D1. Trending down strongly 🔴.

DePaul

Record: 12-12 | Elo: 1457.7 (ranked 241 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +10.40 (ranked 78 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Shooting (Shooting): Currently ranked 214 of 365 in D1. Trending down strongly 🔴.
Off Reb Pct (Offensive Rebounding): Currently ranked 196 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🟢.

Defensive Trends:

Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 79 of 365 in D1. Trending up moderately 🔴.
Def Reb Pct (Defensive Rebounding): Currently ranked 176 of 365 in D1. Trending down moderately 🔴.

Georgetown

Record: 13-11 | Elo: 1512.3 (ranked 166 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +13.54 (ranked 61 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Turnovers (Turnovers): Currently ranked 43 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🔴.
Off Reb Pct (Offensive Rebounding): Currently ranked 93 of 365 in D1. Trending up moderately 🟢.

Defensive Trends:

Opp Turnovers (Opp Turnovers): Currently ranked 230 of 365 in D1. Trending down moderately 🔴.
Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 83 of 365 in D1. Trending down weakly 🟢.

Marquette

Record: 9-15 | Elo: 1550.4 (ranked 117 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +7.94 (ranked 95 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Shooting (Shooting): Currently ranked 241 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🟢.
Turnovers (Turnovers): Currently ranked 123 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🔴.

Defensive Trends:

Def Reb Pct (Defensive Rebounding): Currently ranked 295 of 365 in D1. Trending down strongly 🔴.
Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 200 of 365 in D1. Trending down moderately 🟢.

Providence

Record: 11-13 | Elo: 1492.0 (ranked 194 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +16.70 (ranked 44 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Shooting (Shooting): Currently ranked 44 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🟢.
Off Reb Pct (Offensive Rebounding): Currently ranked 128 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🟢.

Defensive Trends:

Opp Turnovers (Opp Turnovers): Currently ranked 345 of 365 in D1. Trending down strongly 🔴.
Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 210 of 365 in D1. Trending up weakly 🔴.

Seton Hall

Record: 15-8 | Elo: 1543.1 (ranked 128 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +18.83 (ranked 40 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Shooting (Shooting): Currently ranked 314 of 365 in D1. Trending up weakly 🟢.
Turnovers (Turnovers): Currently ranked 135 of 365 in D1. Trending up weakly 🔴.

Defensive Trends:

Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 25 of 365 in D1. Trending up moderately 🔴.
Opp Turnovers (Opp Turnovers): Currently ranked 14 of 365 in D1. Trending up weakly 🟢.

St John’s

Record: 18-5 | Elo: 1735.2 (ranked 11 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +29.53 (ranked 16 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Turnovers (Turnovers): Currently ranked 73 of 365 in D1. Trending down strongly 🟢.
Off Reb Pct (Offensive Rebounding): Currently ranked 23 of 365 in D1. Trending down moderately 🔴.

Defensive Trends:

Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 69 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🔴.
Opp Turnovers (Opp Turnovers): Currently ranked 44 of 365 in D1. Trending down moderately 🔴.

UConn

Record: 22-2 | Elo: 1779.6 (ranked 4 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +33.10 (ranked 8 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Shooting (Shooting): Currently ranked 33 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🟢.
Turnovers (Turnovers): Currently ranked 127 of 365 in D1. Trending up moderately 🔴.

Defensive Trends:

Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 4 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🔴.
Def Reb Pct (Defensive Rebounding): Currently ranked 96 of 365 in D1. Trending down moderately 🔴.

Villanova

Record: 18-5 | Elo: 1653.4 (ranked 45 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +24.64 (ranked 26 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Shooting (Shooting): Currently ranked 55 of 365 in D1. Trending up weakly 🟢.
Turnovers (Turnovers): Currently ranked 45 of 365 in D1. Trending down weakly 🟢.

Defensive Trends:

Def Reb Pct (Defensive Rebounding): Currently ranked 236 of 365 in D1. Trending down strongly 🔴.
Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 138 of 365 in D1. Trending down moderately 🟢.

Xavier

Record: 12-11 | Elo: 1564.5 (ranked 97 of 365) | Efficiency Margin: +7.26 (ranked 100 of 365)

Offensive Trends:

Turnovers (Turnovers): Currently ranked 46 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🔴.
Off Reb Pct (Offensive Rebounding): Currently ranked 315 of 365 in D1. Trending down moderately 🔴.

Defensive Trends:

Opp Shooting (Opp Shooting): Currently ranked 271 of 365 in D1. Trending up strongly 🔴.
Opp Turnovers (Opp Turnovers): Currently ranked 181 of 365 in D1. Trending down strongly 🔴.

Figure 2: Offensive Four Factors comparison across Big East teams. The radar chart shows each team’s shooting efficiency (eFG%), ball security (TOV%), offensive rebounding (OREB%), and free throw generation (FT Rate).

Figure 3: Defensive Four Factors comparison across Big East teams. The radar chart shows each team’s opponent shooting defense (Opp eFG%), ball disruption (forcing TOV%), defensive rebounding (DREB%), and opponent free throw prevention (Opp FT Rate).

Figure 4: MACD trends heatmap showing which metrics are improving (green) or declining (red) for each team. Stronger colors indicate more pronounced trends.

Looking Ahead

As Big East teams continue their season, the MACD trending indicators will help identify which teams are genuinely improving versus those riding unsustainable momentum. Check back next week for updated analysis.

Metrics Glossary

Four Factors (Dean Oliver’s framework for basketball success):

eFG% (Effective Field Goal %): Field goal percentage adjusted for 3-pointers being worth more (FGM + 0.5×3PM) / FGA. Higher is better offensively, lower is better defensively.
TOV% (Turnover Rate): Turnovers per 100 possessions. Lower is better offensively (taking care of the ball), higher is better defensively (forcing turnovers).
OREB% / DREB% (Offensive/Defensive Rebound Rate): Percentage of available rebounds grabbed. Offensive rebounds create second-chance points; defensive rebounds end opponent possessions.
FTR (Free Throw Rate): Free throws made per field goal attempt (FTM/FGA). Measures ability to get to the line AND convert. Higher is better offensively, lower is better defensively.

Other Metrics:

Elo Rating: Chess-style rating system that updates based on game results and opponent strength. Higher Elo indicates stronger team.
Efficiency Margin: Point differential per 100 possessions (Offensive Efficiency – Defensive Efficiency). Accounts for pace of play.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend indicator comparing 12-game and 26-game exponential moving averages. Positive MACD = improving trend, Negative MACD = declining trend.

Analysis powered by HoopSci’s advanced metrics and MACD trending indicators.

CategoryBE

TagsBE Big East Big East Conference